The SiLent crY
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There is a 20 year vision plan in Iran that started at 2005 and it's goal is making Iran a developed country and reaches rank 1 in every fields in Middle East by 2025 .
Now lets take a look on vision .
What would be Iran after 20 Years?
- The first country in the region at economic, scientific and technology levels
- line of thinking, i.e. the prioritization of becoming an “economic and technological power” over other policy areas, is very evident in Iran’s 20-Year Perspective Document which has produced the first ever official long-term macro strategy of the Islamic Republic.
Desired Iranian Society
It describes the “desired Iranian society” for the year 2025 as follows :
- Secure, independent and powerful
- Progressive
- Knowledge-based
- Economic growth based on a large portion of social capital
- Growth of social capital through education
- Society capable of steady economic capacity building
Economic and Technological Power :
- The aim to become an “economic and technological power” is at the heart of Iran’s new understanding of Iran’s foreign and security relations.
- In other words, a consolidation of Iran’s economic significance, especially on a regional and international scale, would improve Iran’s foreign relations and national security standing.
3 Scenarios for Iran’s Future :
- Expansionism,
- Isolationism,
- Pro Development
The 20-Year Perspective calls for Iran to become an “economic and technological power”, underscores the Islamic Republic’s desire to give economic development priority over other policy areas.
I. R. Iran’s Goals :
While the interrelation between economic power and foreign interaction is disputed by some analysts and intellectuals, there are good reasons to believe that the Islamic Republic of Iran is pursuing an agenda of economic growth and technological advancement in order to achieve one or more of the following goals :
- Increase the system's legitimacy among the Iranian society through improved economic conditions and higher efficiency;
- Consolidate Iran’s regional and international position by projecting a greater significance both as an engine of regional economic stability, and also as one of the key suppliers of energy in a tense global energy market;
- Secure the international respect that has been missing in Iran’s international relations.
Five-Year Plans Foci :
While the document outlines the various policies in the fields of culture, socio-political developments, foreign policy, defense, economy and environment, it also determines the foci of the five-year plans that will be drafted in the 20-year period.
Orientations of the four upcoming five-year plans :
Realization of fast-pace and sustainable growth;
- Generation of sustainable employment opportunities and reduction of unemployment figures;
- Creation of a competitive market environment and facilitation of Iran’s competitiveness on an international scale;
- Promotion of efficiency growth, especially the efficiency of Total Factor Production (energy, capital, human resources, water etc.)
- Proactive interaction with the rest of the world in all fields and mutual interrelationship between the global economy and the Iranian economy;
- Promotion of entrepreneurship as well as innovative initiatives and technological and research capacity building;
- Provision of food security through self-sufficiency in agricultural production;
- Development of a diverse, knowledge-based economy driven by human capital and modern technologies;
- Active presence in regional and international markets and participation in the international division of labor;
- Generation of incentives for non-oil exports and promotion of all products that are internationally competitive;
- Creation of a market environment that attracts the domestic and international business community as well as entrepreneurs focusing on security, sustainability and respect for material and intellectual property rights;
- Focus on Iran’s competitive and comparative advantages and the creation of new advantages;
- Containment of inflation and promotion of growing purchasing power for the lower and medium income classes;
- Promotion of the role of the cooperative sector through facilitation of this sector’s access to market intelligence, technology and facilitation of greater interaction between various cooperatives;
- Promotion of the role of the private and cooperative sectors in all economic activities by limiting the government role to presence in the key sectors mentioned in Article 44 of the Constitution and by making the regulatory role of the government as efficient as possible.
Iran’s Foreign policy Preferences :
The Constitution of the Islamic Republic makes clear Iran’s preferences in foreign policy.
Four groups of countries are ranked in preference:
(1) Iran’s neighbors;
(2) Muslim countries;
(3) Third World countries;
(4) countries that furnish political, economic, social and/or military needs of Iran.
Iran’s New Foreign policy during Vision Document’s Era :
- Provincial: Russia, Afghanistan, Iraq,
- Bilateral: Japan, Egypt, Brazil
- Multilateral: India and Turkmenistan
- Regional: GCC, ECO, CASCO,
- International: USA, Russia, EU
- Relations with International Agencies: UN, IAEA, UNESCO,
Iran’s Membership in Regional/International Organizations :
- United Nations and its institutions
- ECO (Economic Cooperation Organization)
- OPEC (Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries)
- ICO (Islamic Conference Organization)
- North-South Corridor
- D8 (Islamic Developed Countries)
- Non-Aligned Movement
Conclusions:
Iran’s Foreign policy is facing serious challenges during Iran’s 20-Year Perspective.
Most of challenges are related to Iranian borders with its neighbors.
Energy demand and supply equilibrium has dramatic impacts on Iran.
United States different approaches to Iran will change Iran’s destiny.
Looking to East is one option for Iran
Based on Iran’s 20-Year Perspective Document
I just want people to post their opinions about the vision and it's possibility to success .
