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Home / Devious Plans of China to bring in the issue of Andaman and Nicobar Islands ownership
Devious Plans of China to bring in the issue of Andaman and Nicobar Islands ownership
Paper No. 6152 Dated 21-Jul-2016

Guest Column by Commodore RS Vasan IN (Retd)

There have been some reports from New Delhi to indicate that China’s Officiating Ambassador to India made a quid-pro-quo suggestion to India seeking its support for its South China Sea (SCS) claims based on historicity to resolve the outstanding border disputes.

According to the Chinese official, some accommodation could be made on the McMahan line if India supported the claims of China in SCS. As per the article by Vice Admiral AK Singh carried in the Deccan Chronicle on 13th July 2016http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/node/2031#_edn1 this Machiavellian suggestion was made on April 19th in New Delhi when some of the think tanks were invited to participate in the discussion about South China Sea (SCS). Apparently the officiating Ambassador at that time is reported to have said that “Someone in future may dispute the ownership of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands”. This is also corroborated by Dr Subhash Kapila in an article carried by South Asia Analysis Group where the author has cautioned India about being complacent in the defence of Andaman and Nicobar Islands[ii] which serve as the forward posts of India and crucial for India’s maritime defence plans.

China Cornered. It was known that the verdict would not be favourable to China due to the untenable claims under the provisions of UNCLOS to which China is a signatory. According to the same article quoted above, when a maritime think tank visited China in May 2016, the Chinese hosts discreetly suggested that at some future date the ownership of Andaman and Nicobar could be disputed echoing the views expressed by the Chinese official on 19th April 2016 while interacting with the members of think tanks in Delhi. It is very clear that the Chinese had seen the writing on the wall as for as the award by the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) was concerned and were working at many levels to seek support and mitigate the adversarial position in which China found itself post the verdict. This did not leave out India its big neighbour with whom the land borders remain unresolved even after some eighteen rounds of meetings and discussions. The unresolved border issue remains a thorn in the bilateral relations of the two countries.

There are no disputes as for as the maritime assets are concerned and the attempt of China to bring in the unwarranted issue of A&N can at best be termed as totally convoluted, frivolous and mischievous. At one level, it clearly demonstrates the forward thinking capability of the Chinese mind and at another level also indicates the wily ways by which it wants to enlist the support of other countries. Even after the verdict, China has been engaging the Philippines Government in bilateral talk to ensure that there is no backlash in the South China Sea. Any change in the status quo in SCS would be detrimental to the long term plans of China to establish its claimed sovereignty in SCS to uphold its illegitimate claims based on historicity.

Andaman and Nicobar Islands. There is a need to look at the A&N Islands and its strategic importance before analyzing the reasons for this misadventure by China. After the British left India, it became part of India in 1950 and became a Union Territory of India in 1956. Recorded Indian history of these Islands brings out the role of Cholas and Marathas who owned these Islands and used them for furthering their strategic ambitions. Rajendra Chola (1014-1042 CE)[iii] conquered the A&N and used this to wage wars against the Sri Wijaya Empire in Sumatra. In the 17th century, this was used as a Maratha base by the Maratha Admiral Kanhoji Angre who fought valiantly against the British and the Dutch. The Navy has named a base on the west coast of India in the honour of this Maratha Admiral who ruled the seas. He is even credited with annexing these Islands to India[iv].

It is surprising that China can even conjure up some future dispute over the A&N Islands whereas there has never been any doubt about the ownership. China has had no presence in the recorded history of A&N Islands since times immemorial and this clever ploy will not work for China and only exposes its insidious ways while dealing with its neighbours. China is concerned with its vulnerability through the Malacca Straits in to the Indian Ocean since it passes under the watchful eyes of the Tri Services command in Port Blair. The Tri services Command is watching the movement of all of China’s merchant and war ships as they are on passage through the Sea Lines of Communication.(SLOCs). Concerned with SLOC safety and energy security, China is closely monitoring the developments in A&N Islands. It even considers this geographic advantage of India as a thorn to its Indian Ocean ambitions.

The importance of the A&N Islands cannot be overstated in the ever changing maritime dynamics in the South China Sea and also the Indian Ocean. While the Pacific and the Indian Oceans are connected through the Malacca Straits, India has its Tri Services command the only joint command in Port Blair. On the face of it, it is evident that India enjoys a geographic advantage in the Indian Ocean[v] due to the possession of Island both in the Bay of Bengal and also in the Arabian Sea. While a lot has been done to ensure that these Islands are well protected and provide India with the advance warning and response capability, there is a need to shore up the Command, Control, Communication, Computer, Intelligence, Inter-operability, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C4I2SR)[vi] architecture in the area to ensure that there are no surprises by the Chinese who already have a token presence in the Coco Islands on lease from Myanmar in the Andaman Sea. In this context, the importance of setting up a Radar Station in Narcondam Island[vii] has been covered by this author in an analysis carried both by SAAG and C3S.

