I'd suggest you re-evaluate your assessment. It's flawed. Part of learning is confirmation or rejection of any thesis. I've spent four years here and much, much more elsewhere trying to understand your very interesting region of the world.
I've learned that my assessment in 2007 of this war is turning to truth before my eyes. Yup.
Lieven's five proffered myths are, for the most part, accurate. So? What element of my discourse essentially contradicts his findings?
Did I say Pakistan was America's ally in the WoT? No.
I said America was Pakistan's ally though. Did I say Pakistan is an ally of the afghan taliban? No.
I said Pakistan has harbored the Afghan taliban leadership...and Pakistan has. Lieven suggests it's Pakistan's desire to retain the Afghan taliban as post-American proxy weapon in a looming civil war. I've long-said EXACTLY that. There is a simple but subtle difference which eludes many. Perhaps even you.
Have I said an islamist revolution is coming to Pakistan? Absolutely not. I've indicated clearly that Pakistanis are happy to foist upon the afghan people that which they won't accept for themselves.
Massive U.S. aid hasn't gained us one iota of traction towards removing Haqqani or Omar from the equation. To this end, most here whom rail at their Pakistani civilian government should instead offer credit where due. Zardari, Gilani, et al have done a superb job of offering lip service to the U.S. government while not commiting yourselves to a thing. Almost certainly self-preservation yet the net result is they're hardly our stooges as so-often implied here at def.pk.
I know that and we haven't even addressed your army. So let's do so-
"...none of this means that the United States should pursue more aggressive policies against Pakistan to win the war on terrorism. Pakistans enormous population, nuclear weapons and 500,000-strong military limit American options. Any U.S. action that endangered the stability of the Pakistani government would be insane. Nukes could fall into the hands of terrorists, along with huge quantities of conventional arms. Still embroiled in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya, President Obama has no choice but to work with Pakistan and its military..."
Now Lieven is wrong suggesting we're "
embroiled" anywhere but Afghanistan. Our military drawdown in Iraq is nearly complete. Our engagement in Europe's lil' Libyan affair is peripheral at best. He's also wrong suggesting Pakistan's 500,000 man army limits our options. Your vaunted military are a non-issue. Obama does have a choice and is slowly exercising it-withdrawal.
You write of a divergence of interests. No kidding. Tell me something I don't know please? Now...while we may be your ally Pakistan is America's enemy. You sustain a proxy war against our forces today and have for the entire length of this war. To that end there's American blood already on Pakistan's hands. I understand that. We can't be more diverged than such. My government has naively held out hope that might change-
one for all and all for one global community of nations sh!t.
Not I. I pray for our departure-the sooner the better. Of course Pakistan shall emerge triumphant. Gloatingly so, likely.
That's fine. Into what shall you emerge though?
Here's where the "great game" to which you allude becomes interesting. Your afghan taliban may have their way for the most part. Never, though, shall they have all. As such Afghanistan is condemned to perpetual civil war with the primary actors Pakistan, the afghan taliban, northern alliance (again), India, Russia, Iran and the CAR states. All will play their part.
Pakistan? Your TTP won't be going away anytime soon. You've set up their afghan brothers all-too-nicely and sanctuary awaits them across the border. So too other helpfully meddlesome hands. As it is you've not nor can eliminate the threat now. Add to the threats, though, because Balochistan will only get worse. Not better. Meddlesome opportunities abound there as well. Pakistan can be assured others also know how to play the proxy game.
America? We'll be fine. Our energy doesn't come from there nor likely shall anytime soon. Meanwhile CAR's development as a resource repository for the world will wait a never-ending civil war.
"...in the long run, the US must deal with why she does not have deep or mutually friendly relations with a single Muslim majority country..."
You are correct that we don't have such a relationship but you're incorrect to assume we must anytime before "
the long run". The fact is there's not a muslim-majority nation of sufficient worth to have a deep and meaningful government-to-government relationship.
Have you recently looked at a map? America is accused of propping despotic regimes all over the muslim world. Of course we'll ignore Iraq as they could easily CHOOSE to again become a despotic sh!thole...not that they aren't offered a chance otherwise. Still, the list is non-existent...including Pakistan. Of course, what would muslims say were we to 1.) withdraw all contacts and/or 2.) militarily intervene in, say, Syria...or Iran...or Pakistan.
OTOH, do you recall what nation gave the afghan taliban the most humanitarian aid through the auspices of the U.N. during their reign? Allow me to remind those here. America.
Friendly relations with muslim-majority states is a fascinating discussion that merits further exploration sometime. Let's do so, shall we?