Turkey always tries to play the by the rules.
Geopolitics does not work like that. Instead Turkey is in this position due to this.
Always play the rules when everybody is not. This goes against logic really because none of the politicians in Turkey have logic then they complain about how they got betrayed or backstabbed.
Operation peace spring would have been continuing but nope we had to play by the rules. Tayyip.Erdogan should have known better to accept some half assed ceasefire by the Americans and the Russians.
When the Americans and Russians agreed that Turkey should not get too much in Syria and should be contained in its own backyard.
Actually the problem is that foreign policy is run by a civilian government
Civilian government always thinks about long-term “possible favorable” outcomes
They are also “concerned” about so called economy
What civilan goverment isn’t seeing is that bad things could happen in the future too if they don’t react
Military guys don’t wait they will act as soon as possible
We all know that russia and US have unofficial agreement about containment of Turkey
Operation peace spring has to be relaunched
If an operation isn’t started today that means tomorrow terrorists can kill soldiers because there was no strong reaction from TAF before
There are 3 reasons for that:
- Most importantly Jews have a very strong lobby in Russian economy and politics so Russians will never hurt their Israeli daddies.
- Israel has a stronger Air Force than Turkey and a much better trained and equipped Military in general which they know how to use.
- Their state leadership has the balls to act with strength instead of only shouting Huloooggg in front of their domestic audience.
Third reason is correct but mainly because of reason 1 plus they have even more influence in US when you “own” both the first and second military power it’s easy to have “balls” against everyone
Who knows what could happen if russia decides to use its own multilayered air defense systems against 3-4 jets (usual number of warplanes israel use against assad) Of course if israel decides to send 40-50 they would most likely win against russian systems but definitely they would loose at least 5 jets would israel risk loosing 5 jets for every operation against saa/irgc if russia is involved my opinion is no they wouldn’t dare to attack but as i said they “own” US&Russia and there’s no fear of losing expensive jet
No one is going to do SEAD operation if there’s danger of losing aircraft such kind of operation can happen only during hot conflict