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The Last Thing Iran Wants Is Full-On War with Saudi Arabia. Here's Why

Muhammed45

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The Last Thing Iran Wants Is Full-On War with Saudi Arabia. Here's Why

Iranians walk past a Ghadr-F missile displayed at a Revolutionary Guard hardware exhibition, marking 36th anniversary of the outset of Iran-Iraq war, in downtown Tehran on Sept. 25, 2016.

Vahid Salemi—AP/REX/Shutterstock
By Kay Armin Serjoie / Tehran
November 9, 2017
On the day Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman jailed rival princes and gathered about his robes the trappings of power, a missile screamed toward the airport of Riyadh, the kingdom’s capital. It was shot down before it could reach the earth, but the Saudi government claimed to know every detail about where it came from.

“It was an Iranian missile, launched by Hizballah from territory occupied by the Houthis in Yemen,” Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir declared to CNN three days later, on Nov. 6, naming allies of Tehran. “Direct military aggression by the Iranian regime,” the Crown Prince added a day later.

So it goes between the two great Muslim powers of the Middle East, the Sunni kingdom and the Shi’ite republic, locked in a rivalry only rarely declared so nakedly. Most of the time, especially in recent years, Saudi Arabia and Iran fight through proxies. And Iran is winning most of them, on evidence less dramatic than a missile launch:


  • In Iraq, millions of Shi’ite pilgrims are now gathering in the cities of Najaf and Karbala for the annual Arba’een ritual. Millions are arriving from neighboring Iran, which has cemented a deep alliance with Iraq since the nominally secular but Sunni dictator Saddam Hussein was toppled by the U.S. in 2003. Today, the Shi’ite sense of brotherhood between the two nations is more robust than it has been for centuries — as is the cooperation between governments. The Popular Mobilization Forces called theAl-Hashd Al-Sha’abi, based on the Iranian Basij paramilitary force, outmatches the official Iraqi army in both manpower and morale.
  • In Syria, the government of Bashar Al-Assad would have collapsed years ago without the help of the Iranian-backed militant group Hizballah, Russian airpower solicited by Iran and Iranian soldiers euphemistically referred to as military advisors. The combined forces are slowly but steadily taking back land from both ISIS and other groups of rebels that the Saudis had backed.
  • In Yemen, where Saudi Arabia had hoped for a quick and decisive victory when it led an armed attack in 2015 in support of the country’s official President Mansour Al-Hadi, it has instead become bogged down in a costly war of attrition with the Zaidi Houthis, a Shi’ite sect that drew much closer to Iran after the Saudi attack.

Yet the reaction from the Islamic Republic to Saudi bellicosity has been uncharacteristically muted. While strongly denying any role in arming the Houthis, Tehran has limited itself to calling for peace and unity and blaming Mohammad bin Salman’s accusations on problems inside the kingdom.



“If you have internal problems in [Saudi] Arabia, try to solve those problems, why do you seek to make problems for others because of your own problems? Why do you speak against the countries of the region?” Iran’s president, Hassan Rouhani, said in a cabinet meeting on Wednesday according to Iran’s official news agency IRNA.


For Iran, an escalation of the proxy wars into a direct confrontation with Saudi Arabia would be counterproductive to say the least, especially since events on the ground are going their way, at least for the time being. Iran is not eager to test Saudi Arabia’s modern and state-of-the-art military hardware, purchased from the United States at a price tag of billions of dollars. And attacking the birthplace of Islam, with the two most holy sites of Islam, in Mecca and Medina, would be akin to propaganda suicide in the Islamic World, with the potential for uniting every Muslim in the world against them. It’s no accident that Saudi kings style themselves as “The Custodian of The Two Holy Mosques.”

Today, Iran has much more to lose than it did a decade and a half ago. Before the American wars following 9/11, the Islamic Republic had been boxed in by the Taliban’s Afghanistan to the east and Saddam Hussein’s Iraq to the west. At that time, international concern over its nuclear program was making Iran a pariah state, its only regional ally being Syria, and the sections of Lebanon where Hizballah held sway.


But now, especially after the 2015 nuclear deal it reached with global superpowers, the influence of the Islamic Republic runs high in many Middle Eastern capitals, and beyond. Tehran played host to Russian President Vladimir Putin and hopes to have French President Emmanuel Macron pay an official visit, in what would be a first since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Barely a week goes by without the Islamic Republic’s most travelled foreign minister, Javad Zarif, either hosting foreign diplomats or visiting them around the world.

