Hello friends
I am starting this thread to analyze/debate possible situation & consequence of Indian land forces attacking terrorist camps in Pakistan occupied Kashmir. ( Surgical Strikes are not included in this analysis).
Year 2015
Trigger:LeT terrorist carry out heinous operations in some of the major cities of India targeting civilian population.
Plan : India has been waiting for such kind of foul play and want to teach terrorists a lesson.Some brigades of IA have been deployed specifically for the purpose of ingressing into the very land where these terrorists are trained.
The plan calls for IA is to deploy its assets all along the border ( ala Cold Start in a day or two). This will serve as a deterrent for a full blown war and a decoy to a small conflict. As soon as assets are deployed massive air strikes are carried out including surgical strikes.
IN places itself tentatively close to Pakistan's water and gives an appearance of blockading Pakistan's major port in event of escalation. Troops are air-dropped while the land forces start making their way into Pakistan occupied Kashmir. On the day 5 of the assault with all its objectives achieved with the major cities of Pakistan occupied Kashmir captured,India calls a unilateral ceasefire.
Assumptions:
1. Pakistan cannot and doesn't go nuclear as the territory is a disputed one.
2.International pressure has been building on Pakistan for more than 5 years now and there is little she can do in terms of escalation.
3. India will procure all the equipment necessary for such an assault such as light artillery, attack helos and build a formidable armada and air force to acheive naval and aerial supremacy.
4. Pakistan's economy wont be able to support a major war.
Issues with the approach
1.Treacherous landscape
2. A small theater of operation will mean India will have to sacrifice its number advantage to a certain extent.
3. Pakistan can be suicidal and a full blown war can impact India's economy severely.
Major Advantages for India
1. Terrorist organizations cant have there camps in a disputed land but will have to shift to Pakistan's sovereign land to carry out their operations.
2. Improved standing in the world
If the operation doesn't succeed then the Sh*t will definitely hit the fan.
My question is:
Is such an operation possible? What are the other variables that must be kept in mind ( I haven't added a detailed view of logistics and landscape due to my lack of knowledge in the same but I know that these will be very important factors for India to succeed)
I am starting this thread to analyze/debate possible situation & consequence of Indian land forces attacking terrorist camps in Pakistan occupied Kashmir. ( Surgical Strikes are not included in this analysis).
Year 2015
Trigger:LeT terrorist carry out heinous operations in some of the major cities of India targeting civilian population.
Plan : India has been waiting for such kind of foul play and want to teach terrorists a lesson.Some brigades of IA have been deployed specifically for the purpose of ingressing into the very land where these terrorists are trained.
The plan calls for IA is to deploy its assets all along the border ( ala Cold Start in a day or two). This will serve as a deterrent for a full blown war and a decoy to a small conflict. As soon as assets are deployed massive air strikes are carried out including surgical strikes.
IN places itself tentatively close to Pakistan's water and gives an appearance of blockading Pakistan's major port in event of escalation. Troops are air-dropped while the land forces start making their way into Pakistan occupied Kashmir. On the day 5 of the assault with all its objectives achieved with the major cities of Pakistan occupied Kashmir captured,India calls a unilateral ceasefire.
Assumptions:
1. Pakistan cannot and doesn't go nuclear as the territory is a disputed one.
2.International pressure has been building on Pakistan for more than 5 years now and there is little she can do in terms of escalation.
3. India will procure all the equipment necessary for such an assault such as light artillery, attack helos and build a formidable armada and air force to acheive naval and aerial supremacy.
4. Pakistan's economy wont be able to support a major war.
Issues with the approach
1.Treacherous landscape
2. A small theater of operation will mean India will have to sacrifice its number advantage to a certain extent.
3. Pakistan can be suicidal and a full blown war can impact India's economy severely.
Major Advantages for India
1. Terrorist organizations cant have there camps in a disputed land but will have to shift to Pakistan's sovereign land to carry out their operations.
2. Improved standing in the world
If the operation doesn't succeed then the Sh*t will definitely hit the fan.
My question is:
Is such an operation possible? What are the other variables that must be kept in mind ( I haven't added a detailed view of logistics and landscape due to my lack of knowledge in the same but I know that these will be very important factors for India to succeed)