AAP: Landslide Victory Predicted

[Levina]

Madamji,

Alternate account hai. Original Lavenge Lavenge aur temp1994 hai.

Achhaa!
Aap toh bahut kuch jaante hai.
Are u swamyji by any chance???

The 1994 part whooshed over my head.

 

[Marxist]

this was their opinion poll predictions for LS elections

 

[NKVD]

So when they predicted Modi win in LS, that was fine and when they predicted AK win in Delhi, they're leftist, traitor etc. Lemme put it ti you straight- Pay C Voter enough money and they'll make even you Delhi CM.

Really AS Far i remember it was you who's Shouting and Predicted that the All these surveys are fake and Bjp will Fall short in Even to get 200 seats and AAP will Stop Modi rath What was your Fact behind those Claims

 

[Guynextdoor2]

poll

Really I Far i remember it was you who's Shouting and Predicted that the All these surveys are fake and Bjp will Fall short in Even to get 200 seats and AAP will Stop Modi rath What was your Fact behind those Claims

I never said all surveys are fake, I said only some of them are reliable. Nielsen being one of them coz I too have used them in the past.

 

[NKVD]

this was their opinion poll predictions for LS elections
View attachment 187838

yeah 6:1,4:3 and Myth busted after bjp 7-0

 

[magudi]

Hahaha good to see feku bhakts spreading their vitrol here also

@Guynextdoor2 no bhakt will log in on Feb 10, rest assured, we'll have a field day if any of them do

 

[Guynextdoor2]

this was their opinion poll predictions for LS elections
View attachment 187838

Photochop

 

[magudi]

I think a loosing Delhi for BJP is a must bcoz lately they loose focus on many things. I said its a must bcoz its helps them stop passing loose comments by caders and give for focus on upcoming state elections in Bengal and UP which is in dire need of a nationalistic party which BJP can provide.. But they need a better leader in UP ..

They are burning churches in Delhi is that nationalism? Minorities living in fear and insecurity is that nationalism? Move to remove secularism from preamble - is that nationalism?

 

[Star Wars]

Are u swamyji by any chance???
@Star Wars
.

Shush, don't expose me !!

 

[Levina]

I have deleated them. You and @levina madam should also delete this conversation.

U thot i 'm a fool??
I've deleted it already.

Shush, don't expose me !!

Just tell me how many swamijis do we have here??

 

[NKVD]

So when they predicted Modi win in LS, that was fine and when they predicted AK win in Delhi, they're leftist, traitor etc. Lemme put it ti you straight- Pay C Voter enough money and they'll make even you Delhi CM.

Even your Neilson is Not Milk white As your Claiming @ranjeet @Jason bourne
The Congress has contracted market-research agency Nielsen India to help it zero-in on party candidates with the best chance of winning in the upcoming general elections.

The exercise, a first for the Congress, began a few months ago. A core team advising Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi on candidate selection is providing the agency with a shortlist of at least two probable candidates from the party, besides the name of the sitting MP for each of the 543 Lok Sabha constituencies.

"We are using poll science to identify the most winnable candidate,'' a Congress leader told HT on condition of anonymity.
Nielsen on massive hunt for Cong's best poll bets

 

[magudi]

Really AS Far i remember it was you who's Shouting and Predicted that the All these surveys are fake and Bjp will Fall short in Even to get 200 seats and AAP will Stop Modi rath What was your Fact behind those Claims

Wow so now that you have no opinion polls in your favor you wanna harp onto past. Good luck living in lala land.

 

[ranjeet]

They are burning churches in Delhi is that nationalism? Minorities living in fear and insecurity is that nationalism? Move to remove secularism from preamble - is that nationalism?

Waham ki koi dawai to Baba Ramdev ke paas bhi nahi hai.

 

[Etilla]

An excellent overview of the moves and counter-moves, the shrewd directions taken by AK and the complete blunders done by BJP under AMit Shah. This might well be its waterloo.

I believe this is a fight Kejriwal deserves to win and one that BJP deserves to lose.