With the heavy sea traffic through the 10 degree channel and the Andaman Sea, the fragile marine environment around the A&N islands also needs to be protected and there is a need for coordinated action led by the Tri Services Command by involving the nearby South East Asian countries. It has been suggested that there is an immediate need to initiate coordinated and cooperative measures through the biennial useful maritime forum Milan in Port Blair[viii]. The post Tsunami assistance for affected nations and the initiative in setting up of the Tsunami warning facility by India has been well received by the countries of the region. Also there is scope for sub regional Search and Rescue (SAR) mechanism to be put in place by involving the countries of the region post the dis appearance of MH 370 which exposed the chinks in the SAR architecture.

India’s Response. While there are no inputs available on the India’s response to this unofficial and cocky Chinese suggestion during interaction with think tanks in India and China, India needs to be weary of China’s efforts to apply queer logic to pressurise India by bringing in A&N ownership question to support its dubious claims in the SCS. By linking it with the possibility of resolving the land borders, China tried to provide some incentive for India to be on the Chinese side. It is clear that China was testing the waters and assessing the mood of the influential members in the think tanks on this unworthy proposal.

Whether or not China approaches India officially on this issue, in addition to supporting the provisions of UNCLOS, India should firmly reject this audacious assumption that someday in future the ownership of A&N could be contested. It should be taken as a wakeup call in terms of its preparedness in the A&N Islands. The defence of the group of Islands is indeed a top priority now along with the necessary shoring up for offensive operations as and when warranted. India should seriously examine the need to set up submarine basing facility in the Islands. India also needs to engage ASEAN in general and Thailand, Myanmar and Indonesia in particular (due to the close proximity to A&N Islands) more vigorously to synergise the efforts in the Andaman Sea and in the Malacca Straits for both peace time operations and for contingencies.

Conclusion. It is very obvious that China today stands isolated post the verdict of the PCA and faces the danger of being branded as a violator of international obligations. The PCA verdict has come at a time when tensions in the SCS are rising. The claimed support to China’s position by other nations can be counted on one’s fingers. China is leaving no stone unturned to buttress its claims and is even willing to negotiate with India by offering to resolve the long standing border dispute in exchange for support in the South China Sea. By bringing in the hypothetical possibility of the ownership of A&N being contested at a later date by someone, it has sounded the alarm for India. India needs to work at many levels to ward off such misadventures by China. There will be no need for any official response as this was an attempt by a serving official in India and the researchers in China to see what India’s response would be for this innocuous looking suggestion. With China now eyeing A&N, India has to up the ante in terms of its readiness in these Islands and ensure that the Tri Services Command in Port Blair and the rulers in Delhi are not caught off guard.

(The author who is presently the Director of Chennai Centre of China Studies and Head of Strategy and Security Studies at the Center for Asia Studies)


http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/node/2031#_ednref1 http://www.deccanchronicle.com/opin...pe-watch-china-it-may-be-eyeing-andamans.html Article by Vice Admiral AK Singh carried in Deccan Chronicle on 13th July 2016. Accessed on 15th July 2016

[ii] http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/node/2029 Article by Dr Subhash Kapila which corroborates the interaction wit the Chinese officials both in India and in China during the interaction with think tanks. Accessed on 18th July 2016

[iii] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rajendra_Chola_I the Wikipedia lists with all the references the use of Andaman Islands by Rajendra Chola 1. Accessed on 20th July 2016

[iv] http://*********************/forum/threads/inauguration-of-sarkhel-kanhoji-angre-memorial.76320/

Accessed on 20th July 2016

[v] http://www.newindianexpress.com/opinion/article152656.ece in an article titled “It is advantage India carried in the Indian Express updated on 16th May 2012. Accessed on 20th July 2016.

