According to what i have heard, Apart from these recent purchases of C17 and C130J, Indian will buy 40-50 MRTA. Even Russia is planning to stop the production of ANs. They will also concentrate on MRTA.
We need these heavy lift carriers to increase our speed of deployment in times of emergencies. In my opinion An-124 is useless in borders like that of JnK and even NE areas.
But yeah for carrying troops within our own country or even to our islands like Lakshdweep & AN islands, we can buy 3-5 of these but we have to be sure that Russia does not stop producing these carriers in the near future.
You need to differentiate here!
Light to medium class: Hawker, or AN 32 that IAF uses now (C27J, or RTA possibly in future) with a payload between 5 and 11t, mainly for cargo and troop transport.
Meduim class: C130J and MRTA with a payload around 20t, for cargo and troop transport, but also to carry light vehicles (jeeps).
Medium to heavy class: A400 and C-2 with 37t payload, for cargo, troop and medium vehicle (armored vehicles, trucks) transport
Heavy class: IL 76 and C17 with a payload of around 50 to 77t, for big cargo and heavy vehicle transport (MBTs),
Super heavy class: AN 124 and C5 with a payload of 120 to 150t, for big cargo and heavy vehicle transport, in higher numbers, to greater distances.
As I pointed out in my post on the last page, IAF don't have a real need for these super heavy transport aircrafts, because IAF has different requirements then other NATO countries for example. It would be good to have a small number of them (or to lease them like US and other NATO countries did in Iraq, or Afghanistan) during war times, but for the normal transport role inside of India, they are an overkill. Even the C17s will be too much for several roles and for simple troop, or paratrooper transports, medium class aircrafts are more than enough and offer even the same capabilities.
Troop / Paratroopers transport:
AN 32 - 50 / 42
C27J - 60 / 46
C130J-30 - 128 / 92 (MRTA should offer similar capacity)
A400M - 116 fully equipped troops / paratroops
C17 - 134 / 102
For our needs inside of India and the border regions, a higher numbers of medium and medium to heavy class aircrafts, would be the better choice, than many C17s, C5, or An124.
I was talking about the future need of Indian Armed forces..
Within 10-15 years we will start replacing An-32,Il-76 etc..We will need more strategic lift ability and for that more planes will be required..
Me too, the MRTA has more than twice the payload of an AN 32, that's why IAF don't need the same numbers of MRTAs to replace them and even the Russians are planing only with around 100 x MRTAs, that's why I don't think we will procure so many of them too. although I wouldn't mind it.
Personally I think IAF should go for a base of higher number workhorses of Saras, RTA and MRTA with as much indigenous content as possible and add specialised and more capable aircrafts only on the higher end in lower numbers.