Good news, 28% Republicans (most probably, Cuban-Americans), so far, have voted for Hillary
28 Percent of Early-Voting Florida Republicans Choose Hillary Clinton
By
NANCY SMITH November 2, 2016
A TargetSmart and William & Mary poll of early and likely voters released this morning shows some 28 percent of Florida Republicans who have already voted flipped to cast their ballots for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.
"It's really quite remarkable," TargetSmart CEO Tom Bonier enthused to an MSNBC audience Tuesday. "Clinton has an 8 point lead among early voters in this key battleground state, and it's been fueled almost entirely by crossover GOP voters."
"This isn't entirely a surprise," retired Miami political consultant C. Ralph Weintraub told Sunshine State News. "But it gives us some idea how many in the GOP in Florida feel disenfranchised by their own nominee. We'll see if the FBI email drama playing out causes Donald Trump to pick up steam as we get closer to voting day."
Clinton holds a 48 to 40 percent lead over Trump, a more advantageous position for her than most other publicly available polling has suggested in the last week or so. As of the morning of Nov. 1, TargetSmart had tracked 3,695,359 people who already cast their votes in Florida.
The numbers amount to more than a quarter of early Florida voters picking Clinton over GOP nominee Donald Trump.
The
TargetSmart/William & Mary poll was shared early with MSNBC.
Leveraging TargetSmart’s proprietary voter file -- something that is updated daily through the early voting window -- this poll reached a significant number of voters who have already participated. Among those early voters (who were asked which candidate they had voted for), Clinton outpaces Trump by a 17-point margin, 55 to 38 percent.
Reflective of the trends that have been published in other public polls in recent days, the TargetSmart/William & Mary poll shows the contest in Florida is very competitive among those who have yet to cast their ballot. Among those non-early voters (who were asked which candidate they will vote for), Clinton attracts 42 percent of the vote and 43 percent back Donald Trump.
The poll also shows the U.S. Senate race tilting decidedly in Marco Rubio’s direction. Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy trails Rubio 43 to 49 percent. Unlike Clinton, Murphy only breaks even with early voters, having garnered 48 percent of the vote to Rubio’s 47 percent. And, among non-early voters, Rubio holds a solid lead with 51 percent of the vote to Murphy’s 39 percent.
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