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Collapse of Huawei-AT&T Deal a Double Blow to China

F-22Raptor

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Following on the heels of the collapse of Ant Financial’s acquisition of MoneyGram, the telecom company Huawei announced on January 9 that plans to sell its smartphones with AT&T in the United States have collapsed. Huawei, the world’s third largest smartphone brand behind Samsung and Apple and China’s market leader, had hoped to expand into the U.S. market by partnering with carrier AT&T. Carriers dominate the American smartphone market, being able to provide special subsidies and packages to customers. Without the deal, Huawei will need to continue selling its phones through open channels, such as Amazon, which only account for about 10 percent of the U.S. market.

While AT&T and Huawei have so far declined to comment on the exact reasons for the deal’s collapse, there have been reports that AT&T was under political pressure to end the agreement. Huawei has been a subject of intense political scrutiny for years: in 2012, a U.S. Congressional panel stated that Huawei should be banned from any mergers with or acquisitions of American businesses because it posed a “security threat.” On December 20, 2017, members of the Senate and House intelligence committees informed the Federal Communications Commission that they again believed Huawei posed a security risk, specifically an espionage risk; this report is likely what caused the AT&T to pull out of the agreement.

The collapse of this deal is a double hit to China. First, it is a blow to Huawei, one of China’s leading “national champion” companies, with one of Huawei’s top executives saying “we have been harmed again.” Even though it is the third-largest seller of mobile phones, most of its customer base is in China or other developing countries. Huawei needs to increase its share of the American market if it hopes to overtake Apple and Samsung. The American market is “the largest goldmine” for smartphone companies, as customers there are willing to pay a high price for performance and success in the U.S. market helps bolster global brands. To compete with Samsung and Apple globally, and with Apple in its home market, Huawei had shifted its strategy to produce more high-end, high-cost phones. Yet, with AT&T now backing out of the deal, Huawei will be forced to continue relying on online sales, which have not produced anywhere near the volume needed to compete in the U.S. market. Thus the deal’s end represents a significant blow to Huawei’s global expansion.

Second, the U.S. government’s role in the deal’s collapse is another example of America pushing back against the Made in China 2025 plan, the Chinese government’s industrial plan to turn the Chinese economy into a high-tech hub. The plan relies heavily on forced technology transfers from foreign companies for access to the Chinese market, a central plank of Chinese development for decades. In addition to forced transfers, American companies worry that intellectual property theft is also a key pillar of China’s planned technological transformation. Huawei has often been the target of American investigations regarding forced transfers and IP theft. By essentially denying the company access to the American market, Congress made it clear that it is tired of Chinese mercantilist practices toward American technology. This, of course, comes right after the U.S. government denied Ant Financial’s attempt to buy MoneyGram and as the Trump administration has launched investigations into Chinese IP theft and dumping practices. By working to deny Chinese companies access to American technology and consumers, the U.S. government is also working to decrease Chinese companies’ innovation and collaboration with American businesses.

A double blow like this is sure to anger Chinese officials. Indeed, they have signaled that China is willing to retaliate if the United States continues to impose “unilateral protectionist trade practices.” These officials reject the American government’s claims as “so-called ‘national security.’” Yet such countermeasures as anti-dumping investigations and blocking mergers and acquisitions are a logical preventative step to take against heavily state-supported Chinese companies. Since China’s plans to upgrade its economy rely so heavily on foreign technology, the Chinese government should realize that foreign governments will not give that technology freely or easily. With protectionist economic sentiments toward China on the rise in both America and Europe, the Chinese government needs to take steps to ensure that its economic transformation is seen as universally beneficial and not as a threat.

https://thediplomat.com/2018/01/collapse-of-huawei-att-deal-a-double-blow-to-china/
 
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What else is new here?

We all know the US tried and tries their best to prevent Huawei from entering US market, knowing full well if once the real deal like Huawei enter the market it will be over for the US pretenders.
 
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What else is new here?

We all know the US tried and tries their best to prevent Huawei from entering US market, knowing full well if once the real deal like Huawei enter the market it will be over for the US pretenders.

Huawei is free to cell its phones in US. I can buy an unlocked one on Amazon right now. So there's nothing to stop Huawei from "dominating" the US market.
 
