India resumed and then stopped rice export to Bangladesh almost 15 times since November 2007. The July 15, 2008 report is merely the most recent resumption. I would suggest that you stop twisting the facts. The on-off rice export clearly demonstrates India's arm twisting.
As for figures the following report should show that Bangladesh cannot produce 400 lakh tons of rice.
Yes Shiekh Mujib was wrong about the numbers who were killed in the 1971 war but why would an Indian highlight the fact.
By The Numbers
Spectre of global hunger
A.N.M. Nurul Haque
SOARING food prices have emerged as a problem of grave concern not only for Bangladesh alone, but also for many other countries. The World Food Program (WFP), the UN agency in charge of alleviating global hunger, may soon be forced to consider rationing food aid because of rising prices.
Josette Sheeran, the executive director of WFP, while speaking recently to the Financial Times in London said that if WFP donors did not contribute more money, the agency would have to look at "cutting the food rations or even the number of people reached." She told the business daily that the WFP was seeing a new face of hunger affecting a wide range of countries, pointing to Indonesia, Yemen and Mexico in particular.
According to a UN source, 20 African countries are facing severe food crisis. Most of these countries have already spent up to 80% of their national income for importing foodstuff. The WFP launched an extraordinary emergency appeal to donor countries recently for at least $500 million by the end of April to meet global shortfalls of food grains, which includes a $15 million shortage in emergency food aid to Bangladesh.
Ban Ki-moon, the UNSG, in a recent article titled "The new face of global hunger," says, "The price of basic staples -- wheat, corn, rice -- are at record heights, up 50 percent or more in the last six months. Global food stocks are at historic lows
The effects are widely seen. Food riots have erupted in countries from West Africa to South Asia."
The Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) of the UN has put Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Afghanistan on the list of 37 countries facing food crisis and requiring external assistance. In the list released recently, the FAO urged the governments and the international community to take immediate measures to help the poor countries hit hard by food price increases.
The Global Index of Hunger has given Bangladesh 28.27, India 25.73, Nepal 24.25, Pakistan 21.77 and Sri Lanka 16.63 points. Bangladesh has been placed at 97th position among 119 countries in the index. This reveals that Bangladesh is in the worst position in respect of food security among the Asian countries.
The statistics released by the Bangladesh Bank on March 12 says that rice import has increased by 600% in quantity and 1000% in price in the first eight months of the fiscal year. 1,795 million tons of rice was imported between July and the first week of March, which was 613% more than that of the same period last year. The country had to spend $ 642 million only for rice import during the time, as against $55.57 million in the same period in the last fiscal year.
The finance adviser said on Mach 20 that the present foreign currency reserve that rose to over $6 billion, was not too big in view of the increased bills for rice import. Until March 15 of the current fiscal year, total rice import stood at 30 lakh tons, which is six lakh tons higher than the total import of 24 lakh tons in the last fiscal year.
The price spiral of rice has triggered a supply and demand crunch that is hurting some of the Asia's most needy countries including Bangladesh, forcing them to spend more on rice import. The Philippines produced 6.44 million tons of rice in 2007, and is expected to import two million tons in 2008. Production of rice in Indonesia was 57 million tons in 2007, and it imported 1.5 million tons.
Bangladesh imports rice from India, Thailand, Vietnam and Myanmar, but that is becoming increasingly restricted. India finds rich buyers in the Middle East for its Basmati rice and avoids the East Asian countries. India, after vigorous persuasion, earmarked five lakh tons of rice for export to Bangladesh. But it increased the price to $505 from $425 per ton.
Vietnam has set the rice price at $460 per ton, which is a rise of more than 50% from a year ago. Much of the exportable rice of Vietnam is destined for the Philippines, and President Gloria Arroyo asked Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung last month to guarantee stable supply. Thailand is now selling its rice for more than $500 a ton, which was only $325 a year ago.
Bangladesh produced 100.46 lakh tons of both rice and wheat in 1971-72. It attained self-sufficiency in food in 1999-2000, when the country's gross production in rice and wheat reached 249 lakh tons. Rice, the main staple food, provides 93 percent of the country's total cereal intake, while only 7% comes from other cereals.
According to a government calculation, the country needs 255 lakh tons in 2007-08 for the population of 140 million, taking 495.04 grams per capita and per day intake of food grains. The government has set the food production target at 254 lakh tons for this fiscal year. The country will need to import nearly 3.5 million tons food grains in 2008, following a big output shortfall due to floods and cyclone.
Food grain production reached nearly 268 lakh tons in 2000-2001, which was the country's highest food production since independence. But the increasing trend of food production could not be sustained, and it decreased to 259 lakh tons in 2001-02.
The spectre of global hunger is affecting a wide range of countries in Asia and Africa. Bangladesh is likely to join the band soon. Global food stocks are at historic lows. China, Japan and South Korea, which are largely self-sufficient, are protecting their rice sectors by imposing steep import tariff or providing heavy subsidies.
Countries like India, Myanmar, Brazil, Egypt and Ukraine have chosen to desist from exporting food grains in order to meet their own growing demands. The Indian agriculture minister has said that his country would become one of the largest importers of food grains by 2011.
Bangladesh has no other way but to go all-out for increasing food production at optimum level to evade the threat of global hunger. The farmers must be motivated enough to keep themselves fully engaged in food production, and the government agencies must be sincere in supporting them with stable supplies of seeds, credit, fertiliser, and power for irrigation.
The recently formed core committee, headed by the chief adviser, should also ensure timely availability of all basic inputs to farmers at a fair price to reduce the high cost of production.
:The Daily Star: Internet Edition