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US military in decline, threats from China ‘formidable,’ report says

I don't need your version of interpretation of "blockade" , I just want to see the exact word "blockade", simple?
Dude, that's NOT MY DEFINITION of Blockade, Go back and read the previous, I gave you 3 very famous dictionary search result. Merriam Webster, Oxford and Free Dict.

If you have a problem of those dictionary meaning, you can write to those company and ask them to change it, they will probably be laugh at you and did nothing, but then it still beat I am laughing at you and really did nothing.
 
Dude, that's NOT MY DEFINITION of Blockade, Go back and read the previous, I gave you 3 very famous dictionary result. Merriam Webster, Oxford and Free Dict.
Still can't find any official reports contain the word "blockade" on North Korea?
 
Sometimes its Ok, we get time and time again Articles that Pakistan Army will beat India or take back Kashmir, heck we even have articles written about going to war with America/Israel/Dajjal/Aliens, they do serve a purpose but its a short term feel good stuff, you can't say anything for sure unless you get on the ground and fight, so the same logic applies to China and America, we know if nukes fly we all die that is for certain, but in a conventional war we all can speculate at best, I mean China is so damn ready to take on America than Taiwan should be a piece of cupcake, just take it. Russians are even in worse condition than Chinese and they even go for the kill shot, they know sanctions will come, they know west will send weapons etc, they know they will be isolated and yet they went with their plan, something I think China can learn. World respect power, more importantly world fears powerful countries, most of USA allies are scared of going against them and if china thinks they can build a similar alliances by taking over few Ports and building roads than they are mistaken.
Nah, that done nothing for me.

As you said, if China is that-so-ready to do something, they would have done it already, they wouldn't keep talking about it, because again, that did nothing

Problem is, this is a public forum, and in it, there are million people with million different opinion, some are more creditable, some are not, the question is, each one of them have a voice here, but not all of them are doing a good job, and I am a purporter of 1A right, which mean I will respect these voice, no matter how dumb they are, because they desever to have it out and let the whole world see how dumb they are, this is their right to do so. But then that does not mean I will not be able to response to them.

As for whether or not China can take Taiwan, that's very subjective and I have already made a condition analysis on other thread, so I am not going to repeat that here, the TL;DR version is they can't, until their Navy is mature.

Still can't find any official reports contain the word "blockade" on North Korea?
Were the toilet in your home "Labelled" Toilet at the door?

How do you know where to go when you want to go doing number 1 and number 2?
 
Nah, that done nothing for me.
Because you see some Sh1t in real life man lol we are kids who jump over patriotic songs and stuff haha
As you said, if China is that-so-ready to do something, they would have done it already, they wouldn't keep talking about it, because again, that did nothing

Problem is, this is a public forum, and in it, there are million people with million different opinion, some are more creditable, some are not, the question is, each one of them have a voice here, but not all of them are doing a good job, and I am a purporter of 1A right, which mean I will respect these voice, no matter how dumb they are, because they desever to have it out and let the whole world see how dumb they are, this is their right to do so. But then that does not mean I will not be able to response to them.

As for whether or not China can take Taiwan, that's very subjective and I have already made a condition analysis on other thread, so I am not going to repeat that here, the TL;DR version is they can't, until their Navy is mature.
I would say they (might) be ready to at least take on Taiwan , but I wonder if they have nerve for it ? Getting in a war is easy as we learn from US military endeavors but getting out of it, is one hell of a journey once again we see that from long Afghan war. World will not take Chinese Military might seriously on a deeper level until they do something to show power.
 
In the first Gulf War, USA played up Iraq's military calling it formidable. Despite the obvious capability to easily defeat Iraq on its own, USA brought a staggering 40-country military coalition against Iraq. So, American power is far beyond formidable. USA is the leader of the Free World. Americans don't need to do daily propaganda (like beijingwalker).
Yeah, kiss up to your white Anglo masters, you indians will be rewarded handsomely such as give you CEOs of large American corps. US is leader of nobody, who give you a bunch of war monger countries the title of Free World, do the majority of the world say you are the Free World.
 
Because you see some Sh1t in real life man lol we are kids who jump over patriotic songs and stuff haha

Well, you mean in war or in crime?

Man, I can tell you this, 2 years as a detective in Crime Against Person unit, I have seen more weird shit than 7.5 years in the military. I mean if you are a normal person, you understand the reason to go to war is to kill, because it you or them, that's perfectly understandable, I mean I don't pretend to know why I was ordered to do this, but you volunteer as a soldier, which mean you are ready for this.

