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Dassault Rafale, tender | News & Discussions [Thread 2]

FGFA will happen ; it is only delayed

Russian economic woes are all temporary

Stop dreaming about AMCA ; First let us make LCA MK 2
Russian Air Force to buy fewer PAK FA fighter aircraft
March 25, 2015 Ivan Safronov, Kommersant
The military is likely to buy fewer fifth generation T-50 fighters, scaling back requirements to 12 after initially planning for 52, due to economic considerations, Deputy Defence Minister Yuri Borisov has said.

Russian Air Force to buy fewer PAK FA fighter aircraft | Russia & India Report
 
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My guess is Reliance they were seeking it for very long.it will definitely create a buzz in political lines:coffee:

The JV will INCLUDE LCA

Management control will be with Dassault and Reliance plus Mahindra

IT will be three way consortium
Indian Pvt sector plus HAL plus Dassault

The TOT benefits will come to HAL

Secondly HAL will be told to concentrate on LCA
HAL will manufacture LCA mk1 and deliver them at the earliest
 
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I had discussed in another thread about the same topic under make in India initiatve possibility where i stated my views on that

here is the link India to buy 60-63 Rafales jets off the shelf from France; MMRCA deal off: | Page 110

Today i got a view from Prasun K Sengupta also echoing almost similar view

Rafale
  • Only 36 will be imported off-the-shelf.
  • Balance will be supplied in kits for final assembly in India by a consortium
  • Consortium likely to include Reliance & Mahindra
  • Production rate of 14 per annum.
LCA MK2
  • HAL never had anything to do with R & D on Tejas MRCA. This was, is & will remain ADA’s responsibility.
  • Tejas Mk2’s R & D calls for a totally redesigned airframe with some major changes to the wings & air-intakes, it will involve a totally all-new flight-test/certification regime lasting some 2,000 flights.
  • If two Tejas Mk2 prototypes are made available by 2018, airworthiness certification can at best be achieved by 2021
  • Series-production by HAL can begin in only 2022 at best & first fully-equipped squadron will be commissioned in only 2025.

Super Sukhoi Su30MKI
  • Super Sukhoi upgrade cannot proceed at very fast rate per month wise.
  • If work starts in 2018, it will take more than 2 decades to complete the fleet-wide upgrade.

FGFA
  • FGFA too won’t become available till 2025.
@Stephen Cohen have patience brother, in some time the whole thing will become clearer.
 
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The JV will INCLUDE LCA

Management control will be with Dassault and Reliance plus Mahindra

IT will be three way consortium
Indian Pvt sector plus HAL plus Dassault

The TOT benefits will come to HAL

Secondly HAL will be told to concentrate on LCA
HAL will manufacture LCA mk1 and deliver them at the earliest

What about responsibility clause?
 
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Russian Air Force to buy fewer PAK FA fighter aircraft
March 25, 2015 Ivan Safronov, Kommersant
The military is likely to buy fewer fifth generation T-50 fighters, scaling back requirements to 12 after initially planning for 52, due to economic considerations, Deputy Defence Minister Yuri Borisov has said.

Russian Air Force to buy fewer PAK FA fighter aircraft | Russia & India Report

Such decisions are based on changing economic circumstances
NOTHING is written in stone

Once money is available you can spend it again

At one time Russian Navy was dead ; today they are investing so heavily into a modern Navy
Similarly Russia is also making SU 35 ; SU 34 and SU 30 for ITSELF

While modernising its MIG 31 and TU 22

What about responsibility clause?

SInce Dassault will have the management Control along with A Pvt sector company
Both will have responsibility

@Stephen Cohen have patience brother, in some time the whole thing will become clearer.

The main worry was what AFTER 36 ; that has eased

More will definitely come ; how they come does not matter
 
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Such decisions are based on changing economic circumstances
NOTHING is written in stone

Once money is available you can spend it again

At one time Russian Navy was dead ; today they are investing so heavily into a modern Navy
Similarly Russia is also making SU 35 ; SU 34 and SU 30 for ITSELF

While modernising its MIG 31 and TU 22



SInce Dassault will have the management Control along with A Pvt sector company
Both will have responsibility

It is not only economical in case of PAK-FA, India is not much interested in the programme if the problem was monies India was indeed there.

The private participation was always there in case of Rafale production but the prime contractor was HAL.

