+ @
Oscar
I think you need to take into account that "stealth/VLO/5th gen" fighters are designed with stealth/VLO in mind and as such all their design characteristics are oriented to VLO/stealth so small wings and a compact body. Any fighter pilot will tell you that the first thing they'd want in their "dream" flying machine is a large wing for greater lift and tighter turning radius. The 5th gen fighters try to overcome their lack of maneuverability with advanced tech. But when you start getting more and more advanced 4.5++ gen fighters (Eurocanards, Gripen-E, MIG-35,LCA Mk.2, "Silent" F-18 and F-15 etc) all armed with long-range, advanced, BVR missiles, have their own "stealthy" features, house AESA radars and advanced jammers then the stand-off ability the 5th gen fighters rely so heavily on is going to be diminished considerably and you can not completely rule out the likelihood of WVR combat then. With these 4.5++ gen fighters being equipped (in most cases) with either canards or TVC (or both) and HMDS these 5th gen fighters are in for a hell of a fight and their supremacy is not assured.
The last time the West completely wrote off the likelihood of
WVR combat it massively blew up in their face.
The last time they also thought that in 2001 we would be going to Jupiter..
Yet most of those things.. including tablet PC's.. supercomputers.. fast processors.. and miniaturization have come of age.
The missile has come leaps and bounds from what it was.. to compare it to the results of the Vietnam war(which in fact had less to do with missles.. and more do with doctrine) to today is folly.
The next time the west met Soviet aircraft with something called the AMRAAM.. they slaughtered them.. in 95.. all over.
And that was ten years ago..
When the Mig-29 came out in the Luftwaffe.. in one fell swoop at had western fighters outgunned.. not because of high maneuverability.. because the F-16 could match it easily.. but because even in an evenly matched turn.. the HMS Archer combination was able to "score" a kill.
The evolution of weapons takes time... and the missile had reached its evolutionary point where it is pushing dogfights into twilight..
The F-22 gets taken down by an EF because the EF is well built for getting in up close and personal.. but neither employs a HMS missile.. nor is the fact that there is NO way the EF will figure out an F-22 is in the vicinity until it has a salvo of missles on its way.
So while Dogfighitng may not be extinct yet.. its relevance is what is diminishing.. and its form is what is diminishing.
As I said.. its great to have a good strong nimble body when you are going for a pistol shoot out.
But when you have a machine gun spraying all over.. its better to be able to run fast, spray and get out.
That machine gun is the modern missile.. and there is very little chance that "ballets in the sky" will save you from 50g dual mode seeker weapon.
why ill use pistol or revolver.... just i ll launch my astra....
when we are going to induct the Astra....
Exactly.. So you wont come in and try to get your nose to point at him.. you will run in .. look at his way.. fire an Astra.. snap to look at his friends way.. fire an Astra.. all the while with your ECM turned up high and pumping out Chaff and Flares.. and keep your nose pointed at the way out of the arena..
With luck(and some Pk).. you will have killed him, avoided his missile.. and kept his friend from firing at you on your way out.