UK slides back into recession in first double dip since 1970s
Wednesday's data showed that
output was still 4.3 per cent below its peak in the first quarter of 2008, and the economy has only grown by 0.4 per cent since the government came t o power in the second quarter of 2010.
Output in Britain's service sector - which makes up more than three quarters of GDP - rose by just 0.1 per cent in the first quarter after falling 0.1 per cent in Q4 2011, ke pt down by a fall in output in the large business services and finance sector.
UK slides back into recession in first double dip since 1970s - The Economic Times
Whenever we predict something, there are certain back up about it. Certain reasoning helps us predict something. as growth rate of OECD economies are measured on quarterly term, not on yearly term like India/ China, 0.2% reduction in GDP by just one quarter resulted in ‘net’ reduction in their output by the quarter ended on march 2012. and If we have a look on the side of output Britain is losing, then its on the industrial output side. as, even if service grew by 0.1%, total output reduced by 0.2% last quarter which is because Industrial activities as a whole reduced by a margin of almost 0.3% last quarter. And if we have a look on the economy of Britain, its service sector account for 77.7% and Industries at 21.6% last year so by now, it would be around 21.3%
GDP - composition by sector (Britain):
agriculture: 0.7%
industry: 21.6%
services: 77.7% (2011 est.)
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uk.html
again we have a news as below, which also fit the current trend of reduction of Industrial activities of Britain, reducing overall emission of green house gas.
LONDON: Britain's greenhouse gas emissions fell 7 percent in 2011, putting one of the European Union's biggest emitters further
ahead of its internationally binding target under the Kyoto Protocol, provisional government data showed on Thursday.
British greenhouse gas emissions down 7 percent in 2011 - Times Of India
and here, we know that there was no recession last quarter, we only saw ‘quietness’ in world market. This way, we find that by every quiet quarter of a year, Industrial output of UK would fall by 0.3%. this way, hopefully by 2016/17, Industrial output of UK would fall below to 15% of its GDP and it will be the time when Britain will be about to face a deep recession like how Russia faced in 90s. as, only service without Industries, how long? not for a very long
. There will be a time when Service will face a sudden fall bringing the overall GDP level to just 25% to 30% of its current level, it won’t take more than 3-4 years for this type of sudden fall of British economy, once it starts, may be within 5 to 10 years from now. Industries of these so called ‘Industrialized countries’ have already gone to China and whatever is left, they are losing with a fast pace. They are just waiting for a 'free fall' of service side, within just 5-6 years from now, hopefully in between 2017-2022
its not about reduction of green house gases by 7% every year, its about moving from the top to bottom of the table as below, towards Afghan/ Congo, a certain 'destiny' of Britain
. and how 'low' they will go in this list, we are waiting to see, their 'destiny'. within next 5 to 15 years, hopefully, a level these 'industrialized nations' will reach when labor cost there will get lower than Asia, "after a free fall of economy" and it will then stop industries moving from US/ EU to China
List of countries by carbon dioxide emissions per capita - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia