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China's critical role in global food security, With less than 20% of the world’s population,possesses over half of the world’s corn, rice and wheat

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China plays critical role in global food security, With less than 20% of the world’s population, China possesses more than half of the world’s corn, rice and wheat


China_AdobeStock_60769549_E.jpg


01.20.2022


By Arvin Donley

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI, US – All nations vow to make domestic food security a top priority, but none have shown a greater commitment to achieving this goal in recent years than China.

With less than 20% of the world’s population, the Asian superpower possesses more than half of the world’s corn, rice and wheat. Already a major producer of corn and wheat and the perennial leader in soybean imports, China over the past five years has increased imports of those commodities by twofold to twelvefold, giving it a comfortable surplus to feed its 1.4 billion people.

A look at the country’s total supply and ending stocks for those three commodities plus rice, according to recent data from the Foreign Agricultural Service of the US Department of Agriculture, shows China has more than doubled its ending stocks over the past 10 years, with total supply more than doubling for corn and nearly doubling for soybeans, rice and wheat.

China has been plagued by deadly famines throughout its history — most recently in the late 1950s and early 1960s — and many of today’s political leaders, including President Xi Jingping, saw that tragedy unfold as children. Perhaps that’s one reason the Chinese central government for the first time included grain security in its 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025). Under the plan, which lists China’s national economic and social development objectives, China must achieve annual grain production of more than 650 million tonnes.

In what would be a welcome development, China reportedly will soon approve domestic production of genetically modified corn and soybeans, which would reduce its import needs for those crops. It currently imports GM corn and soybeans but does not allow the planting of GM crops.

Aside from increasing its food supply, China is seeking to diversify its list of food suppliers to avoid dependence on any one country. Notably, the Chinese government’s emerging Belt and Road Initiative will link China to Africa, the Middle East and Europe via land and maritime transportation networks. To date, China has signed over 100 agricultural cooperation agreements with Belt and Road Initiative countries. With the initiative, China is attempting to reconstruct global food supply chains through overseas free trade agreements, infrastructure investments, and foreign farmland acquisition.

This is all great news for China, but problematic for the rest of the world, especially poorer nations that rely heavily on imported grains to feed their people. In December, the United Nations warned that an estimated 274 million people will need humanitarian assistance in 2022, up from 235 million in 2021 and 168 million in 2020.

China’s grain hoarding is undoubtedly a factor in the recent surge in grain and food prices. There’s a fine line between a country securing adequate grain supplies to feed its people and hoarding excess amounts of grain in a world where the demand is high, and the supply is limited.

If this century’s worst global hunger crisis continues to worsen, the world will be watching closely to see if China maintains or even increases its “historically high” grain stockpiles or donates some of that surplus to food-insecure regions, as other grain-rich countries have over the years.

 
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International trading is about willing sellers and willing buyers. Since US is a major grain producing country, why complained Chinese buyers bought too much after US sold their produce for profits.

If US is really that caring about other countries, they should donate their grains to these countries instead of selling to China. After making money from exporting to China, now they accused China hoarding food!

Also, why are these countries not buying food products from commodity exchanges in London, New York etc. Which countries are facing food shortages? Afghanistan is certainly one but US and the West are holding Aghanistan's money in US banks. Afghanistan need these money to buy food. And China is among a few countries donating food, medicine and warm cloth during this Winter, to Afghanistan.
 
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China has been trying different ways (sovereign funds, strategic petroleum reserve, metal reserves ...) to cut down forex reserves which is made up of primarily USD-denominated securities, importing & stockpiling grains is one correct approach. As reported now 69% of the world's corn, 60% of rice, and 51% of wheat are stockpiled inside China, that's onshore only not including Chinese overseas agricultural bases/depots.

I expect this economic "war chest" building to continue, the trade war is still ongoing if not further escalating.

 
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Approving GM crops for domestic planting is not good. They are often genetically engineered to either be sterile altogether or result in sterile hybrids when crossed with wild type crops. This means dependence on foreign original seed material if they replace domestic wild type crops either through a choice of planting GMO, or through outcompeting and sterilizing wild type crops.
 
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Self sufficiency in food is very important to all nations.

That is why China is spending billions to divert its excess water supply to the driest part of China to create new farm lands.

That is the real national security issue as far as China goes.
 
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What China has achieved in last 20 - 30 years is nothing short of a miracle. Pak is right next door it can learn a lot from China but unfortunately we do not have leaders and people like China.
 
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China plays critical role in global food security, With less than 20% of the world’s population, China possesses more than half of the world’s corn, rice and wheat


China_AdobeStock_60769549_E.jpg


01.20.2022


By Arvin Donley

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI, US – All nations vow to make domestic food security a top priority, but none have shown a greater commitment to achieving this goal in recent years than China.

With less than 20% of the world’s population, the Asian superpower possesses more than half of the world’s corn, rice and wheat. Already a major producer of corn and wheat and the perennial leader in soybean imports, China over the past five years has increased imports of those commodities by twofold to twelvefold, giving it a comfortable surplus to feed its 1.4 billion people.

A look at the country’s total supply and ending stocks for those three commodities plus rice, according to recent data from the Foreign Agricultural Service of the US Department of Agriculture, shows China has more than doubled its ending stocks over the past 10 years, with total supply more than doubling for corn and nearly doubling for soybeans, rice and wheat.

China has been plagued by deadly famines throughout its history — most recently in the late 1950s and early 1960s — and many of today’s political leaders, including President Xi Jingping, saw that tragedy unfold as children. Perhaps that’s one reason the Chinese central government for the first time included grain security in its 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025). Under the plan, which lists China’s national economic and social development objectives, China must achieve annual grain production of more than 650 million tonnes.

In what would be a welcome development, China reportedly will soon approve domestic production of genetically modified corn and soybeans, which would reduce its import needs for those crops. It currently imports GM corn and soybeans but does not allow the planting of GM crops.

Aside from increasing its food supply, China is seeking to diversify its list of food suppliers to avoid dependence on any one country. Notably, the Chinese government’s emerging Belt and Road Initiative will link China to Africa, the Middle East and Europe via land and maritime transportation networks. To date, China has signed over 100 agricultural cooperation agreements with Belt and Road Initiative countries. With the initiative, China is attempting to reconstruct global food supply chains through overseas free trade agreements, infrastructure investments, and foreign farmland acquisition.

This is all great news for China, but problematic for the rest of the world, especially poorer nations that rely heavily on imported grains to feed their people. In December, the United Nations warned that an estimated 274 million people will need humanitarian assistance in 2022, up from 235 million in 2021 and 168 million in 2020.

China’s grain hoarding is undoubtedly a factor in the recent surge in grain and food prices. There’s a fine line between a country securing adequate grain supplies to feed its people and hoarding excess amounts of grain in a world where the demand is high, and the supply is limited.

If this century’s worst global hunger crisis continues to worsen, the world will be watching closely to see if China maintains or even increases its “historically high” grain stockpiles or donates some of that surplus to food-insecure regions, as other grain-rich countries have over the years.


The good news is that China's effort is beginning to bear fruit.
 
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The surplus from the US trade could be used to import grains from the US for stockpiling. That's better than holding too much US greenback.
 
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The surplus from the US trade could be used to import grains from the US for stockpiling. That's better than holding too much US greenback.

only hay, soy and corn for animal feed. maybe some frozen vegetables. otherwise nobody knows what is actually in those foods for human consumption.
 
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I have did a calculation if China can be self sufficient on soy. The answer lies in diverting Yangtze and yaluzangbo to Xinjiang and inner Mongolia . Create farm area of whole Vietnam.
 
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