WHO: India's 4.7 Million Excess Deaths Account For Nearly One-Third of the Global COVID Death Toll

[RiazHaq]

WHO: India's 4.7 Million Excess Deaths Account For Nearly One-Third of the Global COVID Death Toll

News, analysis and opinions about India, Pakistan, US, Canada, Europe, Mid East, South Asia, Silicon Valley, High Technology, Economy, Politics, World

www.riazhaq.com

The World Health Organization estimates that India had 4.730 million COVID19-related deaths in 2020-21, nearly a third of 15 million global excess deaths attributed to the pandemic. India is followed by Russia with 1.073 million deaths and Indonesia with 1.03 million deaths. The United States with 933,795 deaths and Brazil with 681,219 deaths round out the top 5 countries that suffered the heaviest losses of life believed to be related to the pandemic. Mexico (625,923 deaths), Peru (289,654 deaths), Turkey (264,279 deaths) Egypt (251,635 deaths) and South Africa (238,893 deaths) are ranked number 6 through 10 in the world for excess deaths in 2020-21 period.

Excess Deaths Recorded During the COVID-19 Pandemic in 2020-21. Source: WHO

Excess deaths measure how many more people died than expected compared with previous years. Although it is difficult to say with certainty how many of these deaths were due to Covid, they can be considered a measure of the scale and toll of the pandemic, according to the BBC.

Although the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi disputes the WHO estimates, the scenes of desperation and death all over India, including the streets of major cities during the pandemic, offer significant anecdotal evidence to support the WHO claim.

Prime Minister Modi's mishandling of the COVID19 pandemic has left a lasting effect on India's economy. Akhil Bharatiya Pratinidhi Sabha (ABPS), the top decision-making body of India's Hindu right-wing RSS (Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh), says that “the young generation is suffering from unemployment and the pandemic has made things even grim... We cannot turn a blind eye to unemployment. It is a crisis and it needs to be addressed.” The RSS was apparently reacting to the falling labor participation rate in India relative to Pakistan and the global averages. The RSS leadership wants the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi to focus on helping small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs) to create jobs. RSS likes Modi government's ‘Make in India’ initiative “but it needs to be sharpened even more and get more investment.” The resolution is titled, ‘The need to promote work opportunities to make Bharat self-reliant’. The solution offered by ABPS resolution: Take agro-based local initiatives to promote rural areas and create jobs, according to Ram Madhav, a member of the RSS executive committee.

Falling Employment in India. Source: CMIE

India's labor participation rate (LPR) fell to 39.5% in March 2022, as reported by the Center for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). It dropped below the 39.9% participation rate recorded in February. It is also lower than during the second wave of Covid-19 in April-June 2021. The lowest the labor participation rate had fallen to in the second wave was in June 2021 when it fell to 39.6%. The average LPR during April-June 2021 was 40%. March 2022, with no Covid-19 wave and with much lesser restrictions on mobility, has reported a worse LPR of 39.5%.

Labor Participation Rates in India and Pakistan. Source: ILO/World Bank

In spite of the headline GDP growth figures highlighted by the Indian and world media, the fact is that it has been jobless growth. The labor participation rate (LPR) in India has been falling for more than a decade. The LPR in India has been below Pakistan's for several years, according to the International Labor Organization (ILO).

Indian Employment Trends By Sector. Source: CMIE Via Business Standard

Construction and manufacturing sectors in India have been shedding jobs while the number of people working in agriculture has been rising, according to CMIE. Job losses have caused a hunger crisis in India which now ranks 94th among 107 nations ranked by World Hunger Index in 2020. Other South Asians have fared better: Pakistan (88), Nepal (73), Bangladesh (75), Sri Lanka (64) and Myanmar (78) – and only Afghanistan has fared worse at 99th place. The COVID19 pandemic has worsened India's hunger and malnutrition. Tens of thousands of Indian children were forced to go to sleep on an empty stomach as the daily wage workers lost their livelihood and Prime Minister Narendra Modi imposed one of the strictest lockdowns in the South Asian nation. Pakistan's former Prime Minister Imran Khan opted for "smart lockdown" that reduced the impact on daily wage earners. China, the place where COVID19 virus first emerged, is among 17 countries with the lowest level of hunger.


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WHO: India's 4.7 Million Excess Deaths Account For Nearly One-Third of the Global COVID Death Toll

News, analysis and opinions about India, Pakistan, US, Canada, Europe, Mid East, South Asia, Silicon Valley, High Technology, Economy, Politics, World

www.riazhaq.com

 

[Indos]

WHO uses American CDC exact number while for Indonesia they use projection way higher than official number.

 

[Cheepek]

We had more "excess deaths" in 2018, 2019 than in 2020.

 

[vi-va]

WHO uses American CDC exact number while for Indonesia they use projection way higher than official number.

Frankly speaking, CDC is relatively accurate due to U.S. counted most of the coivd death. I would say the real number should bigger.

In most developing countries, especially India, the official number is just meaningless. The India real death should be much higher than WHO. India can't provide enough oxygen tank.

I would say India has 1-2% death rate, which is 14 millions or more.

 

[Indos]

We had more "excess deaths" in 2018, 2019 than in 2020.