Now the way it is unveiling, it is a victory of France. We should have pulled off from the deal.
 
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Well your own rhetorical questions can actually validate my point. Why are we struggling on a subsonic cruise missile, despite codeveloping a world class Brahmos? How did the know-how help?

Simple, it gave us the know how to develop own guidance and navigation systems, just as a variety of launch applications, from land based, naval surface, naval submerged up to the latest air launched systems. All this is based on the know how we gathered through the Brahmos project, which now is diverted to Nirbhay. The problem is, that you consider ToT to be something magical, that directly brings us to the same level as the country that is providing us with it. Which obviously is not the case, because we have to understand and absorb the ToT first, before we can use it for next projects. We are able to produce or assemble the Russian parts of Brahmos in India now, just as we will do it with the Israeli parts of Barak 8, which we couldn't without ToT and we would not even close to develop the same on our own. So ToT of critical techs and joint developments are the only way for us to at least shorten the time for developments and get our hands on advances arms. But implementing the knowledge we gathered into own developments, is the next step which takes time and effort too.
You can see the same in the Dhruv project too, where we gained from foreign design and tech support => learned to produce them in India => implemented the knowledge into own developments to replace foreign parts over time and now even to do own re-designs and new projects, based on what we learned. That's the learning curve, LCA should have followed too, which would had made it equally successful and our industry more capable than it get so far with that project. But that's also the learning curve we see today with the MKI, were we not only learned to produce it to a large extend in India, but also to develop counterparts for Russian systems and weapons. Astra for example is based on R77 seekers, how do you think we got that? ToT! But we have to develop the rest on our own witht the know how of the seeker we got.


Why are we struggling to make a radar for a 4th gen aircraft, despite all the foreign aircrafts we have manufactured, including the sophisticated MKIs with ToT?

As already said, because ToT to assemble BARS in India, doesn't make HAL or GTRE able to develop a similar radar. That's why I told you that ToT is not = ToT. ToT to assemble parts is basic ToT, which is what we got for decades and which is what most countries get, if they get ToT at all. But ToT of critical techs, to produce them in India even with Indian materials, gets us far more access to that system and that's what MMRCA was up to, getting to the next level beyond the MKI deal.

Why did Bharat Forge need to acquire the company itself, rather than pay and buy "ToT"?

Because you can't "simply" buy critical ToT, since no company is easily giving away their know how. That's why these we have to negotiate in every licence production tender for every bit of ToT, licence production or cusomization, which are also limited to specific systems only, while taking over the company means, taking over their whole know how too.

If I buy the entire Boeing company tomorrow, I will be producing Super Hornets - not because I became a lot more knowledgeable, but because I bought the frigging company.

Wrong, you will be able to produce them in the Boeing facilities, but also to divert the know how to any of your own facilities and produce the F18SH there! You simply are not limited to approval from Boeing, but are free to use the full know how of the company, where and how you need it. That's why Bharat Forge is not producing the Howitzers in Austria, but diverting and implementing the know how in their own facilities in India!

Tata producing helicopter "parts" is in no way comparable to making an entire modern fighter jt. The difference in complexity is incomparable.

Who said that it would be comparable, the point was, that they couldn't produce these parts, without Sikorsky sharing the know. Same as we have seen with HAL and BAE Hawks, which after proper support of BAE was able to produce the Hawks in a similar efficient way as TATA does it with Sikorsky parts. Both examples again shows the importants of getting foreign know how to our industry and the more critical techs, the better for our future!

The only point of contention is whether this uber expensive "ToT" will enable us to become on par with the entity we are purchasing the said ToT from.

Well you get what you pay for! We could have bought US fighters at lower costs, without hardly enough ToT to assemble the radar and EW systems that were produced in the US, while the major ToT package would be of airframe parts. Cheap, but totally useless to improve our industry for the long term and that's the ToT you complain about!
On the other side we have the EF and the Rafale, more costly, but vastly more capable as fighters and with the best industrial packages we could get. To not use this chance to give our industry a push, just to safe a bit money, will be a huge setback for the industry, that has to invest more and need longer, to reach the same level on it's own.

You can purchase the blueprints for Rafale, you can learn how to build the radar - but what you cannot do is learn how they learnt it in the first place.

Of course not, that's experience and not technology. But experience of understanding advanced technology, or advanced production methods is crucial too, since it's shortens the time, that you otherwise need to reach that level in the first place. You can go 1 - 2 - 3 and each step will be more demanding if you do it on your own, but if you have somebody with knowledge that teaches you the same, you learn it faster.

