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The trade gap between America and China is much exaggerated

VCheng

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Here is an interesting look at one aspect of the US-China trade deficit:

from: Trade statistics: iPadded | The Economist

Trade statistics
iPadded
The trade gap between America and China is much exaggerated
Jan 21st 2012 | from the print edition

America's trade deficit with China hit another record last year. Estimated at almost $300 billion, it made up over 40% of America’s total deficit. Yet official data grossly overstate US imports from China.

Take the iPad, which America imports from China even though it is entirely designed and owned by Apple, an American company. iPads are assembled in Chinese factories owned by Foxconn, a Taiwanese firm, largely from parts produced outside China. According to a study by the Personal Computing Industry Centre, each iPad sold in America adds $275, the total production cost, to America’s trade deficit with China, yet the value of the actual work performed in China accounts for only $10. Using these numbers, The Economist estimates that iPads accounted for around $4 billion of America’s reported trade deficit with China in 2011; but if China’s exports were measured on a value-added basis, the deficit was only $150m.

20120121_FNC397.gif


The chart shows a geographical breakdown of the retail price of an iPad. The main rewards go to American shareholders and workers. Apple’s profit amounts to about 30% of the sales price. Product design, software development and marketing are based in America. Add in the profits and wages of American suppliers, and distribution and retail costs, and America retains about half the total value of an iPad sold there. The next biggest gainers are South Korean firms like Samsung and LG, which provide the display and memory chips, whose profits account for 7% of an iPad’s value. The main financial benefit to China is wages paid to workers for assembling the product and for manufacturing some inputs—equivalent to only 2% of the retail price.

201108200_WOD010_0.png


China’s small contribution to total costs suggests that a yuan appreciation would have little impact on its exports. A 20% rise in the yuan would add less than 1% to the import price of an iPad. For imports such as clothing and toys the Chinese value added is much higher. But electrical machinery and equipment, with more complex cross-border supply chains, make up one-quarter of China’s exports to America. Pascal Lamy, the head of the World Trade Organisation, has suggested that if trade statistics reflected true domestic content, America’s deficit with China might be more than halved.

from the print edition | Finance and economics
 
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95 views and not a reply.

Where the doomsayers now? :lol:
 
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Here is an interesting look at one aspect of the US-China trade deficit:

from: Trade statistics: iPadded | The Economist

Trade statistics
iPadded
The trade gap between America and China is much exaggerated
Jan 21st 2012 | from the print edition

America's trade deficit with China hit another record last year. Estimated at almost $300 billion, it made up over 40% of America’s total deficit. Yet official data grossly overstate US imports from China.

Take the iPad, which America imports from China even though it is entirely designed and owned by Apple, an American company. iPads are assembled in Chinese factories owned by Foxconn, a Taiwanese firm, largely from parts produced outside China. According to a study by the Personal Computing Industry Centre, each iPad sold in America adds $275, the total production cost, to America’s trade deficit with China, yet the value of the actual work performed in China accounts for only $10. Using these numbers, The Economist estimates that iPads accounted for around $4 billion of America’s reported trade deficit with China in 2011; but if China’s exports were measured on a value-added basis, the deficit was only $150m.

20120121_FNC397.gif


The chart shows a geographical breakdown of the retail price of an iPad. The main rewards go to American shareholders and workers. Apple’s profit amounts to about 30% of the sales price. Product design, software development and marketing are based in America. Add in the profits and wages of American suppliers, and distribution and retail costs, and America retains about half the total value of an iPad sold there. The next biggest gainers are South Korean firms like Samsung and LG, which provide the display and memory chips, whose profits account for 7% of an iPad’s value. The main financial benefit to China is wages paid to workers for assembling the product and for manufacturing some inputs—equivalent to only 2% of the retail price.