The tide of political fortune seldom flows unidirectionally for too long. The tide that brought Narendra Modi to power in May 2014 and seemed to overwhelm every party standing in its path is now hitting the rocks in Delhi. Arvind Kejriwal, who seemed to get nothing right in the first half of last year has now reversed his slide, aided by the complete misreading of his challenge in Delhi by the BJP.
The latest ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll shows a 51-40 split favouring Kejriwal's Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) against the BJP, a sharp rise from a fortnight ago when the BJP was a nose ahead. If this poll has got it right, AAP is not only going to get a majority, but a landslide win. A rising 10-percentage point difference in a largely two-horse race is unlikely to be reversed in the course of a week.
A HT-Fore survey published today (29 January) shows AAP and BJP tied with 38 percent of the vote each. While this means all is not lost for the BJP and a fight will go down to the wire, the momentum seems to be in AAP's direction taking all polls since December into account. So, unless something dramatic alters voters' minds over the next week before polling on 7 February, Kejriwal is still the man on the inside track.
So it is more than likely that on 10 February we will wake up to cries of "Paanch Saal Kejriwal". Barring an unforeseen miraculous shift in fortunes, Kejriwal's tenacity would have scored over Amit Shah's blunders. Shah, the man who had made winning a habit, may get his comeuppance this time.
What is going right for AAP and wrong for BJP all of a sudden?
<img class="size-full wp-image-2069473" src="http://s1.firstpost.in/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/arvind-kejriwal3AFP.jpg" alt="Arvind Kejriwal. AFP." width="380" height="285" />
Arvind Kejriwal. AFP.
In the main, it is obvious that Kejriwal made the right calls after his party's ignominious defeat in the Lok Sabha polls and ill-advised challenges to Modi from Gujarat to Varanasi.
The first call he made was to keep AAP away from all assembly contests and focussing exclusively on Delhi. This was shrewd for several reasons. A party that just lost almost everywhere needed to concentrate its efforts and limited resources in the one place it had the maximum chances of winning.
Kejriwal rightly calculated that losing once more in a state (Haryana) where the party was ill-prepared was not a risk worth taking. He calculated - correctly - that the BJP would be trying to win the bigger states. He concentrated his resources fully in the place the BJP had ignored till last month. He hit the enemy in his weakest spot, and he has gained as a result.
That he was helped by the BJP's strange mix of hubris and reluctance to give battle does not take anything away from what appears to be Kejriwal's likely win on 10 February. He would have earned this victory, assuming it happens as the polls predict.
The BJP developed an inexplicable ambivalence in Delhi despite winning 60 out of 70 assembly segments in the Lok Sabha elections. Logically, it should have administered the coup de grace by holding the Delhi assembly polls in June 2014 when AAP was staggering under defeat and demoralisation. The BJP's complete inability to grasp the chance must go down in history as possibly one of history's best examples of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
Apart from the blunder of delay, which is likely to blot Amit Shah's all-win copybook so far, the BJP made three huge strategic errors that are simply unforgiveable.
First, it ignored the mess and infighting in the Delhi BJP till the end. With hindsight we can say that a rudderless state party should have been fixed first before if the idea was to delay the polls till after the other four assembly elections had been completed.
Second, the induction of Kiran Bedi into the party at the last minute now appears to have been a huge mistake. Not because she is a liability, but simply because there was too little time for the party to adjust to her and her to the party. Moreover, she appears inexperienced in electoral wordplay and seems a novice before the battle-tested Kejriwal. Kejriwal has spent two years in the trenches mixing with voters; Bedi has spent these two years in TV studios and in splendid isolation. She needed time to be coached on what to say and what not to, and also to acclimatise herself to the party she was joining. This lack of time and experience is costing her and the party.
I don't believe she is a misfit in politics; in fact, she is the right fit in the new politics of citizen involvement and improved governance. It is the old BJP which is in a time warp and needs change. Hopefully, the BJP will learn the right lessons the next time.
This writer also completely misread the impact of Kiran Bedi's entry and jumped to conclusion that she was a game-changer (I did my little contribution here by immediately comparing her to RG ). But, as explained above, it may already have been too late.
Third, Amit Shah is now belatedly pulling out all the stops by pushing central ministers and state leaders to stem the tide in Delhi by campaigning in the segments they may have influence over. While I give him full marks for trying to make a real fight of it, the chances are this will be seen as a panic move. Such last-minute manoeuvres are seldom enough to pull back for a douuble-digit vote difference. Delhi also is not the sum of people from various states. At best, Shah can hope to prevent a Kejriwal landslide. But its like putting your finger in the dyke when the dam is about to burst.
I may be jumping the gun by prematurely declaring victory for Kejriwal, and may have egg on my face on 10 February, but analysis with hindsight is no analysis at all. Karl Marx was brilliant in explaining history and poor in predicting its future course. I hope I am not Karl Marx.
I believe this is a fight Kejriwal deserves to win and one that BJP deserves to lose.

Shooooo

 

[Guynextdoor2]

Even your Neilson is Not Milk white As your Claiming @ranjeet @Jason bourne
The Congress has contracted market-research agency Nielsen India to help it zero-in on party candidates with the best chance of winning in the upcoming general elections.

The exercise, a first for the Congress, began a few months ago. A core team advising Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi on candidate selection is providing the agency with a shortlist of at least two probable candidates from the party, besides the name of the sitting MP for each of the 543 Lok Sabha constituencies.

"We are using poll science to identify the most winnable candidate,'' a Congress leader told HT on condition of anonymity.
Nielsen on massive hunt for Cong's best poll bets

Ehhhhh.................you're a moron. That's their JOB you clown.

 

[NKVD]

Wow so now that you have no opinion polls in your favor you wanna harp onto past. Good luck living in lala land.

BJP May Get Majority in Delhi: Opinion Poll -The New Indian Express