How do you think we navalized a fighter sooner than China did? Because we decided to do it, a long time back.
Not really. We failed to do it alone and then started a tender for foreign help and after the US companies were not allowed to give us their know how and guidance, we took the L2 Airbus, as the foreign partner.
So our advantage was the variety of options from Europe, Russia and to an extend even US, that were ready to help us, while China had only the option to convince the Ukraine or to get the know how on other ways and no, they didn't do it themselfs, they bought Su 33s, the carrier and even trained their pilots and crews in the Ukraine, apart from the know how they got to refurbish the carrier and navalise the fighters. They knew how to build Su 27s from the know how they get from the Russians, but were not able to navalise it on their own, just as they still are not able to develop similar radars or engines as latest Russian Flankers have. Which also shows the difference of critical and basic ToT.

By paying 8 billion dollars for Rafale's ToT, we are not going to be able to make a world beating new aircraft in future.

Which itself is a wrong idea, that India is able to develop a world beating aircraft. But why do we have to exaggerate always like this? We are still learing to develop a 4th generation light class fighter and could get the know how of 4.5th gen systems, improved airframe design, advanced production methods, which all helps us in any future fighter development. We heared for example that LCA is not really designed to be maintenance friendly, while Dassault fighters are know to have a focus on ease of maintenance and repairs. So understanding that and implementing it into the AMCA design in the development stage, would be a crucial advantage. We heared that HAL produces the composites for LCA manually, while Dassault does it automatically => something to learn and implement into AMCA... which shows how important it is to learn from those who already have the knowledge, to cut a decade of development time or reduce the risks of failed developments.
 
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More Rafales required but need to factor in cost: Defence minister Manohar Parrikar interview

[...]
Excerpts:

Q. Was the Indian Air Force on board when the government took the decision to buy 36 Rafale fighters under the government-to-government (G2G) route from France?

A. I consulted the air force to the extent it was required. They have no role in decision-making as ultimately it's the Prime Minister's call. I did discuss possibilities with the PM and he took a very bold decision, which was required. If we had missed this opportunity, the entire matter would have gone into a spin and we might have had to re-start the whole procedure this year. And in another 5 years our requirements might have changed. Rafale induction could begin in about 18 months.

Q. You said the fighter acquisition process will be G2G now. Will India buy more Rafales or could it source fighters from other countries too?

A. I will say both options are open to us depending on reassessment of our requirements (after scrapping the tender for 126 aircraft). I will not spell out MMRCA (Medium Multi-Role Combat Aircraft) role but it will be very effective in certain areas. Two people travel on a scooter, 4 in a car and 20 in a bus. But 2 people can also travel in a bus but that would be wasting resources. So, we will not deploy this aircraft where it is not required. I can tell you our light combat aircraft (LCA) is also a very capable aircraft and can replace MiG-21s more than adequately. It cannot be compared with the Rafale as the latter is a heavier fighter with two engines.

Q. So India will buy more Rafales after re-assessing requirements? Where does the LCA fit in the picture?

A. I feel that some more Rafale jets may be required but need to figure out how we can acquire them. But more importantly, we need large number of aircraft to replace MiG variants over the next 8-10 years, which is their extended life. So either we go in for large-scale manufacturing of the LCA or combine some other requirements and go for a medium-weight fighter under the Make in India plan.

Some of it can be replaced by even proper stockpiling of missiles. Nowadays, one can attack some targets by proper use of missiles.

Q. Will the remaining Rafales come under Make in India programme and will Dassault Aviation set up a unit here?

A. That decision will be taken after both India and France hold talks. It will also depend on what our financial outlay is. We operate various MiG variants, Mirage 2000s, Jaguars, Sukhoi-30s and we have the LCA now. All these warplanes have different capabilities and cannot be compared. Ultimately, we may also require certain number of Rafales but how many will hinge on the cost factor. Why just 126? I would want the IAF to have 500 planes, but the question is how much I can afford. We will have to do an analysis of minimum requirement and then take a decision.
[...]
Q. Coming back to the Rafale deal, you said your predecessor had himself put a question mark on it.

