That means around five or six years from now. Thats great! In mean time we will ensure Kashmiris become more 'open' to Indian side. Also in the mean time, India will have few more SSBNs and possibly add GPS/Glonass and heck Beidou navigation in their SLBMs. What will you do then? Re-draft entire plan?
And just another tip, Chinese have not sold you their nuclear submarines or their jet engine technology to you. Why do you think they will sell you their ace in the hole, when they depend upon the same to challenge USA? US lurks around almost everywhere in Pakistan, you think that they will trust you with such an important weapon?
Calculated risk? All your calculation is with assumption that you will be able to destroy ALL the strategic asset in a country six times your size, their SLBM technology will stand still, their submarine technology is and will remain vulnerable to your detection! Essentially all your Risk calculation assumes possible incompetency of your enemy more than your own current or potential capabilities, an enemy who has given you enough trouble in 1971. I thought SunZun or TunTun or ChunChun said do not underestimate your enemy. Didn't your Iron brother taught you that?
Remember you are going for first strike, if you start issuing such messages in your major cities, especially those which are not near border, it is like taking a full page ad in Dawn to advertise your intentions of using nuclear weapons.
2-3 hours? Karachi? Karachi's population estimate is 20+ million.
Assuming you plan to evacuate one in 10 person from Karachi, this means you will need provision for around 2,000,000 people to be moved out of Karachi. At a short notice of 2-3 hours, this means over-packed to capacity a bus carrying around 100 people will require 20,000 buses running all together to evacuate these people. Karachi has around 6000 buses (
http://dunyanews.tv/en/Pakistan/295074-Lack-of-public-transport-in-Karachi-anguishes-peop). Even with all the buses appropriated by military, this will be a tall order. Do evacuate Karachi completely in itself will be a HUGE logistic nightmare and to do this in 2-3 hours that too while maintaining secrecy all along is simply unthinkable. Sorry, I have to call your bluff in this. And this was just Karachi. Add Lahore, Islamabad, Multan, Gwadar into equation and you have more people dying in the movement itself.
Mujhe to lagta tha ki daaru peena Islam me haram hei.
Actually, since past five years, we are spending less and less portion of our GDP per year on defence.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_India
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?end=2015&locations=IN&start=2010
Cannot say same about Pakistan though.
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?end=2015&locations=PK&start=2010
I am sure this fraction for Pakistan will keep on going up and up.