I don't know another language to beg people not to insult each other or troll in this thread . hope they don't do it here .
Now lets take a look on vision .
What would be Iran after 20 Years?
- The first country in the region at economic, scientific and technology levels
- line of thinking, i.e. the prioritization of becoming an “economic and technological power” over other policy areas, is very evident in Iran’s 20-Year Perspective Document which has produced the first ever official long-term macro strategy of the Islamic Republic.
Desired Iranian Society
It describes the “desired Iranian society” for the year 2025 as follows :
- Secure, independent and powerful
- Progressive
- Knowledge-based
- Economic growth based on a large portion of social capital
- Growth of social capital through education
- Society capable of steady economic capacity building
Economic and Technological Power :
- The aim to become an “economic and technological power” is at the heart of Iran’s new understanding of Iran’s foreign and security relations.
- In other words, a consolidation of Iran’s economic significance, especially on a regional and international scale, would improve Iran’s foreign relations and national security standing.
3 Scenarios for Iran’s Future :
- Expansionism,
- Isolationism,
- Pro Development
The 20-Year Perspective calls for Iran to become an “economic and technological power”, underscores the Islamic Republic’s desire to give economic development priority over other policy areas.
I. R. Iran’s Goals :
While the interrelation between economic power and foreign interaction is disputed by some analysts and intellectuals, there are good reasons to believe that the Islamic Republic of Iran is pursuing an agenda of economic growth and technological advancement in order to achieve one or more of the following goals :
- Increase the system's legitimacy among the Iranian society through improved economic conditions and higher efficiency;
- Consolidate Iran’s regional and international position by projecting a greater significance both as an engine of regional economic stability, and also as one of the key suppliers of energy in a tense global energy market;
- Secure the international respect that has been missing in Iran’s international relations.
Five-Year Plans Foci :
While the document outlines the various policies in the fields of culture, socio-political developments, foreign policy, defense, economy and environment, it also determines the foci of the five-year plans that will be drafted in the 20-year period.
Orientations of the four upcoming five-year plans :
Realization of fast-pace and sustainable growth;
- Generation of sustainable employment opportunities and reduction of unemployment figures;
- Creation of a competitive market environment and facilitation of Iran’s competitiveness on an international scale;
- Promotion of efficiency growth, especially the efficiency of Total Factor Production (energy, capital, human resources, water etc.)
- Proactive interaction with the rest of the world in all fields and mutual interrelationship between the global economy and the Iranian economy;
- Promotion of entrepreneurship as well as innovative initiatives and technological and research capacity building;
- Provision of food security through self-sufficiency in agricultural production;
- Development of a diverse, knowledge-based economy driven by human capital and modern technologies;
- Active presence in regional and international markets and participation in the international division of labor;
- Generation of incentives for non-oil exports and promotion of all products that are internationally competitive;
- Creation of a market environment that attracts the domestic and international business community as well as entrepreneurs focusing on security, sustainability and respect for material and intellectual property rights;
- Focus on Iran’s competitive and comparative advantages and the creation of new advantages;
- Containment of inflation and promotion of growing purchasing power for the lower and medium income classes;
- Promotion of the role of the cooperative sector through facilitation of this sector’s access to market intelligence, technology and facilitation of greater interaction between various cooperatives;
- Promotion of the role of the private and cooperative sectors in all economic activities by limiting the government role to presence in the key sectors mentioned in Article 44 of the Constitution and by making the regulatory role of the government as efficient as possible.
Iran’s Foreign policy Preferences :
The Constitution of the Islamic Republic makes clear Iran’s preferences in foreign policy.
Four groups of countries are ranked in preference:
(1) Iran’s neighbors;
(2) Muslim countries;
(3) Third World countries;
(4) countries that furnish political, economic, social and/or military needs of Iran.
Iran’s New Foreign policy during Vision Document’s Era :
- Provincial: Russia, Afghanistan, Iraq,
- Bilateral: Japan, Egypt, Brazil
- Multilateral: India and Turkmenistan
- Regional: GCC, ECO, CASCO,
- International: USA, Russia, EU
- Relations with International Agencies: UN, IAEA, UNESCO,
Iran’s Membership in Regional/International Organizations :
- United Nations and its institutions
- ECO (Economic Cooperation Organization)
- OPEC (Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries)
- ICO (Islamic Conference Organization)
- North-South Corridor
- D8 (Islamic Developed Countries)
- Non-Aligned Movement
Conclusions:
Iran’s Foreign policy is facing serious challenges during Iran’s 20-Year Perspective.
Most of challenges are related to Iranian borders with its neighbors.
Energy demand and supply equilibrium has dramatic impacts on Iran.
United States different approaches to Iran will change Iran’s destiny.
Looking to East is one option for Iran
Based on Iran’s 20-Year Perspective Document
I just want people to post their opinions about the vision and it's possibility to success .
I don't know another language to beg people not to insult each other or troll in this thread . hope they don't do it here .
