Folks, if you think the FA-50 isn't up to par against the JF-17, then you're all free to actually refute the specific points made in the article in the first post. Is the FA-50 using a Honeywell engine? No, it's using F404 and is being planned for EJ200; it's using a fighter grade radar capable of BVR plus an Israeli EW kit with DRFM; even its payload is close to that of the JF-17.
Iraq bought the FA-50, I'm sure they'll buy the single seat F-50 when available. Heck, the Gulf countries would probably look at FA-50 and forget about JF-17 entirely.
These are important points to consider. The availability of the FA-50 closes the door to some markets, but it reminds us of others. PAF should double down on the non-Western benefit of JF-17 and seriously work on ensuring that Block-III (or IV) raises the threshold. In other words, affordability shouldn't carry the idea of being compromised. JF-17's future blocks should emphasize composites, good cockpit visibility, relatively good range and payload, and relatively top tier electronics and weapons.
Hello,
Been following your posts, articles and discussions on not just PDF but, also on your website "QUWA" which offers a very fine insight and, a knowledgeable view of various defense related topics. This requires an enormous effort and dedication which in my view is a very respectable trait. So keep up the good work sir and, godspeed.
On topic; I agree with certain parts and understand your PoV but, disagree with others. I think you've totally discounted or underestimated the price, overall weapons package, logistics vis-a-vis spares and maintenance that come from countries other than South Korea and their deniability,operating cost, modularity and future growth potential which is cost effective.
Allow me to elaborate on point to point basis. I probably won't be as coherent as you but, hope you'll bear with me and ignore any mistakes I make in comprehension.
PRICE
As I understand, the flyaway cost of F/A-50 and JF-17 Block-II are $35 Million and $25 Million respectively. That's the difference of $10 Million which by no means is a small amount considering the target market for both these jets. Now if we compare the performance of both the birds then, via your own account, they're very much comparable with one another. EXCEPT, Thunder edges out because of integrated IFR giving it far more loiter time then the Golden Eagle and, that fact is undisputed.
I'll agree that not all air forces have refueling tankers but, for those that either have one or can afford one, it's a clear winner. And when it comes to refueling tankers, there are lot's of neat as well as modular options available these days. One among many is CN-235/C-295 on which you did an excellent article recently. If an Air Force already has one or gets one, it becomes a massive force multiplier which not only serves as an aerial tanker but, also as a tactical lift. Can be modified as an aerial gunship or can later be acquired -or modified, I'm not sure- as an AWE&C or J-STAR like platform.
Although, JF-17 Block-II specs haven't officially been revealed yet by PAC but, we do know that it's in full production and, going by various PAF officials' interviews, it has a better load carrying capability of 500kgs. Since Block-I already had F/A-50 beat albeit with marginal or meager difference,the addition of 500kgs swings the pendulum in Jf-17's favour. Than, it houses KLJ-7 V2 which reportedly has a tracking range of 110km for 3m2 RCS compared to EL/M-2032 whose tracking range for the same RCS is frankly unknown. So, if it's the same as KLJ-7 V2 than, no comparison there. If not, than it's another point for JF-17. Also, there are considerations for adding another hard point on lower lateral starboard side air intake for the targeting pod. I reckon it might be for the future Block-III configuration but, reason I included the point in this discussion is because it really isn't far fetched that, this hardpoint will find it's way in the Block-II since it has an additional 500kg load carrying capability. Thus, freeing up underwing hardpoint(s) for useful load and making Block-II even more lethal at fraction of a cost. And, this will give Block-II 8 hardpoints instead of 7 which is again a feather up it's cape.
WEAPONS:-
JF-17 Block-II simply takes the cake in weapons department. All one has to really do is look at the assortment of weapons currently integrated on it.
In AoA, F/A-50 as of now has no BVR solution. Yes, in future, AMRAAM or Israeli BVR indeed is an option. But, JF-17 is rocking PL-12/SD-10 right now. And talking about future, HOBS is coming in Block-III. But let's not stop there. Talking about future, it'd be a grave injustice if we didn't mention PL-15. I'm sure sir you do not need an introduction to what that missile is but, let me ask what 5th Gen options are for F/A-50?
Now I know that not all future customers of JF-17 will get access to 5th Gen weaponry out of the box as there's a lot of politics involved. But, certain other players like rich GCC countries via Pakistan might just get that. And, of course, it goes without saying that Pakistan WILL get it. It will only elevate the prospects and reputation of JF-17 not just above F/A-50 but, also any other competition.
Anyway, enough about the future, let's talk about the present. And presently, Thunder 1ups the Golden Eagle again in A2G capability. Whatever F/A-50 boasts, Thunder boasts the same and more including anti-radiation missiles to stand-off munition that you talked about in your article. You said that in future F/A-50 could deploy ALCMs which could serve as A2G as well as AShM stand-off munitions. But sir, you probably didn't consider the price hike that such munitions will trigger for their integration and deployment. As it stands right now, on average an ALCM costs equal or above $1 Million for 200 to 300 kilometer range. If more range is desired then cost itself becomes an inhibiting factor. A good example is a recent purchase by Spain of 43 Taurus KEPD 350 ALCMs which cost them a whooping $80 Million. Now please consider incorporating the same tech on F/A-50 for its targeted market and monumental cost hike. . . Not a good way of going around doing business now, is it?
