First let me make an observation. If I were to ever to learn unbiased reporting or opinion making, el nino would be a major source of help....after all he would be a perfect example how NOT to do my job.
Firstly, I am not sure about this, but I believe even in case of a war india will not commit its whole force to its western border. Its too paranoid for that for obvious reasons.
Secondly, I don't even think there's a chance for a surgical air-strike let alone failing. If there's gonna be an attack, its going to be a war not a surgical-strike.
Thirdly, if there is a surgical strike which fails or succeeds, the outcome is going to be the same in both cases. We know what that would be
Also, the talk has been in terms of a surgical strike on "terrorist camps". Would India be stupid enough to come against PAF just for the sake of attacking terrorist camps?. So a surgical strike in essence not a possibility, because to perform such a surgical strike air defenses would need to be countered. That itself would mean that it will culminate into a battle not a surgical strike.