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Huawei is free to cell its phones in US. I can buy an unlocked one on Amazon right now. So there's nothing to stop Huawei from "dominating" the US market.

Maybe you dont live in the US at all:

Everyone and their dogs know in the US, most people buy their mobile phones through contracts from their phone service provider, instead of buy it from market directly, thats why the deal between Huawei and AT&T is critical to Huawei's success in the US market, the second largest phone market in the world by values.
 
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What else is new here?

We all know the US tried and tries their best to prevent Huawei from entering US market, knowing full well if once the real deal like Huawei enter the market it will be over for the US pretenders.
With the Belt and Road infrastructure and rising developing markets in Eurasia for the next 10+ years. China wouldn't have to rely on the US market for much longer. Our American arrogance could be our downfall.
 
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With the Belt and Road infrastructure and rising developing markets in Eurasia for the next 10+ years. China wouldn't have to rely on the US market for much longer. Our American arrogance could be our downfall.

But it is still critical for Huawei's success, afterall it is the world second largest phone market, one primary reason why Samsung and Apple can still stay ahead Huawei as of now despite of being slaughtered in China, is that Huawei cannot access to the US market.
 
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But it is still critical for Huawei's success, afterall it is the world second largest phone market, one primary reason why Samsung and Apple can still stay ahead Huawei as of now despite of being slaughtered in China, is that Huawei cannot access to the US market.
Give it time. Once your per Capita GDP rises high enough, your Chinese phone market could exceed the American market with your 1.412 billion potential consumers vs 325 million American consumers. Once Xi Jinping gets more and more Chinese people out of the poverty line threshold, the gap in market size will widen from there. Right @Martian2 ?
 
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Give it time. Once your per Capita GDP rises high enough, your Chinese phone market could exceed the American market with your 1.4 billion potential consumers vs 325 million American consumers. Once Xi Jinping gets more and more people out of the poverty line threshold, the gap will widen from there. Right @Martian2 ?

China has been the world largest phone market since 2011, but the US is still a critical market to take.
 
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Maybe you dont live in the US at all:

Everyone and their dogs know in the US, most people buy their mobile phones through contracts from their phone service provider, instead of buy it from market directly, thats why the deal between Huawei and AT&T is critical to Huawei's success in the US market, the second largest phone market in the world by values.

You said US is blocking Huawei from entering US market. This is not so. It operates in the US market, just not through their preferred method of using a mobile phone company.

We'll see how this works out once China blocks Apple. For security reasons ofcourse.. Tit for tat

iPhones are built in China so...it would be cutting its own nose to spite US.

Give it time. Once your per Capita GDP rises high enough, your Chinese phone market could exceed the American market with your 1.412 billion potential consumers vs 325 million American consumers. Once Xi Jinping gets more and more Chinese people out of the poverty line threshold, the gap in market size will widen from there. Right @Martian2 ?

Huawei doesn't want to wait, but to dominate the market now. This is why they want access to US market. They want to knock Samsung off its perch.
 
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You said US is blocking Huawei from entering US market. This is not so. It operates in the US market, just not through their preferred method of using a mobile phone company.

I said they tried their best, I am not saying they are completely successful at that, afterall there are inconvience like existing trading rules/laws they need to at least try to pretend to obey.

So again dont put your words into my mouth.
 
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Give it time. Once your per Capita GDP rises high enough, your Chinese phone market could exceed the American market with your 1.412 billion potential consumers vs 325 million American consumers. Once Xi Jinping gets more and more Chinese people out of the poverty line threshold, the gap in market size will widen from there. Right @Martian2 ?
Yes. It is simple logic.

China's economy and per-capita GDP grow at about 6.5% per year.

The Chinese consumer market collectively will equal the US market this year in imports from other countries. Next year, China will start opening up the gap and import more from the world than the US.

Ten years from now, China's import market will dwarf US imports.

Long term, the purchasing power is in the hands of Chinese. Americans are the past. China is the future.

If China chooses to exclude Apple from having a similar contract with a major Chinese telecom carrier, the effect would be equally devastating.

China is ignoring the tit-for-tat option right now, because it already has a huge trade surplus with the United States. There is no need to engage in tit-for-tat at the moment.
 
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