The reason I belive China wont be a major power is I spent a great deal of time in the USSR back in the early 80s,,,,and the conclusion I reached is communism just dont work effeciently enought to survive long term and the stress of the changes China will have to do through are going to cause it a great deal of difficulty...there is so much pent up demand in China that it will be able to have a good economy for a while,,, but as half capitalist and half communist I think it may tear apart....and that will leave India with its massive population in the lead, China is having a lot of problems right now that never reach the international news because of censorship...that does not mean I hate China or have any great love for India,,, that just the way I see it... I dont take it personally...I am not emotionally involved.