Lastly, for anti-ship role, F/A-50 has zero capability, role or whatever. Thus, no need to elaborate this point as JF-17 has the clear advantage.
LOGISTICS & MAINTENANCE:-
Steady supply of spares and services for maintenance and serviceability to overhauls is the heart of any air fleet. Cut that line and any force, air, land or sea will die it's own death. Therefore, it is of utmost importance that, that line must be kept open for the sustenance, high morale and capability of an Air Force to carry out its day to day operations unhindered and maintain the critical defense of the country.
That said, in order for F/A-50 to become a compelling offering, it needs reliable foreign partners which unfortunately it does not has. United States just yesterday denied permission to South Korea for sell of 12 such jets to Uzbekistan. Again, considering the countries that have either shown interest in fighter/attack type or the market that S.K wants to target with F/A, it is more likely that permission will be denied again as it'll be conflict of interest for U.S.
And it's not just about United States either as European countries might try to block the sales or allow a half-assed version to be sold. Please do remember what Kfir configuration did Israel offer Argentina and why. And also the diplomatic messaging and posturing that U.K made when Argentina was considering FC-1.
Point that I'm trying make is that, sell of Fighter/Attack class jets involves A LOT of politics and dodging and diplomatic maneuvering. No wonder the first export customer of JF-17 is being kept secret.
It might seem like a doom and gloom from the picture that I've painted but, the astounding thing is that in spite of all that, F/A-50 already is an export success. It has an active operational squadron in Korean Airforce and is slated to replace all the older F-5s. That means, it's no could ultimately balloon to 60-100 aircrafts. On top of that, Iraq and Philippines have already confirmed orders for 24 and 12 aircrafts respectively.
But, point to note is that, both the countries share their national interests with the United States in one way or another. And the countries which will get the F/A-50 in future will be only those which like Iraq and Philippines share United State's interests or designs in the region. Period.
You may say that JF-17 is no different as it imports RD-93 from Russia but, you know that a lot of development is being done on that front as there are ongoing negotiations for setting up maintenance and overhaul facilities for RD-93 locally. And then, there's China which is not only developing a local solution in form of WS-10 but, is also a guaranter and middle man for RD-93 imports from Russia in much the same way as it was for Pakistan before normalization and convergence of national interests of both the countries, i.e., Pakistan and Russia. Not only that but, the geo-strategic shift in international relations have brought ever more convergence of interests and interdependence of not just Pakistan, China and Russia but also Central Asia to Middle East and Africa. One great example is recent Russian offering of gas pipeline stretching from Russia to Turkmenistan and running parallel to TAPI and ending in Gwadar. LNG import from Russia is another great example of growing Pak-Russo relations. Whether any of this is possible or will come to fruition is another debate but, it was necessary to point out these things in the context of political influence and leverage in defence equipment sell.
I'm sorry for dragging on but, one more quick point about maintenance as I've just been occupied with logistics and other things.
JF-17 was designed from ground up for plug and play easy maintenance in mind which can be done by minimum ground crew (2 to 3 I believe). Although I'm not privy to F/A-50's design philosophy and therefore, I can't educatedly talk about whether it'd as easy as JF-17. But I had to guess then, I'd say JF-17.
GROWTH POTENTIAL & COST:-
It'd be plain foolish to think that one bird has more or less growth potential then the other. I think both have incredible potential and instead of looking at it that way, it'd be wise to think of it as a race. As it stands right now, both the birds have access to the latest technologies. It all comes down to the customers, operators, their needs and their requirements. In this regard, I'd say JF-17 will develop much faster as Block-III -which is scheduled to begin production from 2016 or 17- will incorporate AESA, IRST, HMD, possible uprated RD-93MA, much advanced avionics and integrated EW suite instead of pods, 2 more hardpoints along with greater use of composites. It'd be a quantum leap in aircraft's capabilities and a massive force multiplier. But, if not all the projected advancements make their way into Block-III, it'll probably be because of cost.
Cost will be the one and only inhibiting factor for JF-17's future development. Whereas for F/A-50 programme, it not just has to fight to keep the cost down as it only or predominantly uses western components but, also justify the cost in face fierce competition.
In summation, I think both the jets are simply meant for different markets. And when I say different market, I mean for countries that are in supposed American Bloc and opposed to China and Russia will be the end users of F/A-50s. Neutral countries might be enticed but, costs, logistics and above discussed points might prove to be inhibiting factor. All in all, I think JF-17 is a much better airplane right now and will be in the future with great growth potential, smooth logistics -with promise of getting even more streamlined in the future-, costs ranging from acquisition to operations and maintenance and far lenient political compromises (IF ANY).
P.S, my source of information was mostly google and wikipedia. I couldn't find anywhere that F/A-50 has AIM120-D integrated. Thus, my above comments and claims. If you find any other contradiction than, I request you kindly point it out and provide a source for me to educate myself.
Thank you for your time.
Best regards.