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Why China is apprehensive about Japan's entry into the South China Sea

Aepsilons

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In 2014, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe led a Cabinet decision to lift Japan’s restrictions on the use of force overseas. This is the concept of collective self-defense which although being challenged by the political opposition is being used as a means to eventually redraw the Japanese Constitution. The collective self-defense concept contains three conditions which are as follows:

The first is in a case where a nation with close ties to Japan comes under attack and the lives, freedom, and right of Japanese nationals to pursue happiness are clearly endangered. The second condition specifies that force may be used only if there is no other effective way to protect the lives of Japanese citizens. The final condition is the limitation of the use of force to the minimally required level. These standards open up the way for Japan’s Self-Defense Forces, under certain conditions, to aid an allied nation that is under attack, even if Japan itself is not.

Since then the Japanese have ramped up not only their government to government contacts with the countries in dispute with China in the West Philippine Sea, but they are also working to become a regular and strong presence in the area. Consider that the Japanese Maritime Self Defense Force has conducted two exercises with the Philippine military within the month while at the same time it is widely reported that a maritime patrol aircraft will be provided to the Philippines by Japan.

A Memorandum on Defense Cooperation and Exchanges was signed between the two countries on January 2015 which set the stage for Japanese activities with their Filipino counterparts that ranges from exercises to assistance programs. By June of 2015, the maritime agencies and navies of the two countries had undertaken two joint exercises which underlie the rapid manner in which the defense and security relationship between Tokyo and Manila is developing.

Just to put emphasis, prior to those two exercises, there was practically no activity between the two militaries. The last one between the two was in 1945, and both the Filipinos and Japanese were trying to kill each other! In fact, it can be said that Japan’s current activities in the Philippines have the potential to approach the level of the security relationship that Manila has with Washington DC.

The Japanese mindset: not a puppet of the Americans

Conventional thinking has it that the Japanese are a cog in the grand plans of the United States in the region and that Japan is a puppet of the US. That would be an oversimplification of the relationship between the two countries and disregards the fact that Japan, just like the Philippines and Vietnam, is a frontline state against China’s territorial ambitions and considers the situation a clear and present danger and a direct threat to its survival.

That situation then creates the favorable climate upon which the lessons of history and the historical experience of Japan will come to play.

Many analysts tend to view Japan’s posture as either the effect of ultranationalism or as being subordinate to Washington DC, as if the survival of Japan is only the preserve and concern of so called ultranationalists and puppets of the US. It definitely is not.

Ultranationalism or unabashed pro-Americanism will not spur the construction of aircraft carrier type ships in the JMSDF, and it would also not be the driver for Japan’s reaching out to countries in the region to establish a coordinated multinational effort to face China.

Given the experience of Japan during World War II, it is safe to assume that the destructive air and naval blockade that the United States imposed on the Home Islands during that conflict would leave an indelible mark in the minds of generations of Japanese national security policy makers and military planners.

These people are the architects responsible for building and reorienting the Japanese military through the past decades to its current state, which is now benefiting the current term of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and is allowing the Japanese government the capability to respond decisively to China’s ambitions now and in the years to come.

With that traumatic historical experience at the back of their minds, and the fact also Japan is a frontline state, it may just turn out to be more forceful than the US in asserting its agenda and interests in the region especially when it comes to facing off against China.

China’s achieving its strategic goals as becoming the dominant power in the region will not sit well with Japan as it will result in it becoming a subordinate state to Beijing. That will not be in the national interest of Japan.

Thus Japan will most likely push back against China with or without US support as it not only has the economic capability to stand up to pressure from Washington DC should the leadership there become less sympathetic to Tokyo, but it also has the military capability to do unilateral actions. Which is probably why Chinese political and military officials are very apprehensive of Japan’s entry into the West Philippine Sea.

Hence it will be in Japan’s interests that countries like the Philippines that are sympathetic to it or have common issues against China be made capable of spreading Chinese capabilities thin so as to cause Beijing to limit itself to occupying a few artificial islands and nothing anymore grander than that as a reminder of its folly of trying to take on so many opponents at once.

What China has to realize is that it has stirred up a hornet’s nest in its actions against Japan. Although China has used history by raising Japan’s atrocities during and before the Second World War as a means to drive a wedge between Tokyo and countries that had once felt the boot of Japanese imperialism, what it forgets is that in modern and contemporary history, the Japanese have never lost a war against the Chinese.

