TheImmortal
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Don't know what u're thinking about Iran's economy/refineries in this calculus. They will be the first to be hit by the US and Arabs if Iran uses this 'Trump Card'.
Iran can barely sustain escalation and is handcuffed due to failing economy. Hitting any high value oil target will instantly draw unprecented brutal response to Iran and the world will ensure that Iran's ability to sabotage world's economy is neutralized before any significant damage is done (I will question that ability too).
Why would the 'world' let Iran play with its economy? Why would Iran try to drag the 'world' in this mess? That would be a deadly blunder on Iran's part. No country is ready to tolerate it's economic interests being sabotaged just because Iran lost a general.
Iran is highly unlikely to do such a blunder. Best bet is too exhaust all efforts to keep response in the sub conventional domain and prevent the US from declaring all out conventional war on Iran. That is Iran's biggest challenge now. To construct a response that is effective but at the same time doesn't let the US escalate further.
First of all, Iran has strategic oil reserves like the US. So it’s military will continue functioning. And hitting Iranian oil doesn’t do much to Iran that is barely exporting any to begin with. When war starts US will hit Iranian refineries either way, even right now War hawks are saying to do it to put pressure on Iran in peace time.
Also good luck neutralizing Iran’s ability to fire ballistic missiles and anti ship cruise missiles of which the number exceeds 50K.
In 2006 with 24/7 air support of south Lebanon (an area the size of Rhode Island) Israel could not stop the 150+ daily rocket attacks hitting Israel for a month straight.
But I am supposed to believe that US will be able to find and destroy BMs in a country the size of Iran? Keep dreaming. And no one said Iran using the Samson option to avenge Solemani. I was saying DURING all out war.
All bets are off during war, Iran is not going to hold back because the US is not going to hold back on Iran. So might as well throw your best punches before a U.N. ceasefire is agreed to.