The unsuccessfully fate of IDF attacks on DIV 16 &Suez and Ismailya, point to the expected scenario that would have resulted if IDF tried to attack the 3rd Army after the 24th of OCT.
IDF generals were afraid to attack the 3rd army and accepted the ceasefire and withdrawal 35km to the east after that , any other excuses are pathetic .
Most if not all USSR aid went to Syria because Syrian front was in a critical situation on the first few days . USSR aid came to Egypt after ceasefire . Focusing on 3rd army is an Israeli propaganda , 3rd army had 250 tank on that time ,Egypt in two days only on 8,9 October destroyed 300 Israeli tank but it wasn't the end of the war .
Don't take US as an excuse , US saved the whole Israeli army from destruction , by Operation Nickel Grass to replace all the destroyed tanks,aircrafts ,giving Tow missiles ,ECMs ,howtizers ,munitions ..etc
But till the last day Israelis couldn't destroy EAF which considered as a double failure because Egypt didn't receive that huge supplies .
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IDF on the west was in a danger to be destroyed .
IDF propganda which is presenting the 3rd army seige " it was partial seige" as the only outcome of the war ,while ignoring the forced existence of around 150,000 to 200,000 Egyptian troops in IDF pre-war positions, is pathetic.
Egyptians on east canal 1/Nov/1973 hold their lands .
The Egyptian GC was preparing to cut the passage from the reinforced 2nd army positions in the north with a simultanous local attacks on IDF divisions west of the Canal. You should not limit the new operations to the 3rd army front. By trying to demolish the 3rd army, IDF should prove that it can hold long defensive positions against a determined well organized multi node Egyptian attack on Canal west front. Only, the opposite was proved on the 6th of October.
IDF failed to maintain its Counter attack War objects till the 22nd of Oct. Egypt & Israel agreed to Ceasefire & UN decision 338 on that day. IDF violated the ceasefire & maintained a ground surround of the third army on the 24th of Oct. Yet, this try for reversing the War outcome was blocked by Egypt threat that unless IDF retreat to th 22nd lines, the Egyptian Army will resume its operations & open an access to the 3rd army. Fearing from the erupt further military actions, Israel agreed to hold military discussions with the Egyptians to discuss the issue of the 22nd lines .
Quote from David Nicolle and Tom Cooper in their book “arab mig-19 and mig-21 units in combat
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The Egyptian Army has fulfilled his War targets. IDF never returned to its 5th of Oct positions which were conquered by the Egyptian Army. The War started with the 50% of Canal shores under direct occupation by IDF. After 18 days of fighting, 75% of Suez Canal shores became under the Egyptian Army direct control. The trapped third army divisions are far counterbalanced by the threatened positions of IDF 3 armored divisions west of the Canal. An attrition war was started from the 30th of Nov till the 18th of Jan 1974. IDF retreat was obligatory & took place on the 18th of Jan till the passes lines.
Missouri ridge remained a problem. From that position, the Egyptians could fire, and direct fire, on the Israelis in the corridor. Sharon's remaining forces on the east bank were unable to take the position, and settled in about one kilometer north of Chinese Farm
The fact is that the IDF was under extrieme pressure from the Egyptian army on both Canal fronts. From the 24th of October till the 18th of January, an attrition war was imposed where more than 200 IDF troops were killed & further equipment destroyed, more that 11 aircrafts downed .
The agreement was reached on the 11/Nov reflects the real IDF critical situation on the west which forced it to withdraw without maintaining any Political return,complete failure .
The 18th of Jan first disengagement agreement reflects the Egyptian army victory. Here IDF withdraw from his threatened positions west of Canal to 35 kms east without any political return.
Even 120 Israel aircraft can't beat only 62 Egyptian Mig-21
I would thank a member "ahmedfire" in another froum where i read his informative posts about YK war .