rajvoSa
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negotiatons are with Russia. Regime would certanly want to retailaite if TSK/FSA moves on Tal Rifaat. It has a strategic value. In such a case Turkey would be forced to bomb regime artillery & bases all acros Aleppo in many which Russian and Iranian 'advisors' are stationed. Also probably even bases and postions in Hama and Idlib if regimes targets turkish OPs there. Only way to prevent such escalation is thru Russia. Regime w/o Russian backing wouldn dare to escalate in any meanningful way. We'llsee what heppens...
going by reports yesterday op wasnt something that was planned, it was retaliation for YPG attack. It did put Tal Rifaat issue on the fore front again. I think turkish patiance is running short on this... YPGs yetarday attack wasn the first, infiltrations opps in and around Afrin by YPG come from that area too.. Afrin will never be fully stabilizied if issue of YPG presence in that region is not resolved.
YPG has a bit of levarage here. Oil crisis in regime areas is real and palpatible, much of their oil now comes from YPG areas... they will use this for sure to press Russia.
going by reports yesterday op wasnt something that was planned, it was retaliation for YPG attack. It did put Tal Rifaat issue on the fore front again. I think turkish patiance is running short on this... YPGs yetarday attack wasn the first, infiltrations opps in and around Afrin by YPG come from that area too.. Afrin will never be fully stabilizied if issue of YPG presence in that region is not resolved.
YPG has a bit of levarage here. Oil crisis in regime areas is real and palpatible, much of their oil now comes from YPG areas... they will use this for sure to press Russia.