The Islamic Republic, finally within sight of its goal of becoming the region’s dominant power, considers a direct military confrontation with the House of Saud — which they believe to be on the verge of collapse — as far from desirable. Discretion, in their view, is the better part of valor.
 
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Both these traitors of Islam need to be put in place
We are in our place

Israel didn't offer it's *** to us, someone else is receiving Israeli support.

BTW, they have killed enough Muslims in their neighborhood. As you can see Lebanon after Qatar was their next stop for destabilization.

Both these traitors of Islam need to be put in place
The article has sectarianism, just read the title.

These western guys are wishing for a sectarian war
 
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The Saudis have proven themselves unfit to rule the birthplace of Islam. It's time the Muslim World vote as a whole on what to do with these power corrupt idiots.
 
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The Last Thing Iran Wants Is Full-On War with Saudi Arabia. Here's Why
Because Khamenai regime is good only in terror and vs. helpless civilians like in Syria.
 
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Because Khamenai regime is good only in terror and vs. helpless civilians like in Syria.

They do lots of nautanki. When it comes down to walking the walk, they are nowhere to be seen.
 
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I regret that Israel helped Iran in the past. Should have known these habitual liars and turncoats would end up trying to gobble up the whole M.E and spread their cancerous 'revolution'.
 
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They do lots of nautanki. When it comes down to walking the walk, they are nowhere to be seen.

What is Nautanki for you?
About 1 Million Iranies gave their life in defence of Iran against the butcher Saddam Hussain who was supported by US and all the Gulf Arab countries. Was it a Nautanki for you?

And Hizbullah alone succeeded in liberating part of Lebanon from Israel by kicking the Israeli *** in 2006 and for that even the Lebanese Christians love Hizbullah. Was it a Nautanki for you?

I hate the Mullah regime too ... but I dislike the Zionist tactics in Israel-Palestinian conflict much more while Zionists were offered the land in Uganda for their state, but they denied this offer and intentionally went for the Land of Palestinian people by "conspiring" and kicking the native people of Palestine out while some Unseen Jewish God promised them this land. Indeed all the religions are poison to the humanity.

I regret that Israel helped Iran in the past. Should have known these habitual liars and turncoats would end up trying to gobble up the whole M.E and spread their cancerous 'revolution'.

Did Israel helped Iran for the benefit of "Humanity".
No, Israel knew very well the drama of American hostages. Then why did Israel still help Iran?
These are only the dirty tactics of Israel to bribe the other states to accept their illegal state of Israel by providing the help. But it didn't work in case of Iran.
 
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Did Israel helped Iran for the benefit of "Humanity".
No, Israel knew very well the drama of American hostages. Then why did Israel still help Iran?
These are only the dirty tactics of Israel to bribe the other states to accept their illegal state of Israel by providing the help. But it didn't work in case of Iran.

Israel helped Iran against the tyrant Saddam Hussein.

The turncoats then repaid Israel with decades of terrorism.
 
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They wont opt for full scale war. Just lessening the influence of Hezbollah and disrupting the Shia crescent that has formed thanks to the mess in Syria and Iraq

We are in our place

Israel didn't offer it's *** to us, someone else is receiving Israeli support.

BTW, they have killed enough Muslims in their neighborhood. As you can see Lebanon after Qatar was their next stop for destabilization.


The article has sectarianism, just read the title.

These western guys are wishing for a sectarian war

Now, now - lets not pretend Iran is all innocent and the one whom all Muslims should rally behind. Any sunni who doesnt get all cozy with Iran is labelled a wahabi, its not like Iran doesnt promote sectarianism in their media. Lets not forget the shi'ites death squads that were funded by Iran and ran through sunni majority villages in Iraq to suppress any dissent.

Sectarian war is inevitable. Always has been the case in Islamic history.

Israel helped Iran against the tyrant Saddam Hussein.

The turncoats then repaid Israel with decades of terrorism.

Only because Saddam - then - threatened Israel.

Iran obviously needs to keep Israel in check too, hence a pocket group near their border (ie Hezbollah).
 
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Israel helped Iran against the tyrant Saddam Hussein.

The turncoats then repaid Israel with decades of terrorism.

Whatever lame excuse you bring, fact is this that Israel didn't help Iran for the Humanity, but for it's own interests against Saddam Hussain.
 
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