A. The previous defence minister had written that after the price negotiation is done, L1 should be verified again. But it did not come to that stage as it got stuck up because of interpretation of whether to take French man-hours into consideration for building the plane or Indian man-hours, which is 2.7 times the French number. I have not gone into too much detail on that, but my officers have expressed reservations about this 2.7-hour formula for local manufacturing.


More Rafales required but need to factor in cost, says Manohar Parrikar
Quick points courtesy Olybrius
 
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well it seems PAF had an idea that rafale deal will fall..??so they cut their own j-10 deal.
or is it that india feels that it doesnt need it anymmore?

either way scrapping the deal doesnt make sense. especially after so many years of effort and commitment
 
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well it seems PAF had an idea that rafale deal will fall..??so they cut their own j-10 deal.
or is it that india feels that it doesnt need it anymmore?

either way scrapping the deal doesnt make sense. especially after so many years of effort and commitment
Deal is on,,only the procurement procedures changed

Mmrca was RFP route which was cancelled now all the purchase will be by GToG Level
 
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Mp repeatedly pressing for tejas is a very good news.but he is also talking abt other aircraft if needed . Hence hal ada must do their work quickly
 
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Mp repeatedly pressing for tejas is a very good news.but he is also talking abt other aircraft if needed . Hence hal ada must do their work quickly


I don't think road ahead for tejas is going to get any glossier. MP clearly says tejas or any other single engine fighter can replace Mig 21 so be sure there's going to be hell lotta lobbying
 
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Antony’s questions killed Rafale tender process: Manohar Parrikar: Hindustan Times.

Manohar Parrikar took over as defence minister in November 2014 after two successful stints as the Goa chief minister.

India’s multi-billion tender process to buy 126 advanced warplanes was doomed from the start because UPA defence minister AK Antony had put a “question mark” on the deal, defence minister Manohar Parrikar has said .

Speaking to Hindustan Times, Parrikar questioned the medium multirole combat aircraft (MMRCA) tendering process, picking holes in the method employed to determine French firm Dassault Aviation as the lowest bidder (L1) in the final round of the competition. According to the defence minister, the UPA government had taken hold of the “wrong end of the stick”.

India has scrapped the $25-billion deal more than three years after Dassault, which manufactures the Rafale, was declared the lowest bidder, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi opting instead to buy 36 of these jets from France in a fly-away condition under a government-to-government (G2G) contract.

“The previous defence minister had himself put a question mark (on the deal’s future) by saying go for price negotiations (with L1) but after that, review the procedure by which L1 was determined… It’s a funny statement… Concluding the deal would have been extremely difficult for us,” Parrikar told HT in his Kota House suite on the eve of a four-day visit to South Korea. Attired in a familiar blue bush shirt, Parrikar said the L1 figure in the fighter contract was determined by factoring in a questionable life-cycle cost model.

The Rafale had beaten stiff competition from the Eurofighter Typhoon to emerge the frontrunner for the contract in January 2012. Six fighters took part in the contest.

Parrikar said the request for proposal (tender) was probably not a great document as it left a lot to “interpretation and imagination.”

He said it wasn’t prudent to take the tender route to buy critical platforms such as warplanes.

“How do you compare various varieties of planes? You may take a benchmark and say these two (fighters) are above the benchmark, but again how do you compare a particular missile with another missile?” said Parrikar. He said even if multiple fighter platforms met the IAF’s requirements of combat radius, rate of climb and angle of attack, the type and number of missiles fitted on the planes could make the difference in their “effective operation”.

“I believe such strategic platforms (in a non-nuclear sense) cannot be compared with each other that easily. Suppose one costs a million dollars more than the other but has a more effective missile. Technically, it may be costlier but it is better as it has longer stand-off range,” he said, suggesting the G2G route for “strategic” buys.

The usually amiable Parrikar could not resist taking a dig at Congress leader Digvijaya Singh, who ridiculed him on Twitter for buying fish in Goa when Modi was ordering fighters in France. “Digvijaya Singh should eat fish. It will sharpen his brains,” Parrikar said.

Parrikar moved to an Akbar Road residence on Wednesday after staying in the navy’s Kota House for four months.
 
