VCheng
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well if you start talking about inputs etc., in economics everything has an indirect effect on everything. but the question is how much will the effect be?
according to an exercise done by Finance Ministry and FBR, there will only be 0.63% increase in inflation.
however, negative reporting is fuelling the inflation expectations which will exacerbate the situation.
Let's agree on some definitions if we are to dicsuss this further:
From Wikipedia:
The term direct tax generally means a tax paid directly to the government by the persons on whom it is imposed.
The term indirect tax has more than one meaning.
In the colloquial sense, an indirect tax (such as sales tax, a specific tax [a tax per unit], value added tax (VAT), or goods and services tax (GST)) is a tax collected by an intermediary (such as a retail store) from the person who bears the ultimate economic burden of the tax (such as the customer). The intermediary later files a tax return and forwards the tax proceeds to government with the return.
In this sense, the term indirect tax is contrasted with a direct tax which is collected directly by government from the persons (legal or natural) on which it is imposed.
Some commentators have argued that "a direct tax is one that cannot be shifted by the taxpayer to someone else, whereas an indirect tax can be."
An indirect tax may increase the price of a good so that consumers are actually paying the tax by paying more for the products. Examples would be fuel, liquor, and cigarette taxes. An excise duty on motor cars is paid in the first instance by the manufacturer of the cars; ultimately the manufacturer transfers the burden of this duty to the buyer of the car in form of a higher price.
Thus, an indirect tax is such which can be shifted or passed on.
The degree to which the burden of a tax is shifted determines whether a tax is primarily direct or primarily indirect. This is a function of the relative elasticity of the supply and demand of the goods or services being taxes.
Under this definition, even income taxes may be indirect. For example, if the supply of surgeons is tightly regulated, and income tax rates for high income earners are increased, if their fees do not change, surgeons might be inclined to work fewer hours and enjoy more leisure time. But if receiving surgery is a matter of life and death, in a free market, patients will bid up surgeons' fees, thereby drawing surgeons from their leisure and back into the operating room.
The incidence of the income tax will therefore shifted from the surgeons to patients, and the income tax in this example turns out to be an indirect tax.
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