View attachment 843297

Where is 2021 number ??? That was when Delta variant struct India

 

[INS_Vikrant]

In india its pretty much safe to assume almost every single individual has been exposed to this virus. So even if we take the WHO numbers even then the fatality rate is very miniscule. Doesn't justify the kind of self inflicted economic destruction we wrought upon ourselves through these lockdowns.

 

[Cheepek]

Where is 2021 number ??? That was when Delta variant struct India

2021 data will come in mid 2023.

 

[Indos]

In india its pretty much safe to assume almost every single individual has been exposed to this virus. So even if we take the WHO numbers even then the fatality rate is very miniscule. Doesn't justify the kind of self inflicted economic destruction we wrought upon ourselves through these lockdowns.

The lock down in 2020 is important to save live while giving time for government to add more health facilities ( including all the necessary equipment and medicine ) + waiting for vaccines

 

[vi-va]

Frankly speaking, no one really care how many Indians died.

No, Yankees don't care, WHO and the rest of the world don't care.

Just take a look at 1994 genocide in Rwanda. No one cares.

If half the Indian population was killed, it will be the headline of newspaper, for at most a week.

If half of the Chinese population was killed, it will be remembered for next century, because Yankees will celebrate every year.

That's the reality of the world.

 

[RiazHaq]

We had more "excess deaths" in 2018, 2019 than in 2020.


View attachment 843297

"WHO: India's 4.7 Million Excess Deaths Account For Nearly One-Third of the Global COVID Death Toll":

Governments have undercounted the COVID-19 death toll by millions, WHO says

https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsa...-covid-19-death-toll-by-millions-the-who-says

India reported 481,000 COVID-19 deaths in 2020 and 2021. But William Msemburi, technical officer for WHO's department of data and analytics, said on Thursday that the toll is vastly higher, with 4.74 million deaths either directly or indirectly attributable to the pandemic — although Msemburi said that figure has a wide "uncertainty interval," ranging from as low as 3.3 million to as high as 6.5 million.

The data behind the staggering figures promise to expand the understanding of the pandemic's true effects. But the findings are also a flashpoint in debates over how to account for unreported coronavirus deaths. India, for instance, is rejecting WHO's findings.

India "strongly objects to use of mathematical models for projecting excess mortality estimates," the country's health ministry said on Thursday, insisting that WHO should instead rely on "authentic data" it has provided.

10 countries accounted for a large share of deaths
Deaths were not evenly distributed around the world. The WHO says about 84% of the excess deaths were concentrated in three regions: Southeast Asia, Europe and the Americas.

And about 68% of the excess deaths were identified in just 10 countries. WHO listed them in alphabetical order: Brazil, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, Turkey and the United States.

Overall, WHO found the number of excess deaths was much closer to reported COVID-19 deaths in high-income countries than in lower income countries.

 

[Cheepek]

"WHO: India's 4.7 Million Excess Deaths Account For Nearly One-Third of the Global COVID Death Toll":

Governments have undercounted the COVID-19 death toll by millions, WHO says

https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsa...-covid-19-death-toll-by-millions-the-who-says

India reported 481,000 COVID-19 deaths in 2020 and 2021. But William Msemburi, technical officer for WHO's department of data and analytics, said on Thursday that the toll is vastly higher, with 4.74 million deaths either directly or indirectly attributable to the pandemic — although Msemburi said that figure has a wide "uncertainty interval," ranging from as low as 3.3 million to as high as 6.5 million.

The data behind the staggering figures promise to expand the understanding of the pandemic's true effects. But the findings are also a flashpoint in debates over how to account for unreported coronavirus deaths. India, for instance, is rejecting WHO's findings.

India "strongly objects to use of mathematical models for projecting excess mortality estimates," the country's health ministry said on Thursday, insisting that WHO should instead rely on "authentic data" it has provided.

10 countries accounted for a large share of deaths
Deaths were not evenly distributed around the world. The WHO says about 84% of the excess deaths were concentrated in three regions: Southeast Asia, Europe and the Americas.

And about 68% of the excess deaths were identified in just 10 countries. WHO listed them in alphabetical order: Brazil, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, Turkey and the United States.

Overall, WHO found the number of excess deaths was much closer to reported COVID-19 deaths in high-income countries than in lower income countries.

....it proves nothing.

 

[RiazHaq]

....it proves nothing.

Denial is no proof either when the reality is there for all to see.

PM Modi's poor handling of COVID19 pandemic is a disaster that India will have to deal with for years. It has caused the deaths of 4.7 million Indians and wrecked the Indian economy. There's widespread unemployment, poverty & hunger in India.

India in Crisis: Unemployment and Hunger Persist After Waves of COVID

India lost 6.8 million salaried jobs and 3.5 million entrepreneurs in November alone. Many among the unemployed can no longer afford to buy ...

www.southasiainvestor.com

 

[Han Patriot]

Denial is no proof either when the reality is there for all to see.

PM Modi's poor handling of COVID19 pandemic is a disaster that India will have to deal with for years. It has caused the deaths of 4.7 million Indians and wrecked the Indian economy. There's widespread unemployment, poverty & hunger in India.

India in Crisis: Unemployment and Hunger Persist After Waves of COVID

India lost 6.8 million salaried jobs and 3.5 million entrepreneurs in November alone. Many among the unemployed can no longer afford to buy ...

www.southasiainvestor.com

Deaths, unemployment and hunger. Yes India did great.