What I cannot fathom is why people would do crazy stuff like raping a 11 years-old girl then set her on fire, that's illogical and there is literally no reason for it, but for the criminal, they would think that's natural to kill that girl so he cannot be identified, while they failed to see the "reason" they had to do it is no reason at all, I mean if you don't go rape that girl, you won't "have" to kill her.

But then this is a bit off topic. But well, all I can say, it's not always a good thing to see some shit in real life...That's what I gonna say.

I would say they (might) be ready to at least take on Taiwan , but I wonder if they have nerve for it ? Getting in a war is easy as we learn from US military endeavors but getting out of it, is one hell of a journey once again we see that from long Afghan war. World will not take Chinese Military might seriously on a deeper level until they do something to show power.

Well, the economic of war and the logistic of war will say that's not going to happen.


It's one thing to fight a war next to you, and another with an entire sea seperate between you and your target. There are internal and external factor affecting that war. Internal factor is, whether or not you have enough resource or money to carry on with the war, this is not going to be over in a day, a week or a month if you are talking about full scale invasion of Taiwan. This is going to be multiple months or even multiple years of conflict (Assum Taiwan would fight insurgency style). Even a low intensity conflict like Afghanistan, it cost around 200 billion dollars a month, that's the entire Chinese military budget, which mean unless they somehow either raise that money from somewhere, then the cost of executing that war would have to come out of their entire defence budget. And then I am using a low intensity end, we did not lose equipment like Russia did in Ukraine, I mean, if we are expecting the same result a la Russian invade Ukraine, that cost is going to balloon. So can that be maintained by the Chinese over the multiple years they conduct the war. That is problem number 1.

Another issue is logistic, anything you need in the field in Taiwan have to brough in from Mainland China, the logistic capability is going to be huge and the sea between China and Taiwan would act as a giant funnel on the wrong end. China would have to mass a massive logistic base but Taiwan is a small island, it literally only allow you a certain point to load/unload stock, which mean there is going to be a massive jam on both Chinese side and Taiwan side, and that is given if the Chinese successfully capture the port and airport intact, unlike the Russian who failed to capture Gostomol and kyiv international airport and failed to capture Mariupol and Berdainsk intact. If those objective is not captured intact, that add the strain into your logistic effort. And on top of that, you are looking at a near peer navy and near peer anti-ship capability. Which mean not all the ship you go from China to Taiwan would make it to their destination.

External factor would be would US and its allies involved Directly, Indirectly or choose to not involve at all.

If US and its allies choose to involve Directly, then either China want to risk a global nuclear exchange, or they might just have stay home, because the only way to fight if US and US Asian allies direct involvement is to attack US bases and it's allies base in Asia, namely Japan, South Korea, Guam and Marianna. Or even far away bases like Australia. That would stretch the entire line for Chinese offensive into an imageable length and attacking US Bases will also risk drawing NATO in so either China want to go for WW3 over Taiwan, or Bust.

Even if US and co did not choose to engage directly, they can armed and sanction China, which will enhance the problem Chinese face internally, the problem is, China, unlike Russia, cannot dish out, because there are not too many strategic initiative China can rely on to hit back at US//NATO/EU Sanction. I mean, if EU sanction China by taken them off SWIFT, that will deal w major blow to Chinese industry because RMB is not gear toward complete settlement in China. On the other hand China at most can threaten not sending Strategic material like rare earth or tin or whatever China produce, but then those can be replaced, and there are absoltutely pointless to threaten taking EU country off UnionPay. All these are going to eat into the Economic factor, and make China unable to sustain the war effort in a long term, and this war, if fought, IS going to be a long term war.

The best case China can hope for is US and co no engage at all, but then what is the chance of that??
 
Yeah, kiss up to your white Anglo masters, you indians will be rewarded handsomely such as give you CEOs of large American corps. US is leader of nobody, who give you a bunch of war monger countries the title of Free World, do the majority of the world say you are the Free World.
It's the truth. America and the so-called free world are free compared to China, which by proud admission of a Chinese poster is run like a corporation. Actually, it is worse. I have not heard of a corporation which forcefully sends millions to reeducation camp.
 