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Simple, it gave us the know how to develop own guidance and navigation systems, just as a variety of launch applications, from land based, naval surface, naval submerged up to the latest air launched systems. All this is based on the know how we gathered through the Brahmos project, which now is diverted to Nirbhay. The problem is, that you consider ToT to be something magical, that directly brings us to the same level as the country that is providing us with it. Which obviously is not the case, because we have to understand and absorb the ToT first, before we can use it for next projects. We are able to produce or assemble the Russian parts of Brahmos in India now, just as we will do it with the Israeli parts of Barak 8, which we couldn't without ToT and we would not even close to develop the same on our own. So ToT of critical techs and joint developments are the only way for us to at least shorten the time for developments and get our hands on advances arms. But implementing the knowledge we gathered into own developments, is the next step which takes time and effort too.
You can see the same in the Dhruv project too, where we gained from foreign design and tech support => learned to produce them in India => implemented the knowledge into own developments to replace foreign parts over time and now even to do own re-designs and new projects, based on what we learned. That's the learning curve, LCA should have followed too, which would had made it equally successful and our industry more capable than it get so far with that project. But that's also the learning curve we see today with the MKI, were we not only learned to produce it to a large extend in India, but also to develop counterparts for Russian systems and weapons. Astra for example is based on R77 seekers, how do you think we got that? ToT! But we have to develop the rest on our own witht the know how of the seeker we got.




As already said, because ToT to assemble BARS in India, doesn't make HAL or GTRE able to develop a similar radar. That's why I told you that ToT is not = ToT. ToT to assemble parts is basic ToT, which is what we got for decades and which is what most countries get, if they get ToT at all. But ToT of critical techs, to produce them in India even with Indian materials, gets us far more access to that system and that's what MMRCA was up to, getting to the next level beyond the MKI deal.



Because you can't "simply" buy critical ToT, since no company is easily giving away their know how. That's why these we have to negotiate in every licence production tender for every bit of ToT, licence production or cusomization, which are also limited to specific systems only, while taking over the company means, taking over their whole know how too.



Wrong, you will be able to produce them in the Boeing facilities, but also to divert the know how to any of your own facilities and produce the F18SH there! You simply are not limited to approval from Boeing, but are free to use the full know how of the company, where and how you need it. That's why Bharat Forge is not producing the Howitzers in Austria, but diverting and implementing the know how in their own facilities in India!



Who said that it would be comparable, the point was, that they couldn't produce these parts, without Sikorsky sharing the know. Same as we have seen with HAL and BAE Hawks, which after proper support of BAE was able to produce the Hawks in a similar efficient way as TATA does it with Sikorsky parts. Both examples again shows the importants of getting foreign know how to our industry and the more critical techs, the better for our future!



Well you get what you pay for! We could have bought US fighters at lower costs, without hardly enough ToT to assemble the radar and EW systems that were produced in the US, while the major ToT package would be of airframe parts. Cheap, but totally useless to improve our industry for the long term and that's the ToT you complain about!
On the other side we have the EF and the Rafale, more costly, but vastly more capable as fighters and with the best industrial packages we could get. To not use this chance to give our industry a push, just to safe a bit money, will be a huge setback for the industry, that has to invest more and need longer, to reach the same level on it's own.



Of course not, that's experience and not technology. But experience of understanding advanced technology, or advanced production methods is crucial too, since it's shortens the time, that you otherwise need to reach that level in the first place. You can go 1 - 2 - 3 and each step will be more demanding if you do it on your own, but if you have somebody with knowledge that teaches you the same, you learn it faster.

At Upsized and colored parts- Agreed.
 
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Q. Was the Indian Air Force on board when the government took the decision to buy 36 Rafale fighters under the government-to-government (G2G) route from France?

A. I consulted the air force to the extent it was required. They have no role in decision-making as ultimately it's the Prime Minister's call.

Essentially confirming that the IAF was bypassed because of their insistence on saying no plan B. Deliver a fait acomplii and tell them to live with it.


Q. Coming back to the Rafale deal, you said your predecessor had himself put a question mark on it.

A. The previous defence minister had written that after the price negotiation is done, L1 should be verified again. But it did not come to that stage as it got stuck up because of interpretation of whether to take French man-hours into consideration for building the plane or Indian man-hours, which is 2.7 times the French number. I have not gone into too much detail on that, but my officers have expressed reservations about this 2.7-hour formula for local manufacturing.

Yeah, makes it pretty much clear that we weren't going anywhere with the deal. Must also be thankful to Antony for atleast having doubts.


A
Parrikar said the request for proposal (tender) was probably not a great document as it left a lot to “interpretation and imagination.”

No kidding.
 
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