you want to do this, fine. Your funeral.
In 2013, China produced 779 million metric tons, almost half of the world's steel. That be gone.
In 2013, China produced 22 million cars, more than a quarter of all cars.
That's only two, tell me, how are you going to replace all of that within a few years, do you know how long it takes, how much capital it needs, how much policy change and how impossible it is to do this.
Was going to go as I have to leave for 7:09 train, but I will do what I can.
Lemme ask you this, how many of those steel and car made in China are for domestic consumption?
You mentioned Philippines and Vietnam before, Philippines is a US ally, you like to use business is business, why isn't Philippines the center of manufacturing then. Oh right, they can't do it. Don't take my words for it. See the facts yourself. Compare Filipino industry to China's.
You seems to forget the situation we are talking about is, we cannot use trade as a weapon, currently what is the reason we have to move when Chinese is all the money there are to made? What I am, and we are talking about is, IF CHINA SHUT ITS MARKET. Then can the west look elsewhere??
Or are you saying Vietnam and Phillippine are SO UNDEVELOPABLE that no one can set up factory and make stuff there??
China is both Japan and Korea's biggest trade partner, guess what was sold there. What you don't seem to get is just because something seems replaceable, doesn't mean it can be done fast, or in this case at all.
I never said it have to be fast, but just saying is it doable, and indeed China is the top trading partner for Japan and Korea, but can you care to look at the value with regard to Japan and Korea trade with the world?
Again the situation as per now is good, but again we are talking about if China use trade as a weapon, so you are saying the world either trade with China or nobody or group of body can take its place? lol
What you don't seem to get, and you said you owned factories, and you say this.
You don't even know the basics of if the supply changes, there are many variables that can greatly alter one's effectiveness, like late delivery, quality, price and more.
Them can you please name me one example that a MNC got done in purely for chaning supplier and late delivery?
Do you remember the HDD shortage during Thailand flood, the supplies of HDD got heavily disrupted by the flood, did Seagate and Western digital gone out of business because of the 1 year disruption due to the flood?
Mate, have you heard of the term, parallel import, mirror production and surplusing?
You are the one that suggest US can cut off Chinese trade routes, I never said it. You can check. China can destroy the world with our nukes, doesn't make it a good idea.
Lol I did not say US can cut Chinese trade route, i said if China decided to use trade as a weapon and imposing condition on trade, the world would simply move away from China, i said nothing about cut China trade route, did you mistook me for somebody?
Get back to me on this when you understand what I'm saying here.
When I say i do not understand what is the connection, that mean i do not understand what is the connection, i will not suddenly understand that by you saying get back to me when I understand lol
I was fine, before my paychecks for the last two years came over the last two years, but if you take that amount away and leave me with no job then I be living on the street.
Again will a company go bust simply becuase they take away the profit they make in China? Lol you have to think really hard about that.
That would probably be the case if that company only do business in China, then they deserved to go bust.
What you are saying js arrogant at best and idiotic on the far end of a scale, you were saying company have to continue conduct business in China even after the the profits goes away lol? At one point China will lose it s competitiveness just like US used to be and Japan used to be..
China has investments from other countries and has made money for other countries, each year Audi takes into account China sales, if those disappear, what do you think happens to Audi's stock.
You tell me, China is the biggest market for Apple, would that take down Apple.
I don't understand, what's so hard about this, you take away even a bit of their business and their stock tumbles, you take away a major source and you think they are going to be fine?
Facebook will be fine because they were never in China, though that advertising revenue will be greatly reduced because their customers do business with China and in China.
lol you tell me
What you assume is Apple will keep making 200 millions iphone more for the Chinese market when they know they are going to lose the market. Or makong another millions car for China for the market that will not going to be there
If they are thqt stupid then yes, they will go bust.
In reality they will simply close their factory and let go of the worker (Mostly Chinese) they hire and save expense and move out completely.
You are telling me to take a class with logic like this, is this happening right now. We are grown adults, nobody's going to go crazy like that.
Lool its not crazy, but that would be the reality if and when China uses trade as a weapon, or you simply assume we will throw down our arms and be in Chinese way?
If that is the case, then I wonder why they were not happen already? Chinese market is at it prime and there are no time better to blackmail the world if this is indeed possible.
For your comparsion, please do go look at Ukraine and Russian Trade and US and USSR trade for your answer.
That day is 40 years ago, are you working on a time machine yet?
hmm, if you think China can keep their competitiveness edge forever, then I can only say good luck
Again, let me know when you understand my point here, cause this is neither here nor there.
Then i can also say let me know when you speak spanish, that is a moot point.