Well, you mean in war or in crime?
Both, actually and you post mentioned that you've seen both War and Crime.
Man, I can tell you this, 2 years as a detective in Crime Against Person unit, I have seen more weird shit than 7.5 years in the military. I mean if you are a normal person, you understand the reason to go to war is to kill, because it you or them, that's perfectly understandable, I mean I don't pretend to know why I was ordered to do this, but you volunteer as a soldier, which mean you are ready for this.

What I cannot fathom is why people would do crazy stuff like raping a 11 years-old girl then set her on fire, that's illogical and there is literally no reason for it, but for the criminal, they would think that's natural to kill that girl so he cannot be identified, while they failed to see the "reason" they had to do it is no reason at all, I mean if you don't go rape that girl, you won't "have" to kill her.
Human mind is a complicated organ, I mean crimes or war are not to different in my opinion unless there is a noble cause attach to it, but than who will decide that which cause is noble and which is not ? we have Jihadi's claiming their cause is noble and we have Allied forces fighting for " Freedom & Liberty " claim their cause is noble, in my opinion both are wrong. The psyche of War and people signing up for it is not as simple as we some time assume to be, there are many people who join Military services because of their own innate tendency for killing, Killing without question just because my superior said so is never something I can wrap my head around.

That is why I wish to stay away from all of this, just live simple life which is nothing short of some battlefield these days.

It's one thing to fight a war next to you, and another with an entire sea seperate between you and your target. There are internal and external factor affecting that war. Internal factor is, whether or not you have enough resource or money to carry on with the war, this is not going to be over in a day, a week or a month if you are talking about full scale invasion of Taiwan. This is going to be multiple months or even multiple years of conflict (Assum Taiwan would fight insurgency style). Even a low intensity conflict like Afghanistan, it cost around 200 billion dollars a month, that's the entire Chinese military budget, which mean unless they somehow either raise that money from somewhere, then the cost of executing that war would have to come out of their entire defence budget. And then I am using a low intensity end, we did not lose equipment like Russia did in Ukraine, I mean, if we are expecting the same result a la Russian invade Ukraine, that cost is going to balloon. So can that be maintained by the Chinese over the multiple years they conduct the war. That is problem number 1.
I think China might do some sort of shock and awe strategy, I mean quicker they destroy the Taiwanese Defense the better, I wonder if China can afford to extend the war and let it turn into asymmetrical warfare, Plus another question here is does Taiwan has the Terrain for it ? I mean Afghanistan was a whole different level, plus Asymmetrical warfare is more effective with crazy lunatics who will strap themselves with bombs to blow on Chinese convoys, Are Taiwanese up for that ? If Chinese start turning the streets red, I think the Taiwanese will give up rather quickly, they can't (in my opinion) resist like Iraq/Afghans/ and other ME'rn country which US fought. As for the cost, It would be interesting to see how Chinese Military industry can hold, I remember watching a documentary on US military industry at world war 2, and the way they turn many factories and other industries to make weapons and stuff, is China capable of it ?

Another issue is logistic, anything you need in the field in Taiwan have to brough in from Mainland China, the logistic capability is going to be huge and the sea between China and Taiwan would act as a giant funnel on the wrong end. China would have to mass a massive logistic base but Taiwan is a small island, it literally only allow you a certain point to load/unload stock, which mean there is going to be a massive jam on both Chinese side and Taiwan side, and that is given if the Chinese successfully capture the port and airport intact, unlike the Russian who failed to capture Gostomol and kyiv international airport and failed to capture Mariupol and Berdainsk intact. If those objective is not captured intact, that add the strain into your logistic effort. And on top of that, you are looking at a near peer navy and near peer anti-ship capability. Which mean not all the ship you go from China to Taiwan would make it to their destination.
So this is more technical discussion, so take my opinion as a laymen who never hold a real gun or see a military base, my very simple logic dictates that it should not be a issue for China because China will secure the ports, and Airports, I mean surely they know about the importance of it, so their priority would be taking out Taiwan's Navy and Airforce, land troops they can easily handle with their sheer firepower, plus China can use the fishing ships or that fleet to load small stuff like weapons and ammunition, now 1 or 10 or 100 ships won't make a difference but Chinese fishing ships are crazy in numbers, they can also be utilized to neutralize any counter attacking force from Taiwan navy or even US/Allies, swarms of ships loading with explosive can make a decent tactic in my opinion.
I would ask some Chinese guy to expand more on that, that would be helpful.

