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Came across this article on the interwebz about India's future and its role in the much-hyped "classh of civilizations". It's a very long article, but totally worth it.
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Thank you very much for inviting me. It is honor to be here. And thank you very much for the invitation.
I did not have the honor of knowing or meeting Mr. Hegde personally. But Bharadwaj gave me some reading material which was very informative and very impressive. And in fact the rise of disruptive forces, which was already referenced, is an extremely important lecture he gave in 1992. It resonates with lot of my own works. How much I wish he were here as a collaborator! Because I am trying to take forward the same sort of ideas which he mentioned in 1992 and a lot of what I am going to talk about is where these disruptive forces are today.
It turns out that the disruptive forces have become stronger and more institutionalized and more organized but worst of all they have become internationalized and linked with global forces. So while he talks about Khalistan movement, North East movement, Dravidian movement and various other disruptive movements, in that era before the globalization, they were contained locally within certain space and there were no connections with forces outside of the country, global nexuses, which now exist. And that would be an important part of what I want to talk about.
Disruptive forces - Centrifugal forces
Some of my research interests, which I am presenting in this lecture, have to do with Indias centrifugal forces, which are what Hegde would call the disruptive forces. Centrifugal forces are as you know anything that tears the system apart. And these are both external and internal. Internal disruptive forces are today known as communalism and also socio-economic disparities of various kind. There is another dimension of centrifugal forces which are external. It is not just Pakistan stirring up disruptive forces in India; it is not just China linking up with Maoist forces in India; it is not just Baptist church in North America stirring up separatism in North Eastern India and Dravidian separatism in South India. It is all of these and more. So the centrifugal forces are more complex and globalized. But there are also centripetal forces which are opposite which bring the nation together - for instance, development of the corporate kind, infrastructure building, and national governance - these kinds of things. They bring the nation together.
Nations Sovereignty and the Role of Civilization
I am interested in what is the role of civilization in preserving a nation's sovereignty. In other words, can a nation be sovereign very long if it does not have the cohesive shared civilization? Can a random collection of people continue to exist as a nation with all these centrifugal forces unless there is some cohesive sense of identity that can bring them together?
I am also interested in the role of Indian civilization as a positive force in the world. What are its contributions to the world? That is an important area of my work. And finally what are the prospects for India and what are the pre-requisites for India to harvest and harness these prospects.
A civilization briefly defined, as I am going to use it, is a shared identity or the collective images that we have of us as a people, a collective sense of history and shared destiny we have. It brings a deep psychological bond that makes citizens feel that the nation is worth defending. If this bond does not exist, then what is the "we" we are going to defend that we are going to make sacrifices for. So civilization is that which gives you the sense of We - in a positive sense. Breaking the civilization is like breaking the spine of a person. If the social spine is broken then the nation is crippled and also behaves unpredictably.
Cynical attitudes in India
I come across cynical attitudes in India with this regard. For instance there are people who say that there is no such thing as Indian Civilization. It is a hatch-patch of many things put together and British gave us a nation. So there is a debate on whether India is five thousand years old or sixty years old and where you end up on that debate tells a lot about your views on Indian civilization. There are others who say that if there is a civilization it is a bad idea because it is responsible for all our problems. It is what makes us primitive, oppressive and so on. Then there are those who feel that civilization and identity, whatever they might have been, they are obsolete. Because what we have is a flat world like Thomas L. Friedman says and that you are an individual in todays meritocracy and the concept of identity with groups does not matter. I disagree and I will explain later why.
There is another attitude that differences are a bad idea. Anything that makes you different is potential for trouble. Therefore differences are to be eliminated. I hear this quite a lot here. On the other hand one could say that differences are to be celebrated. That is a world view that Indians have. That is an ancient world view that says differences are inherent in nature. They are an inherent part of the fabric of reality of the Cosmos. Plants, animals, and seasons - everything has differences built in to them. Differences are built into the way human beings are composed - in their bodies and minds and their cultures and languages.
So difference can be celebrated. If you know how to celebrate difference which I see as the quintessential Indian contribution in civilization, then you do not have the problem which you have when you feel difference has to be eliminated. Because the moment you say difference has to be eliminated, well then how do you do that? Do you change to me, to my way, to eliminate difference? Or do I convert you to be like me so you do not have the anxiety over different? Do I genocide you because it bothers me because you are different so that I can get rid of you? Do I enslave you? All these are things that happen in the name of eradicating difference and to have one world. And we actually face more problems as opposed to learning how to live with difference and celebrate it.
