Xi is staying for 3rd term or not?

[FairAndUnbiased]

Li Keqiang is younger than Han Zheng, how would he retire and Han Zheng not?

The only one who is similar age when Li Keqiang became the premier is Hu Chunhua, the rest of the vice premiers are the same age or older than Li Keqiang now. So either Li Keqian stays, and new young faces come to vice-premier and the new premier is in 2027 or Hu Chunhua.


How did he surpass Deng? I think he is at the same level as Jiang Zemin.

Li Keqiang is term limited. Hu Chunhua being promoted to Premier would be unprecedented without a term as First Vice Premier.

Han Zheng has the age to serve 1 term while Hu Chunhua is promoted to First Vice Premier, then Premier.

Alternatively Hu Chunhua could be tapped for becoming President/SecGen in 2027. I believe he has a chance of succeeding Xi.

 

[SuvarnaTeja]

I don't have insider info, but I think western articles about almighty Xi are a joke. I think Xi is weaker(less influence) than Deng, not to mention Mao. Don't be confused, Xi is not weak.

So what do you think, he can do it and stay for 3rd term or not? Who may replace Li Keqiang next year?

XI has been elected to be Chairman and President for life.

 

[大汉奸柳传志]

since his only daughter didnt choose the career path in politics or get any media exposure to this day, I d say Xi is not the cling-to-power type of leader that some people make him out to be.

a very unpopular opinion that I hold is that CCP at the very top is still collective ruling, with Xi only being the front man

 

[nang2]

since his only daughter didnt choose the career path in politics or get any media exposure to this day, I d say Xi is not the cling-to-power type of leader that some people make him out to be.

a very unpopular opinion that I hold is that CCP at the very top is still collective ruling, with Xi only being the front man

Having a family member as the political heir is not a sufficient reason. One can cling to the power simply because of the fear of retribution.

 

[utraash]

I heard some internal power tussle going on. Xi has not been outside china for around two years, what does that hint ?

 

[SuvarnaTeja]

I heard some internal power tussle going on. Xi has not been outside china for around two years, what does that hint ?

Modi too did not travel outside India for almost 2 years due to COVID-19.

 

[大汉奸柳传志]

Having a family member as the political heir is not a sufficient reason. One can cling to the power simply because of the fear of retribution.

it would all make sense if China has its own Deep State

I heard some internal power tussle going on. Xi has not been outside china for around two years, what does that hint ?

Xi and delegation would be stuck in a quarantine hotel for 14 days after they return. Hard to imagine but rules are rules

 

[nang2]

it would all make sense if China has its own Deep State

China certainly has its own Deep State. Comparing with US, at least US pays some lip service to transparency and sometimes enforces it with laws. In China, transparency is a taboo. Deep State flourishes better in a society where you can edit everything, including history.

 

[Tom99]

If China didn't have a strong leadership, like Xi and Li, China would have folded like Japan under American's economical and technological attacks.

Whoever China's next leadership(Xi or whoever) maybe the next term I hope he/she will stand strong for China's interests and don't kneel down to any country.

 

[nang2]

If China didn't have a strong leadership, like Xi and Li, China would have folded like Japan under American's economical and technological attacks.

Whoever China's next leadership(Xi or whoever) maybe the next term I hope he/she will stand strong for China's interests and don't kneel down to any country.

Japan folded under American's MILITARY attacks!

 

[Paul2]

a very unpopular opinion that I hold is that CCP at the very top is still collective ruling, with Xi only being the front man

Very true. Xi to me is a very, very ordinary party bureaucrat. Since his days in Xiamen, his deputies/mishu were running everything for him. And he basically just been delivering speeches, and going for photoshoots. I heard he been very easily steered by his deputies.

He is always surrounded by a dozen of lieutenants he had for a very long time, and which are almost unknown even inside CPC. I think he is very fearful of backstabbing, despite otherwise being aloof, and backboneless because of his purge during cultural revolution.

For example, his personal bodyguard which he got assigned as a provincial secretary in 2002 was with him ever since. The guy whom he got assigned to be CMC general office secretary is said to be an illegitimate son of Zhu De, who was looked after by Xi's family friends (The secretary of the CMC general office is actually the most powerful man in the CMC as he is the one who will put his chop once 3 signatures needed to move the army are signed. Effectively he got a veto power.)

This theory is also supported by him being completely non-ideological, and populism minded, going by whatever Marxism department throws on him, and sometimes self-contradictory,

 

[Paul2]

Li Keqiang is about to retire. Han Zheng is the next prime minister.

Can't happen. Han is Jiang's man.

 

[Paul2]

keqiang must go

keqiang must go

Xi has nobody for the post of Li's calibre. Xi can't get rid of him, and he can't go with him. He is stuck, indeed.

I know Xi kind of despises Li, despite originally being rather amicable, as he was with Hu. Hu is now too old to matter for Xi.

Wang 73 will retire, and Liu He is nowhere near as capable technocrat as Li.

 

[OIO]

Can't happen. Han is Jiang's man.

It used to be, frankly speaking, I don't like Han Zheng very much. He has insufficient grassroots work experience and has the same problems as Li, and Shanghai has a bourgeois comprador tradition.

However, the current division of work is arranged according to the prime minister's successor.

 

[vi-va]

Xi has nobody for the post of Li's calibre. Xi can't get rid of him, and he can't go with him. He is stuck, indeed.

I know Xi kind of despises Li, despite originally being rather amicable, as he was with Hu. Hu is now too old to matter for Xi.

Wang 73 will retire, and Liu He is nowhere near as capable technocrat as Li.

capable technocrat as Li

Li is not capable