If US and its allies choose to involve Directly, then either China want to risk a global nuclear exchange, or they might just have stay home, because the only way to fight if US and US Asian allies direct involvement is to attack US bases and it's allies base in Asia, namely Japan, South Korea, Guam and Marianna. Or even far away bases like Australia. That would stretch the entire line for Chinese offensive into an imageable length and attacking US Bases will also risk drawing NATO in so either China want to go for WW3 over Taiwan, or Bust.
I think Allies will keep their distance, I mean saw that in Ukraine war, China if they ever took the Russian route will also be seen the mad man of Asia, and I think Allies although have treaties with America but no one wants to risk their country/troops/people on the expense of keeping US the sole Superpower, US will surely try to involve more countries so their intervention will have more legitimacy like they did in War on Terror or ME'rn wars. Plus Nuclear Gamble can pay off in their conquest as well, I mean its hard to believe China only have roughly 300-400 Nukes, I bet they have more. So if they are threaten by the combine power of West than they use the same Nuclear card to boo off the world, its either Taiwan that falls or the world. I am not sure even US is not ready for that, Is US ready to risk it all for a tiny Island ? given the fact that US has seen significant rise in voices who are fed up with US acting like world police and getting involved in foreign wars, plus the coming Gen Z and their ideas, things are changing rapidly in fact I believe that even if US enters the war there will be a Vietnam like protests that US will face back home.
Even if US and co did not choose to engage directly, they can armed and sanction China, which will enhance the problem Chinese face internally, the problem is, China, unlike Russia, cannot dish out, because there are not too many strategic initiative China can rely on to hit back at US//NATO/EU Sanction. I mean, if EU sanction China by taken them off SWIFT, that will deal w major blow to Chinese industry because RMB is not gear toward complete settlement in China. On the other hand China at most can threaten not sending Strategic material like rare earth or tin or whatever China produce, but then those can be replaced, and there are absoltutely pointless to threaten taking EU country off UnionPay. All these are going to eat into the Economic factor, and make China unable to sustain the war effort in a long term, and this war, if fought, IS going to be a long term war.
Well if US just did what they are doing in case of Ukraine then that won't help Taiwan, China can blockade the Taiwan Island and any threat to their Navy from the USN can be met but Ballistic Missile and we all die, again the question always comes down to two, 1) Does China have Balls to take the initiative against the Taiwan ? 2) How Far US is willing to go to save a Tiny Island that serve little to no purpose to US except a counter force against the Chinese dominance in the region ? .
 
It's the truth. America and the so-called free world are free compared to China, which by proud admission of a Chinese poster is run like a corporation. Actually, it is worse. I have not heard of a corporation which forcefully sends millions to reeducation camp.
Talk of loss of freedom, America is the country like to lock up or confine its citizens, America has 2.3 million people locked up in prisons as criminals while China has 1.7 millions locked up eventhough Chinese population is 4.5 times that population of US. This is a world well known fact. You still have the thick face to claim for the Americans that their country is the leader of the "Free World", how ironic. US is the leader of police brutalities, racial violence and discriminations, mafia, jail and war monger state of the world indeed.


 
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Talk of loss of freedom, America is the country like to lock up or confine its citizens, America has 2.3 million people locked up in prisons as criminals while China has 1.7 millions locked up eventhough Chinese population is 4.5 times that population of US. This is a world well known fact. You still have the thick face to claim for the Americans that their country is the leader of the "Free World", how ironic. US is the leader of police brutalities, racial violence and discriminations, mafia, jail and war monger state of the world indeed.


They need to cut down on incarceration, however this is not comparable to political persecution. How would you like it if Canada sent you and your family to a boot camp to be reeducated with the 'correct' opinions and attitudes.
 
They need to cut down on incarceration, however this is not comparable to political persecution. How would you like it if Canada sent you and your family to a boot camp to be reeducated with the 'correct' opinions and attitudes.
You western lies only get support from the west yourself, not even one Muslim country is on your side, this is the most pathetic lie you ever made.
 
They need to cut down on incarceration, however this is not comparable to political persecution. How would you like it if Canada sent you and your family to a boot camp to be reeducated with the 'correct' opinions and attitudes.
These prisons dont matter and dont count ? You must be a good joker, these prisons demote, demoralize and destroy peoples lives. Those in China are reeducation camps to improve people who are left behind, that are to improve their job skills, comunication skills, social skills, legal knowledge and obligations so they will be employed not end up as trouble makers in society, these are not boot camps of political indoctrinations as the west like to smear China about and such simpleton as you Indians would whole heartly believe wests fake propaganda. Lock up people in jails unnecessary is purely evil and 100 times worse than going to reeducation camps where people are free to choose to come and go, and trainees in the program there get to go back to their residences every weekend.