China cannot claim to have won the war against Japan during World War II when it was ultimately Russian forces that destroyed the Japanese Kwantung Army in China. That fact provides a very strong psychological boost for the Japanese against the Chinese.

Contrast that with the defeatism and feeling of inferiority so prevalent among many Filipinos when it comes to dealing with China as a regional power.

What now Philippines?

Although it is an oft repeated statement that each country is guided by its own national interests, the question that needs to be asked is if the Philippines truly understands the undercurrents that shape Japanese strategic perceptions and objectives.

Does Manila really understand how far the Japanese will go to defend their interests and that throughout history the Japanese - when they feel besieged - have the ability to strike out without warning against an enemy?

Consider that in the span of a few decades, Japan has carefully built up its power projection capabilities and modified its security outlook to engage and defeat threats way before they reach Japanese shores. That in a span of a few years, from a strict assistance program limited to aid to the Philippine Coast Guard and others of a civilian nature, Japan is now emerging as a potential provider of military assistance to Manila.

The Philippines has to realize that it is not dealing with a dithering easily distracted ally like the United States of America, but a country that has a suppressed martial tradition that may just reappear due to China’s rapacious territorial ambitions.



Why China is apprehensive about Japan's entry into West PH Sea, Part 3 of 3
 
LOL try to take back your "senkaku" first. Our ocean research ship regularly patrol the surrounding waters and our coast guard enters territorial sea. We will be pushing forward to take back our former vassal state Liuqiu.

Those Zubrs are not just for Manila Bay. Another island nation has a capital city located next to a bay.
 
The Senkaku is ours, if you haven't known already, but there is a garrison of JGSDF Troops in the islands. :)

Try to take it and see what happens, fish food perhaps? :)

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The Senkaku is ours, if you haven't known already, but there is a garrison of JGSDF Troops in the islands. :)

Try to take it and see what happens, fish food perhaps? :)

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We will have a try .

As japan starts to run on the old road of Nazi , we do not need to wait very long time.
 
Everyone is welcome in South China Sea but the moment you enter our territorial water, we will defend our position with force.
 
A country that is not afraid to strike a giant is the total antithesis of 'scared'. We have never refrained from challenging China in history, and have taken on the Russians and the Americans. Tread lightly on whom you are dealing with.

We are the Land of the Rising Sun.

We shall strike any enemy of Japan.
 
You can act tough and strike anybody you want but history showed the outcome is that you always lost and got destroyed eventually dating back to your invasion of Korea in the Imjin War. Nobody scares of you. Certainly not us who is a hidden NUCLEAR POWER with enough Tsar Bomba to sink your island into the depth of the Pacific Ocean.
 
LoL, says the person who does not know that Japan has enough military grade plutonium that can produce over a thousand thermonuclear warheads in 6 months time. :)

Please don't talk to me unless you research the background.


LOL
 
Interesting.How to prove "your senkaku" is yours? You admit the 《Potsdam Proclamation》 and against it at the same time?Funny,China never admit《Treaty of Peace with Japan》.We never agree senkaku is yours,why you establish diplomatic relations in 1972???
 
Yes! Let China and Japan wipe out each other!

Question is,who will be the most happy to see that?

To have an idea, look at who rated the OP "thanks" :lol:
 
A country that is not afraid to strike a giant is the total antithesis of 'scared'. We have never refrained from challenging China in history, and have taken on the Russians and the Americans. Tread lightly on whom you are dealing with.

We are the Land of the Rising Sun.

We shall strike any enemy of Japan.

Trust me, China will not dare fire first. You can bet on that. :)

Now, onto semantics ?

So Uncle Sam is not your enemy ? They nuked you ,remember ?

And Now I gonna ask you : Do you dare to take back Sakhalin ? Land of the Rising Sun !

Trust me , Japan will not dare fire first. You can bet on that.
 
Trust me, China will not dare fire first. You can bet on that. :)

Now, onto semantics ?
The question is do you dare to fire the first shot? Why wait for us to fire the first shot? You know you want to hide behind the US and hope we fire the first shot so you can drag the US to fight us. But if you fire the first shot, even our American friends will keep a close eyes while we finish you off.
 
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