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An attack on any part of Pakistan whether under the control of government or not still means an attack on Pakistan. It will be resisted with whatever means are at our disposal.
The Berserkers are at it again - in the distant there is the echo of "bring it on" as was once pronounced in Iraq -- and what a success that has been - so ground is being laid for a new success?? Personally, I don't think this is other than a psyops plan -- a full scale invasionof Pakistan has never been on the cards and will not be. Incursions such as the Israeli model in Lebanon may be what the US may have in mind, but then again, that failed as well.
The US is terribly overstretched and all this attack Iran, Attack Pakistan, it's just not on the cards. Anyway, the damage will be to the Pakistani economy, the territorial integrity of Pakistan, at least in my opinion, will not suffer long term damage. Of course if the Pakistani shows typical weakness of resolve then the Chinese will reevaluate and the Russian, the Indian and the Iranian will help shove a falling wall.
Pakistan need not be stuck in "defiance", it can help itself and the US by giving the US options inside Afghanistan.
A islamic, pashtun political party that is not an AQ clone, that is not maoist in Islamic clothing, but is generally islamic, is not hostile to development, is friendly to Pakistan as well as "others", but generally focused on problems inside Afghanistan, ought to be supported by Pakistan.
The Taliban and their Pakistani allies are focused on the Karzai regime and it's American agenda, but the new political group, that MUST NOT have any mujahideen or warlords in it's central committee and which will hold internal elections for leadership, can, I think the space for such exists, win pashtun support.
The ethnic situation in Afghanistan is genuinely precarious, the new Islamic Pastun party must work to convince, in particular the Hazara, the Turkoman and the Uzbek communities that it has absolutely no interests in the talib ethnic and religious bigotry.
There will be no "Pakhtunistan" -- if there were to be such a thing, Afghanistan would cease to exist as it is now constituted - either way there is no significant support for such an idea -- it is merely a fear in Pakistan.
Anway, what the Palistani state ought to be doingcto address this "fear" is to seek to increase it's influence in Nangarhar, Kunar, Khost, Pakty and Paktika to an irresistable level - to begin with it should act to ensure that trade in these provices is transacted in Pakistani rupees -- trade in these provinces is already transacted in Pakistani Rupees (Kaldar) however; Afghan auhoirites confiscate and arrest persons should they discover trade in Pakistani rupees.
Pakistani products should find their way into these markets with ease and must be paid for in Pakistani rupees.
"They'll get better at low-intensity conflicts."
And my aunty will be my uncle when....
Us military has an enormous amount of resources and excellent training and the soldiers motivated and excellent morale -- I don't have a problem with these things - most importantly it has air support - otherwise it's man to man and the tribals can produce greater manpower - but it's air that makes all the difference. And ofcourse it not a flat desert like it was in Iraq
The Berserkers are at it again - in the distant there is the echo of "bring it on" as was once pronounced in Iraq -- and what a success that has been - so ground is being laid for a new success?? Personally, I don't think this is other than a psyops plan -- a full scale invasionof Pakistan has never been on the cards and will not be. Incursions such as the Israeli model in Lebanon may be what the US may have in mind, but then again, that failed as well.
The US is terribly overstretched and all this attack Iran, Attack Pakistan, it's just not on the cards. Anyway, the damage will be to the Pakistani economy, the territorial integrity of Pakistan, at least in my opinion, will not suffer long term damage. Of course if the Pakistani shows typical weakness of resolve then the Chinese will reevaluate and the Russian, the Indian and the Iranian will help shove a falling wall.
Pakistan need not be stuck in "defiance", it can help itself and the US by giving the US options inside Afghanistan.
A islamic, pashtun political party that is not an AQ clone, that is not maoist in Islamic clothing, but is generally islamic, is not hostile to development, is friendly to Pakistan as well as "others", but generally focused on problems inside Afghanistan, ought to be supported by Pakistan.
The Taliban and their Pakistani allies are focused on the Karzai regime and it's American agenda, but the new political group, that MUST NOT have any mujahideen or warlords in it's central committee and which will hold internal elections for leadership, can, I think the space for such exists, win pashtun support.
The ethnic situation in Afghanistan is genuinely precarious, the new Islamic Pastun party must work to convince, in particular the Hazara, the Turkoman and the Uzbek communities that it has absolutely no interests in the talib ethnic and religious bigotry.
There will be no "Pakhtunistan" -- if there were to be such a thing, Afghanistan would cease to exist as it is now constituted - either way there is no significant support for such an idea -- it is merely a fear in Pakistan.
Anway, what the Palistani state ought to be doingcto address this "fear" is to seek to increase it's influence in Nangarhar, Kunar, Khost, Pakty and Paktika to an irresistable level - to begin with it should act to ensure that trade in these provices is transacted in Pakistani rupees -- trade in these provinces is already transacted in Pakistani Rupees (Kaldar) however; Afghan auhoirites confiscate and arrest persons should they discover trade in Pakistani rupees.
Pakistani products should find their way into these markets with ease and must be paid for in Pakistani rupees.
Which brings me to my second point. Pakistan should be producing Baburs in bulk