BBC :::: British Bullshit Corporation.
 
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Both, actually and you post mentioned that you've seen both War and Crime.

Human mind is a complicated organ, I mean crimes or war are not to different in my opinion unless there is a noble cause attach to it, but than who will decide that which cause is noble and which is not ? we have Jihadi's claiming their cause is noble and we have Allied forces fighting for " Freedom & Liberty " claim their cause is noble, in my opinion both are wrong. The psyche of War and people signing up for it is not as simple as we some time assume to be, there are many people who join Military services because of their own innate tendency for killing, Killing without question just because my superior said so is never something I can wrap my head around.

That is why I wish to stay away from all of this, just live simple life which is nothing short of some battlefield these days.

Wars are very simple, yet, extremely relative, this convo somehow reminded me of the time I was doing some studying Philosophy of War (Was thinking I was going to be a lifer, so I went the path that will get me to National War College, anyway). War Philosopher such as Hugo Grotius or Carl von Clausewitz would argue the aim or reason of war is always correct and always not correct, because no two sides can agree to a term of war, and that's why war happened in the first place.

A war is a clash of ideology that cannot be solved civilly, some like Clausewitz would argue war is the extension of Policy, other would argue war itself is a policy. But either way, whichever side you are on, the reason is always right according to your side, whether you agree with or not.

On the other hand, the saying goes, theirs are not to reason why, but to do or die. That is the hierarchy of soldiers, you don't really question why you are in a war, you are there to do as told, and that's what soldier do.

I think China might do some sort of shock and awe strategy, I mean quicker they destroy the Taiwanese Defense the better, I wonder if China can afford to extend the war and let it turn into asymmetrical warfare, Plus another question here is does Taiwan has the Terrain for it ? I mean Afghanistan was a whole different level, plus Asymmetrical warfare is more effective with crazy lunatics who will strap themselves with bombs to blow on Chinese convoys, Are Taiwanese up for that ? If Chinese start turning the streets red, I think the Taiwanese will give up rather quickly, they can't (in my opinion) resist like Iraq/Afghans/ and other ME'rn country which US fought. As for the cost, It would be interesting to see how Chinese Military industry can hold, I remember watching a documentary on US military industry at world war 2, and the way they turn many factories and other industries to make weapons and stuff, is China capable of it ?
The simpilest term is there are NO shock and awe if you are facing a near peer enemy, with today ISTAR asset, you know from the moment your enemy build up force to the moment they launch the attack.

The problem for China is, they would need to mass enough troop and board them, so they can be transport on the other side of Taiwan strait. And that cannot escape scrutiny the moment they did that, I mean you will need troop, ship, and supply, all of which is shown quite openly, which will give Taiwan time to prepare.

On the other hand, it really depends on how Taiwan sees themselves, Ukraine stays and fight while Afghan melt like butter, both are different case, I mean, until there such a time they were really under attack, we don't know, and as such, as a war planner, you cannot afford to make an assumption that they don't. It's not smart to assume your enemy will not fight back, Putin made a giant *** out of himself and drag Russia down because of that, would Xi want to gamble the same way? A smart man will bet on no. But asymmetrical warfare can be fought anytime and anywhere, again, if you are talking about a determined foe.

Also worth notice that US is fighting a expeditionary war in Both Iraq and Afghanistan, that being the case, China will most likely face the same issue US has, which is supply and logistic issue, Military Strategy dictate you never outrun your supply line, otherwise you are just dangle out to dry, thing is, island warfare is probably the worse on supplying invading troop, because everything you have, you will have to come in piecemeal, unlike ground base logistic, naval base logistic take a longer lead time to load and unload, it generally take 2 days to unload a ship, and then you have to distribute those supply and put them forward, that time WILL jam up your operation. In WW2, we solved that by creating the "Red Ball Express" system. Would China be able to replicate that? I don't know.

So this is more technical discussion, so take my opinion as a laymen who never hold a real gun or see a military base, my very simple logic dictates that it should not be a issue for China because China will secure the ports, and Airports, I mean surely they know about the importance of it, so their priority would be taking out Taiwan's Navy and Airforce, land troops they can easily handle with their sheer firepower, plus China can use the fishing ships or that fleet to load small stuff like weapons and ammunition, now 1 or 10 or 100 ships won't make a difference but Chinese fishing ships are crazy in numbers, they can also be utilized to neutralize any counter attacking force from Taiwan navy or even US/Allies, swarms of ships loading with explosive can make a decent tactic in my opinion.
I would ask some Chinese guy to expand more on that, that would be helpful.

