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Trade deficit reached all-time high in year 2017: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics

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Trade deficit reached all-time high in year 2017: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
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News Analysis |

With dwindling foreign reserves, the country’s economy is grossly engulfed by the imbalances in the current account. Higher imports and record-low exports of all the time, the economy is hence given another shook in the 2016-2017 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Ishaq Dar’s policy to keep stable the Rupee against the Dollar made the imports relatively cheap and exports uncompetitive in the preceding fiscal year.

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It is the fourth consecutive failure of the residing government to achieve its own targets of increasing exports as set by them in every year’s budget and fiscal plan.

The fresh statistics released by Pakistan Bureau of Statistics have shown that Government has persistently been missing out their target of expanding exports. It is the fourth consecutive failure of the residing government to achieve its own targets of increasing exports as set by them in every year’s budget and fiscal plan.

The statistics have also shown a continuous trend of comprising exports in favor of imports. The trends have shown that the trade deficit in the preceding year has been widened by 37%, which is an all-time high. With noticeably higher imports the economy has borne the loss of $32.58 billion in the last year.

The Statistics
Import bill increased to $53 billion, which is recorded highest ever in the history of Pakistan. Additionally, the figures are $8.34 billion or 18.7% higher, from the last fiscal year.

The country’s annual trade deficits, in 2013 were $20.44bn, a time when the newly elected government of PMLN took charge. But, since then there has been an annual increase in trade deficits. In the last year, the import bill increased to $53 billion, which is recorded highest ever in the history of Pakistan. Additionally, the figures are $8.34 billion or 18.7% higher, from the last fiscal year.

However, the trade deficit recorded in June showed a shrunk of 6% when compared with the figures year ago. Expect for the last three months of the preceding fiscal year, the rest showed a decline in exports with aggregate figures of trade deficit standing at Rs 10.6 billion recorded in the fist 11 months of the year.

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If described in the numerical language, on monthly basis the month of June recorded an increase of 17.5 % increase in exports, additionally raising the export bill to $1.9million higher than in the month of May of the same year. The improvements in June brought a decrease of $2.62 million in the trade deficit.

While the imports, rose by 2.16 % to $4.45bn in June, and on monthly basis, the imports contracted by 11% to $2.6 billion.

The implication of figures
The above statistics indicate that the month of June, showed a slight improvement in the trade account, but the figures are still not near to bring trade surplus.

The major reasons for this trade deficit is the heavy imports of capital goods, petroleum and food products. The immediate effect is felt in the thinning of the foreign reserves, and with already falling exports, the tight income earned from these exports are heavily directed towards paying off foreign loans.

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Keeping in view the annual figures of the sky rocked import bill of $53 billion, it is unfathomable the inability of the government to fruitfully utilize the redemptions given to the Pakistani exports in the European Union regions.

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Trade deficit reached all-time high in year 2017: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
 
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but if we devalue rupee more to increase exports and reduce imports then our debt repayment will rise so govt has to keep dollar at lower value which is good decision by govt
 
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Surcharges are being added for the next several decades (probably generations) to repay the loans taken under CPEC to build the power stations which are already 1-2 generations behind in efficiency and part owned by the Chinese.
Pakistan exports gets GSP+ status from Europe and the US, unlike India and China whose products have to pay a full wedge of taxes and duties.
Pakistan has with CPEC loan repayments effectively priced itself out of the its own markets even with the benefit of GSP and GSP+ given to the least developed countries (LDC)
 
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The furnace oil power plants should be converted into lng or coal asap to reduce trade deficit.

Commerce and trade minister along with finance minster should be sacked for poor performance.

Reserach and innovative methods with proper design and quality should be invested.
 
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The furnace oil power plants should be converted into lng or coal asap to reduce trade deficit.

Commerce and trade minister along with finance minster should be sacked for poor performance.

Reserach and innovative methods with proper design and quality should be invested.

As I said
Surcharges are being added for the next several decades (probably generations) to repay the loans taken under CPEC to build the power stations which are already 1-2 generations behind in efficiency and part owned by the Chinese.

China which is changing from coal has massive and I mean massive production facilities for the old inefficient polluting coal power stations. Thats 90% of worlds of old technology employing millions. China is unwinding this production but cannot instantly sack millions. It needs chumps willing to buy this production and Pakistan is that primary chump.
Pakistan has decided to buy this obsolete overproduction with loans from China, all guaranteed and a guaranteed RoR on jointly owned power. Pakistans response is to start a several generational surcharge tax cycle to the power tariff, making all Pakistani industry non-competitive in the global marketplace.
It did this eyes wide open and any criticism is classed as Indian jealousy, hate, traitors US Yehudi Hindu agents. This sells in Pakistan.
 
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