201108200_WOD010_0.png


China’s small contribution to total costs suggests that a yuan appreciation would have little impact on its exports. A 20% rise in the yuan would add less than 1% to the import price of an iPad. For imports such as clothing and toys the Chinese value added is much higher. But electrical machinery and equipment, with more complex cross-border supply chains, make up one-quarter of China’s exports to America. Pascal Lamy, the head of the World Trade Organisation, has suggested that if trade statistics reflected true domestic content, America’s deficit with China might be more than halved.

from the print edition | Finance and economics

It is interesting to say that China now no needs to manipulate value of Yuan anymore to gain on export. In fact more they appreciate Yuan, more it will be beneficial for them as it will first reduce cost of import, mainly of oil/ gas/ metal etc, which will help to reduce inflation thus reducing production cost of products. and at the same time as Chinese products have already got a big share in the Western markets including US, even 20% to 50% appreciation of Yuan will have effects of only of the range of 1% to 15% increase in actual price in US’s/ Western market, as stated above. And a thumb rule is, even if any sudden recession in US+EU may result in a sudden 50% to 200% appreciation of Yuan w.r.t. US$, industries from China won’t move to US overnight :no:. Things will change only when per capita income of US fall below to that of China on PPP term which will then result in product manufacturing in US cheaper than that of China.

And here, GDP of China on PPP would be around $11tn by 2011, (considering $10.1tn in 2010 with 9.2% growth rate). And it is estimated that total number of middle class of China is 600mil with per capita income of around $15,000 on PPP, making their share of around $9tn in $11tn economy, which leave around $2tn for rest of over 700mil people of China with per capita income $3,000 similar to that of Pakistan/ Bangladesh. And if China has around 700mil people whose per capita income less than even $3,000 on PPP, in the range of Bangladesh to Pakistan, China will always be able to produce very cheap products, also because Chinese companies are now doing good Industrial practice with significantly improving their production lines. Special Economic Zones with already pretty good infrastructure of China with heavy investments in their infrastructure in future, only a sudden and deep recession in US+EU may bring their industrial jobs back to from China :agree:
 
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We want to keep it that way, which is China getting blamed for the trade deficit while we walk away with the bulk of money from iPhone & iPad sales.

Quite smart! :D
 
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We want to keep it that way, which is China getting blamed for the trade deficit while we walk away with the bulk of money from iPhone & iPad sales.

LMAO! Apple is a Korean company now according to Korean nationalists? :rofl:

The next biggest gainers are South Korean firms like Samsung and LG, which provide the display and memory chips, whose profits account for 7% of an iPad’s value. The main financial benefit to China is wages paid to workers for assembling the product and for manufacturing some inputs—equivalent to only 2% of the retail price.

Read up .....
 
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We want to keep it that way, which is China getting blamed for the trade deficit while we walk away with the bulk of money from iPhone & iPad sales.

You are based in US so I would like to share my one experience with you. I lived in Australia, mainly in Sydney, for over 10 years and the most popular shopping centre there is KMART & also TARGET, where you may buy good quality cloths/ shoes/ belt/ cap etc for cheap price. And you may buy a good quality shirt from just $12 to $20 and even jeans for the range of just $30 to $45, all made in China. And even if China free Yuan making its sudden appreciation by even 50%, price of these stuffs won’t increase by a maximum of 25%, making shirt in the range of $15 to $25 and range of jeans from $38 to $56, then the reason is, 50% appreciation of Yuan will also result in reduction in import bill of metal, oil, gas and other raw materials by same margin reducing cost of product manufacturing by same margin. and this small increase in price of CHinese products will hardly effect on its sale as even the cheapest food in Sydney is found in McDonalds for no less than $10. :meeting:

One more example, if an Australian shopper sells a jeans for $40 then he basically imports it for $20 from China and sell it for $40. So even if he imports the same pant for $30 by paying 50% more due to 50% appreciation of Yuan, he may maintain his profit of $20 at the selling price of $50 only, just 25% more than $40. (while at the same time if the exporter will have to export the same pant for $30 in place of $20, then manufacturing cost of that pant would also be reduced by the same margin due to reduction of import bill of fuel/ raw material etc.) therefore, even 50% sudden appreciation of Yuan would effect health of Chinese export volume by hardly 2% to 10% :meeting:. Nothing will be changed overnight as if we have got habit of using cheap products, it will continue until we see any dramatic change in world :agree:

Only and only a deep recession in US+EU may bring their industrial jobs back from China. China whose over 700mil people have average per capita income less than even $3,000 on PPP, in the range of Bangladesh to Pakistan, will always be able to produce cheap products until they bring US+EU also to the level of these two countries :agree: (Special Economic Zones with pretty good infrastructure of China with much improved production lines,………. West will face a real tough challenge from China in future.)
 
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