Well, that's a dilemma for the Chinese. In WW2. and in Ukraine, both case when the invader (We in WW2 and Russia in Ukraine) try to take those port and airfield, it will ended up destroying them, Cherbourg was out basically until October 1944 before the Allied can use it for their own, and in Ukrainian case, Zhuliany Airport and Hostomol Airport were outright denied by the Ukrainian and Mariupol and Berdiansk were bomb to beyond any use. All those contribute to the logistic woe greatly to the Russian, to a point they have to abandon the entire Northern Front and seriously relied upon Crimea to supply both Western Offensive and Southern Offensive, and that directly contributed to why they can't go pass Mykolaiv and attack Odessa.

On the other hand, if Taiwanese did what the Ukrainian did in Mariupol and basically just suck in Chinese troop for as long as they could (Mariupol lasted 84 days) that will seriously hamper the Chinese schedule for war, and without those area capture, there are no way Chinese can advance further inland, which will give Taiwanese time to organise their defence. Sure, China can most likely capture Keelung or Taichung port for example, but how much resource the Chinese have to divert and how long the delay will be is the consideration here.

At the end of the days, it's never capturing those port is an issue, how intact and how much use you can get from those area is the issue, and how much blood drawn and how much delay you can take is also an issue here.

And the fishing boat swamping tactics won't work on navy with capable coastal defences.

I think Allies will keep their distance, I mean saw that in Ukraine war, China if they ever took the Russian route will also be seen the mad man of Asia, and I think Allies although have treaties with America but no one wants to risk their country/troops/people on the expense of keeping US the sole Superpower, US will surely try to involve more countries so their intervention will have more legitimacy like they did in War on Terror or ME'rn wars. Plus Nuclear Gamble can pay off in their conquest as well, I mean its hard to believe China only have roughly 300-400 Nukes, I bet they have more. So if they are threaten by the combine power of West than they use the same Nuclear card to boo off the world, its either Taiwan that falls or the world. I am not sure even US is not ready for that, Is US ready to risk it all for a tiny Island ? given the fact that US has seen significant rise in voices who are fed up with US acting like world police and getting involved in foreign wars, plus the coming Gen Z and their ideas, things are changing rapidly in fact I believe that even if US enters the war there will be a Vietnam like protests that US will face back home.

The problem is, while I do agree direct influence will not be likely, but the west will most likely do what they are doing to the Russian now to China, and what they are supplying now to the Ukrainian, and that alone could be a problem. China will most likely like Russia that would not be able to do anything as long as the West does not cross a certain redline. While you can say Western Allies may not have the stomach to fight a war with China, the reverse is also true for China because if they really do fight the west, it will jsut get their war so much harder, that's the risk matrix Russia has to made when US and the West supplies weapon to Ukraine. Would you want to risk going after Western asset and drag the West into the war? Or you keep it small and manageable by ignoring the weapon supplies as long as it is on a acceptable level??

The West is a very funny business, as long as they were not directly involved, money mean literally nothing to the people, which mean as long as there are no western troop fighting in Taiwan, the chances of anti-war protest in US is small, in fact, I would imagine the hurdle is smaller than provide arms to Ukraine, because Taiwan can literally buy them off US instead of sending it to them as aid, which US will probably see this as an opportunities.

And if US supply arms to Taiwan, which they are already doing in a great deal now, the changes of landscape will not affect US as much, not too sure about EU because EU is not a traditional arms supplier to Taiwan.



Well if US just did what they are doing in case of Ukraine then that won't help Taiwan, China can blockade the Taiwan Island and any threat to their Navy from the USN can be met but Ballistic Missile and we all die, again the question always comes down to two, 1) Does China have Balls to take the initiative against the Taiwan ? 2) How Far US is willing to go to save a Tiny Island that serve little to no purpose to US except a counter force against the Chinese dominance in the region ? .

China can never blockade Taiwan completely, they just don't have enough ship, and with the Anti-Ship asset Taiwan have, Chinese Navy will be push to 100 miles away from Taiwan. On the other hand, if US is going to do what they are doing to Ukraine to Taiwan, China cannot blockade those, because that would mean boarding or even firing at US flagged ship, I am pretty sure that is considered as an act of war with the US.
 
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