"power of asymmetric warfare"?
I do not underestimate it at all. Trust me, U.S. will be very happy to see such "incident" that you indicate to happen. So far, U.S. has not found a better excuse to include other countries into its war plan against Iran.
As I have mentioned, U.S. has not attacked Iran since it need to find a way to pay for it. Getting other countries involved, e.g. Saudi, Japan, Nato countries, will solve that payment problems.
About provocative activities, you do not know anything???
E.g. Iran's support of those attacks in Iraq, its nuclear weapon program development as well as those support of attacks in Lebanon and Israel.
Well, you may say Iran has its freedom to develop its nuclear program. That indeed makes some sense if Iran has not threatened to wipe Israel from earth. BTW, you have to recognize currently U.S. still dictates world order unless you can change that.
Libya is different even though its oil production is only 2%. Its production is not replaceable since it is light oil without much refinery work. So Europe countries have a great dependence on it since Europe lacks refineries there.
On the contrary, Iran's heavy oil can be easily replaced since U.S. can ask Saudi and other OPEC countries to increase productions to overcome Iran's shutdown. Many OPEC countries will be glad to do so. As far as for Russia, Russia will not do a thing about it. There won't be a single bullet shipped to Iran from Russia if Iran causes any such "incident" to happen. What happened in the past between U.S.S.R. and U.S. won't happen in the near future, at least.
You still think it is in Iran's interest to do so??? As far as for China, we would like to see Iran to have peaceful environment there. Otherwise, it will be a big loss for us. It will be a much greater loss for Iran.
I do not underestimate it at all. Trust me, U.S. will be very happy to see such "incident" that you indicate to happen. So far, U.S. has not found a better excuse to include other countries into its war plan against Iran.
As I have mentioned, U.S. has not attacked Iran since it need to find a way to pay for it. Getting other countries involved, e.g. Saudi, Japan, Nato countries, will solve that payment problems.
About provocative activities, you do not know anything???
E.g. Iran's support of those attacks in Iraq, its nuclear weapon program development as well as those support of attacks in Lebanon and Israel.
Well, you may say Iran has its freedom to develop its nuclear program. That indeed makes some sense if Iran has not threatened to wipe Israel from earth. BTW, you have to recognize currently U.S. still dictates world order unless you can change that.
Libya is different even though its oil production is only 2%. Its production is not replaceable since it is light oil without much refinery work. So Europe countries have a great dependence on it since Europe lacks refineries there.
On the contrary, Iran's heavy oil can be easily replaced since U.S. can ask Saudi and other OPEC countries to increase productions to overcome Iran's shutdown. Many OPEC countries will be glad to do so. As far as for Russia, Russia will not do a thing about it. There won't be a single bullet shipped to Iran from Russia if Iran causes any such "incident" to happen. What happened in the past between U.S.S.R. and U.S. won't happen in the near future, at least.
You still think it is in Iran's interest to do so??? As far as for China, we would like to see Iran to have peaceful environment there. Otherwise, it will be a big loss for us. It will be a much greater loss for Iran.
To ephone
What has Iran done which you deemed provocative? I'm interested to know.
and also I'm afraid you're underestimating power of asymmetric warfare, and you fail to see the real objective here: The goal is to create a very fast spike in the oil market not to close the waterway forever, you might want to know that even a simple incident in these waterways can cause spike in the oil markets. Haven't you heard what Libya unrest did to the market? (Libya hardly produce %2 of world oil and Europe is their biggest buyer) .
About your analyze I must say according to the current oil production of Russia they are not too unhappy to see a disruption in the oil route, and increase in the oil price, though they might not openly welcome it, but they won't be unhappy to see it happen!
Anyway China is a sovereign and powerful nation and they are welcome to invest in Iran or anywhere else they like!