Finally even discussing the topic of an encounter of civilization is often viewed with great suspicion. People think that there is some kind of a conspiracy theory going on or some kind of a negative thing going on and it would be better off if we talk about just how every thing is great and we are singing and dancing and doing Bangra together- kind of like a Bollywood ending. People often tell me to make sure to have a Bollywood ending in the talk. But I am not sure I would live up to that.
Escapism
There is also another prevailing attitude which I call escapism. Escapism is this very lofty and apathetic kind of approach moralizing which says things like "There is no other" "We believe in everything. All paths lead to the truth" "We survived for five thousand years and will survive no matter what." "We have the truth and the mantras and the deities on our side" and "in any case it is all maya / mithya so why bother" But even great spiritualists like Sri Aurobindo wrote aggressively against this mindset as defeatist, other-worldly, world-negating mindset which is not what true spirituality is about. True spirituality is about engaging the world and dealing with the issues. Then there is another kind of escapism which accepts the problems but does not accept the responsibility and tends to see it as some one else's problem like saying "USA will do this for us." If not United States, then it is United Nations. It is like putting us for adoption and I keep saying an elephant is too big to be adopted. You cannot look into today's world for a guardian parent. You have to look after your selves. That is the message of my todays talk that looking at all the options, you have to come down and take responsibility in your own hands for India and its civilization.
Disruptive forces Fragments
I want you to recollect Hegde's 1992 speech "The Rise of Disruptive forces", in which he lists half a dozen, what he calls disruptive forces". These forces I term as fragments. These are identities are sub nations within India that are having a hard time with rest of India. Hegde says that these groups for thousands of years did not have problem with each other or the nation and they were Ok. It was intervening too much into their internal affairs which have caused reaction from these groups and so they are becoming disruptive.
As this talk unfolds you will see how that I am actually picking that theme and see how it has developed over the last sixteen or seventeen years. We will see how these disruptive forces have become fragments and how these fragments have become global movements with India as sort of epicenter for the global movement.
Three Scenarios for Indias Future
I will present three scenarios for India taking into account the global civilizational encounter and Indias internal fragments that are in tension with each other. Scenario A is where I shall spend lot of my time. It is a negative scenario. And this has to be discussed and understood before we can move on. And that scenario says that India's fragments
Scenario A is India's fragments get taken over as parts of West, Pan-Islam and China; Scenario B Indian "culture" succeeds globally but Indian nation-state disappears. (India is not a nation but a culture); Scenario C India emerges as a thriving nation-state with its own civilization and helps the world.
I will present three scenarios of India's future based on looking at global civilizational encounters and internal fragments that are at tension with each other. Scenario A is where I will spend more time. It is negative scenario and needs attention. It has to be discussed and understood before we can move on. And that scenario says that India's fragments i.e. all these disruptive forces will be taken over as some parts will go to the West and some parts may belong to pan-Islamic expansion and some parts China may take over. So India may actually disintegrate or large parts of it may be taken over. And this I call fragmentation and disintegration of India scenario. And I will talk fair amount about this.
Secondly there are people who say India is not a nation but a culture. So why defend a nation? We are not a nation we are a grand new system. We are an idea. As long as the culture lives whether the nation lives is immaterial. I will discuss this scenario B as basically short lived. If scenario B happens and then soon scenario A happens. Soon India will not exist nor will its culture because once the nation is not there as the container, as the vehicle or the vessel which nurtures and protects and projects this culture, then the culture sort of scatters eaten up by various other civilizations. Soon it will also dissolve. It becomes parts of various other entities and loses its original self.
And then there is scenario C. It is a positive one which says that India emerges as a thriving nation-state with its own civilization and helps the world. Really A and C are the two scenarios. Scenario B is sort of a very graceful and dignified way of ending up in A. It is a way of saying "OK we loose with honor. We are finished but we won because our culture thrives." It is like the deer saying, "So what if the tiger eats me up. In the belly of the tiger I will be alive and you know tiger runs fast and I will be running fast and I will be part of his DNA and I will nurture him and make him a loving creature from within." But it does not work because after the deer has been eaten, the tiger remains a tiger. He is just a stronger tiger. So scenario B is kind of a delusionary kind of attitude that you hear very often particularly from very spiritual minded people who would say "What nation! What you want to defend? The culture is good. It is doing well. They eat our food and listen to our music and do our Yoga and wear our clothes and Bollywood movies they watch. So it does not matter whether there is India or not but as a culture we survive."
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