JamD
SENIOR MEMBER
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- Mar 26, 2015
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I know I keep bringing in conventional and nuclear conflict but let me just emphasize my point:We need to develop the same insecure mindset of the Indians to be able to fight them. So, I would never assume they wouldn't use all of their stocks as soon as possible. Like @SQ8 said, India's planners want to decimate us as rapidly as possible. Therefore, Pakistan must fight on those terms. Basically, if India looks like it's intending to conventionally end a war within hours of it starting, Pakistan must match that, if not exceed it. Unfortunately, our fiscal capacity and industrial infrastructure does not allow for that parity.
Very obviously India would like to decimate Pakistan's war fighting capability without going nuclear. The risk with that is that Pakistan says it will use nukes if its integrity is threatened even if no nukes have been used against it. Now with Indias (increasingly) aggressive posturing (surgical strikes, balakot, whatever is next) they are hoping to either:
1. Call our bluff
2. Die in a nuclear armageddon
Here's the new problem on our end. It appears India is more and more risk averse to possibility number 2. And it goes without saying that Pakistan does not want South Asia to burn. So we need to have a nonnuclear response that you have just talked about. Swift Retort was one such response. A bigger action from India will require a bigger response from our side.
We can expect India to launch a nuclear counterstrike to pull us into a nuclear war even if we launch nonnuclear CMs at them. India has been destabilizing South Asia by appearing to act irrationally. That is the problem.
If we blunt Indias massive strike in a certifiably nonnuclear manner then India will have no other options other than nuclear first strikeI know I keep bringing in conventional and nuclear conflict but let me just emphasize my point:
Very obviously India would like to decimate Pakistan's war fighting capability without going nuclear. The risk with that is that Pakistan says it will use nukes if its integrity is threatened even if no nukes have been used against it. Now with Indias (increasingly) aggressive posturing (surgical strikes, balakot, whatever is next) they are hoping to either:
1. Call our bluff
2. Die in a nuclear armageddon
Here's the new problem on our end. It appears India is more and more risk averse to possibility number 2. And it goes without saying that Pakistan does not want South Asia to burn. So we need to have a nonnuclear response that you have just talked about. Swift Retort was one such response. A bigger action from India will require a bigger response from our side.
We can expect India to launch a nuclear counterstrike to pull us into a nuclear war even if we launch nonnuclear CMs at them. India has been destabilizing South Asia by appearing to act irrationally. That is the problem.