GS Zhou
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So, why overestimating the capability of PLA, PLAAF and PLAAN?
That is called as "AIR FORCE BASES" aka AFB not airports. And what if AFB getting series of supersonic NLOS-BSM attack?
Why Vietnam going to need to bomb the Kumming with aerial bombs? Why not from NLOS-BSM?
Have you considered PGMs? And how much escort need to H6K?
Wrong term, Army fought wars not run democracies. Transparency never exist on battlefields.
21 sats to detect the debris? So, are you going to move your all space based assets in next war with Vietnam?
Nothing new.
What if Vietnam give the upgrade contract to Russia, or if they want western avionics then to India? Have you consider this?
Check the TTSL of J11 and its jet engine.
It's all about money, money! You can have all your airports defended by S300; you can have a large SU30 fleet that all equipped with long-range cruise missiles. You can have all your pilots trained day and night, even at the cost of wasting the lifecycle of the planes. You could make every one of the pilots get the chance to launch real cruise missile at least once a month. At the mean time, you could still purchase new satellite, new submarines and new Aegis destroyers. If you have an infinite military budget, you can make all your expectations realized! But what we are talking about now is a country with very limited military budget: $4bn/year.
Today is the 11/11 shopping festival. I personally also have a long shopping list: I need a Ferrari, I need a large villa that facing the sea and with a 1,000m2 garden, I even need a personal jet! But do I have the necessary financial resource to make my shopping list come true? No. So I could just purchased some general stuff, e.g. a DJI drone.
We are talking about a potential war China vs. Vietnam. Not China vs. US. I don't think I make any overestimate here.
Why you think an H6K launching a cruise missile from the top of Beijing need to have an escort?
Why you think 21 satellites mean all space asset of China? In 2015 alone, we've launched more than 40 satellites to orbit.
An video satellite may not be new to US. But must be a new technology to Vietnam or India.
During a conflict time, the regions of China-Viet Nam will be a mess and normal will be impossible. It would only need a bomb drop close to a PLA base and you will see people move out or hide inside their houses, most Schools and factories will be close and a lot of people would move out far away from the border. In the chaos, Families will be separated and kids trying to find their parents, that's war. Someone is missing is a normal thing during armed conflict.
When detected, the recon unit would move out back to Viet Nam. To relieve the pressure from PLA pursuing, other recon units in the region will do sabotage to distract the PLA and then themselves get out. It a cat and mouse game.
VPA artillery and missiles can bomb towns and cities close to Viet Nam border too. VPA too have long range arty. Viet Nam may come out destroy but at least they will give a fight
If you are willing to running the cost of losing all the fruits of your past 30years of economic development, just for the so-called glory and honor, fine, I don't want to argue with you any more.
Just a reminder, in case that day really comes, you'd better to come back from Canada to realize your glory and honor.