Whenever you study events in the Eastmed, just try to figure out who benefits from a war between Turkey and Greece. Even if you think Erdogan's party is the main benefactor, try to look for other benefactors. How does a war with Greece help a developing country trying to reinstate Islam's glory?
How about you ask for your friend Erdogan,who at some point had Turkey's Armed Forces involved in Syria,Iraq,Libya,Azerbaijan at the same time,while threatening to open a front with Greece,Cyprus,Egypt. Turkish economy was very bad,the people complaining,he was predicted to lose the elections,a victory in a small incident in the Aegean or East Mediterranean would have boosted his popularity and supported his and Bahceli's expansionist dreams.
You still imagine that whatever Erdogan does is justified,but whatever other does is a provocation and the Americans are behind.
I can sit down and keep replying to you,but I wonder what's the point when whatever I say,you will still rant about your own things and ignore it. Just like another guy here...
Putting words in my mouth won't help your argument. It only exposes your lack of reasons for the argument.
You yourself said you've "studied" it. So you either studied something as a student,which 12 years is impossible for geopolitics studies or unless you are referring to the Pakistanis,you also said you know better than them.
The U.S. no longer has the luxury to invade countries from a safe distance. A war between the U.S. and Turkey or Iran will lead to hundreds of thousands of U.S. deaths. It'll end their presence in the Middle East and with it the petrodollar. An example is the Iran strikes on U.S. bases in Iraq in 2020.
Here we go with the "petrodollar" again...
Ok,first things first. I'm sure that if you were around back in 1990,you would have said the same about the US' imminent attack on Saddam's forces. You would have hailed Saddam as a "great muslim leader".
Now you'll tell me "don't compare Saddam's Iraq and Erdogan's Turkey". Ah,there are differences and advantages for Turkey,yes! Big ones too,compared to Iraq! But there are also big disadvantages: Bad relations with almost all neighbors,for years,Turkish Defence Industry not entirely independent and self-sufficient. Lack of spare parts for F-16s and Phantoms,as well as other US and western equipment and systems that Turkey cannot manufacture.
A total embargo on the given moment,would have had Turkey's economy completely crippled and raw materials hard to find,in case the war dragged on.
The Americans could use bases in Saudi Arabia,Kuwait,Greece,Jordan,maybe even Iraq,Israel and eastern Syria. They would bring entire aircraft carrier groups and possibly even allies. Western,Arab or other. Turkey's already collapsing economy and new weapons projects (most of which haven't even finished yet) would have been no match for the Yankee warmachine if they were serious about it.
You think they would enter just like that? No. They would bomb and bomb and bomb Turkey's military bases,defence industry,government buildings and infastracture. Then they would slowly enter,by using the Kurds as allies and giving them control of the Kurdish-majority towns they walk in to.
Currently, the U.S. is slowly building bases in Greece.
The Americans are building bases in Greece for two reasons:
1.Turkey has proved very unreliable the last 10 years and they want to eventually shut down Incirlik and leave turkey.
2.Alexandroupolis enables the Americans to transfer equipment and personnel to Balkan allied countries like Bulgaria,Romania etc. easier and faster. Besides,these are the two main bases they use in Greece. The rest of the NATO bases are not worth mentioning.
At some point, the building of these bases will stop. Just like the U.S. has an excuse to start a war with Turkey, so too does Turkey have the excuse to start a war with the U.S. if and when necessary. For both, the excuse is Greece.
Again,you're wrong. The Americans are not making the country into a huge base. And like I said above,they are not building bases to start a war with the Turks,like the AKP propaganda keeps saying,but because they see Turkey as an unreliable ally.
Also,there's no more "building" of bases. You said "at some point the building of these bases will stop". You make it sound as if they are fortifying the entire country. That's completely wrong.
Even Russia's air defense systems haven't defeated drones yet and they are by far better than any air defence system America or Europe ever made. Besides, both PAC-3 and THAAD couldn't stop the 2019 Abqaiq strike and latter strikes.
And again,you are wrong here. And obviously biased.
The irony is that,throughout numerous wars,Western AA systems have proved more reliable compared to Soviet/Russian ones. For years,I thought that Russians had very strong AA systems,but they only kept the hype by not being involved in so many conflicts. When they had to start using S-300s and others...well...they didn't prove as amazing as everyone thought they were. Of course that is also a matter of debate,because in most conflicts,the countries using them had older versions,
but then again...we did see both a lot of TB2s and Anka falling and some Pantsir being destroyed.
And then came the Ukraine war,where Russian AA defence on one hand eventually shot down all of the Ukrainian TB2s,but later started losing AAs because of other drones,artillery,bombardment and smart tactics used by the Ukrainians.
As for the 2019 Abqaiq attack,it had nothing to do with the systems,but mostly the Saudi crews.
Overall,the Patriot performed very well in Saudi Arabia against Houthi attacks.