[vi] https://www.scribd.com/document/47305639/China-s-Maritime-Ambitions-by-RS-Vasan details of the importance of Andaman and Nicobar highlighted in a paper titled China’s Maritime Ambitions in the Indian Ocean available in the link of Scribd accessed on 20th July 2016

[vii] http://www.c3sindia.org/india/4095 Strategic Importance of Nicobar Islands to India has been covered in the article carried by SAAG and C3S. Accessed on 19th July 2016

[viii] in an article by this author which examined India-ASEAN Relations; Challenges & Opportunities for 21st Century vide http://www.c3sindia.org/india/4562 Accessed on 19th July 2016


India Needs to Fast-Track Securing Andaman & Nicobar Islands against China’s Covetous Designs
India Needs to Fast-Track Securing Andaman & Nicobar Islands against China’s Covetous Designs

Paper No. 6150 Dated 19-Jul-2016

By Dr Subhash Kapila

China has cast its covetous designs on India’s Andaman & Nicobar Islands evidenced by recent Chinese statements both in New Delhi and in China. Imperatives exist of fast-track securing of these strategic Islands.

Media reports indicate that on April 19 2016 the Officiating Chinese Ambassador in New Delhi on conclusion of a presentation for Indian strategic and policy analysts on South China Sea at the Chinese Embassy made two significant remarks. Firstly, he asserted that if India were to support China on the South China Sea issue, then China may consider accommodating India on the McMahon Line issue. Secondly, and more significantly, the Officiating Chinese Ambassador remarked that “Someone in future may dispute the ownership of Andaman & Nicobar Islands”.

In no mean coincidence, the same media report states that in May 2016 during a visit to China by some Indian think-tanks delegation, a similar assertion was made by the Chinese host that “In future, the Andaman & Nicobar Islands could be disputed by someone”.

The above leads to the question as to who is this “someone” that China is referring to on two different occasions within the space of one month. Is China playing mind-games or should India take these assertions more seriously. Going by historical examples of past Chinese patterns of coveting Indian Territory in the pre-1962 period, India should not be dismissive of the present Chinese assertions. Also, it needs to be recorded that in the past some Chinese maps had shown these Islands as Chinese possessions, as per some media reports. Reports also exist of Chinese submarines and naval ships prowling around these Islands just outside the territorial limits.

In 2016, India’s sovereignty over the Andaman & Nicobar Islands poses strong challenges to China’s plans of affecting a strong Indian Ocean presence. India by virtue of these Islands sits squarely covering the routes of ingress and egress from the Straits of Milaca, through which China’s vital lifeline sea routes traverse. As reflected in my various strategic papers, India sits in a commanding position at the junction of the South China Sea with the Indian Ocean.

Further reflected in my recent book “China-India Military Confrontation: 21st Century Perspectives” India as a result of the above strategic advantages enjoys a potent leverage against China in relation to the Himalayan border disputes with China.

Imperatives therefore exist that India secures the Andaman &Nicobar Islands in iron-clad armour to pre-empt any Chinese covetous designs. While the main islands are secure it is the small scattered islands especially in the South that India needs to pay more attention to.

India has in recent years, and more so in the last two years has gone-in for sizeable enhancements of the defence of these Islands, looked after by India’s only Tri-Service Command, the Andaman & Nicobar Command.

But India’s present military posture in the Andaman & Nicobar Islands isms to be only minimally defensive and is ‘Not Strongly Deterrent’ against those coveting these Indian Islands so strategically placed and imparting India with the capability of dominating the Malacca Straits.

To improve India’s deterrent capabilities in an environment so dominated by maritime expanses, India needs to set-up a dedicated Andaman & Nicobar Islands Naval Fleet for full-spectrum maritime surveillance, domination and deterrence. The Indian Navy would know best how to operationalise these critical requirements including sizeable Coast Guard assets for intra-islands surveillance and security.

Indian Air Force is reported to have stationed only one fighter squadron, which is not adequate. At least three dedicated fighter squadrons are required along with heavy attack helicopters.

The Indian Army is reported to have just about a brigade to cover these vast island possessions. Besides an infantry brigade group, the Army must also station an amphibious warfare brigade and a Special Forces Battalion. This is a nucleus strength on which enhanced levels of forces can be built upon in an emergency.

India should consider deployment of the Border Security Force for picqueting of the more important Southern Islands under command of the Tri-Service Command.

The military infrastructure needs sizeable investments to sustain the enhanced levels of force deployments. Infrastructure development in terms of jetties, airfields and air-strips, for speedy implementation should be entrusted to Army Engineer Groups and to Border Roads Organisation.

For consideration is also the requirement of resettlements of all major islands with Army Veterans and they should be given attractive benefits and subsidies to resettle themselves.

Coming back to China’s covetous designs, what needs to be discounted is an overt military operation by China as there will be enough early warning indicators as give away. But surreptiously and creeping occupation of out-flung islands should not be ruled out, It is also unlikely that China would be able to gain spring-boards for its military operations making use of some South East Asian countries.

The contingency that is being visualised is that in coordination with a Chinese sizeable military offensive on the Himalayan borders, China also launches an airborne or seaborne invasion of Indian island territories. Once China gets a foothold on any of the Islands of the Andaman & Nicobar Islands Group, India would have a Herculean task to throw out the Chinese occupation.

While on this subject, it needs to be pointed out that India would need the cooperation of nations like Myanmar, Indonesia and Singapore for security and logistics sustenance of these Islands and our diplomacy should take this into account.

In conclusion, what needs to be stressed ad nauseum is that India cannot afford a repeat of Aksai Chin in the Andaman & Nicobar Islands. Distance should not be grounds for complacency or slow implementation. At the very least, in terms of Prime Minister Modi’s stress on development, let there be an overdrive for upgradation of infrastructure in the Andaman & Nicobar Islands, serving the dual needs of civilians and more importantly the military requirements to secure India’s prized strategic possessions imparting India with sizeable strategic leverages.
 
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China should strengthen it's position in Indian Ocean too. Also China should equip Pakistan navy and convert it into a massive force which will act as Chinese ally in that region.

If indians are poking their dirty noses in South China Sea, Chinese should do the same.
 
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Late Sukarno had famously stated that A-N either belongs to (E) Pakistan or Indonesia. Google the map to see how correct he was.
Dont Know about their claims but Bangladesh, Pakistan and Indonesia Historically belonged to India... If we go to International court, our claims are more historically justified then the Chinese Claims of Tibet belonging to China...
 
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China should strengthen it's position in Indian Ocean too. Also China should equip Pakistan navy and convert it into a massive force which will act as Chinese ally in that region.

If indians are poking their dirty noses in South China Sea, Chinese should do the same.



Another wet dream..
 
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A&N for Bangladesh???:rofl:
Your whole defence forces will not be enough for our IN
 
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Late Sukarno had famously stated that A-N either belongs to (E) Pakistan or Indonesia. Google the map to see how correct he was.
It was the Bengali muslims who by blood and sweat made the Andaman & Nicobar islands living worthy.It was dense forest with few thousands stone age tribal people there before Bengali muslims cut forested land to make it habitable for civilized human and they settled there by thousands.British made a big injustice by not making it part of East Pakistan during partition:(.Bangladesh should make legal claim to win back this disputed territory.
 
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India has historical claims to all of south east asia .. starting from Srilanka to modern day Philippines --- all territories in between. Thanks to Cholas

This I say by the same logic as our Chinese friends claim any territory, and water!!

I also stake claim to maldives, and of course Pakistan and Afghanistan ...

Thanks to everyone in between. Also Samarkand and right upto Turkey.

Come on I deserve positive ratings and many thanks for this stupendously informative(of stupidity) post!!!

:woot::woot::woot:

It was the Bengali muslims who by blood and sweat made the Andaman & Nicobar islands living worthy.It was dense forest with few thousands stone age tribal people there before Bengali muslims cut forested land to make it habitable for civilized human and they settled there by thousands.British made a big injustice by not making it part of East Pakistan during partition:(.Bangladesh should make legal claim to win back this disputed territory.

Umm the actual work started with migration from Africa of the presently indigenous population of Sentinel Island as also Jarawas.

And the credit of clearing up the islands rests with the prisoners sent to the penal colony by brits, the japanese who used them for it again in WW2 during their occupation

Now which category does Bengali Muslim belong to?
 
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Yeah; Please go ahead ; if you win the case we will give it to you
For this to happen,mass awareness about the facts are needed in both India and Bangladesh.If people create pressure then govt. will be forced to act.
 
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India has historical claims to all of south east asia .. starting from Srilanka to modern day Philippines --- all territories in between. Thanks to Cholas

This I say by the same logic as our Chinese friends claim any territory, and water!!

I also stake claim to maldives, and of course Pakistan and Afghanistan ...

Thanks to everyone in between. Also Samarkand and right upto Turkey.

Come on I deserve positive ratings and many thanks for this stupendously informative(of stupidity) post!!!

:woot::woot::woot:



Umm the actual work started with migration from Africa of the presently indigenous population of Sentinel Island as also Jarawas.

And the credit of clearing up the islands rests with the prisoners sent to the penal colony by brits, the japanese who used them for it again in WW2 during their occupation

Now which category does Bengali Muslim belong to?

map-1050-chola.jpg



Well according to their logic we even won them.
 
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