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The Great Game Changer: Belt and Road Intiative (BRI; OBOR)

A flop in Russia but a success in China, go figure.
The Chinese taste is different to the Russian, perhaps?


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Russian fantasy film becomes box office hit in China
Published time: 22 Aug, 2016 13:01


The movie featuring dragons, a popular theme in Chinese culture, and made 18.35 million yuan ($2.77 million) at the box office.

The movie made more money in a single day than during its entire run in Russia and the CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States) earlier this year.

As of the end of the weekend, the fantasy drama earned $6.77 million with an audience of nearly 1.5 million people.

Released in Russia last December, ‘He is a Dragon’ became an internet hit in China after a pirated copy of the video appeared on the web. One of the pirated videos got 3.7 million views in just five days, according to Vedomosti daily.

The popularity of the movie came as a surprise to the producers. The principal character of the drama does not fit the image of the dragon in Chinese culture as a good omen symbolizing success, power and good luck.

“When we presented the movie to Chinese distributors, they said that locals are unlikely to be interested in the picture because of its plot, as the dragon is featured as a negative character bringing evil, which fundamentally contradicts the national image,” said Valeriya Dobrolyubova, the head of Bazelevs sales department as quoted by RIA Novosti.

‘He is a Dragon’ is on its way to becoming the most successful Russian movie released in China. That honor belongs to the 2013 war drama ‘Stalingrad’, which made $11.8 million at the Chinese box office with $1.7 million on its opening day.
 
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Yet another great concentrated thread by @ahojunk .

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China-Russia oil pipeline fuels trade
By ZHANG YU/LYU CHANG (China Daily) Updated: 2016-08-19 08:57

View attachment 329983
Two China National Petroleum Corp employees collect crude oil transported from Russia at the valve chamber in Daqing, Heilongjiang province. GUO JUNFENG/FOR CHINA DAILY

Huge capacity of link to enhance energy security, cut costs

A new China-Russia oil pipeline will help guarantee China's oil consumption and, cut its transportation costs, said Gao Jian, an oil analyst at commodities consultancy Sublime China Information Co Ltd.

Compared with other countries, Russia has oil of quite good quality, and its location near China makes it competitive in exporting oil to China, Gao said, adding that Russia will certainly become China's largest exporter of oil in the near future.

The European economic situation made Russia shift its oil export destinations to the Asia-Pacific region, while China, as one of the world's largest oil consumers, has the need to import oil from neighboring countries, according to Gao.

Construction of the second China-Russia crude oil pipeline started recently in northeastern China's Heilongjiang province, a move that expands the capability for oil transportation from Russia to China.

The pipeline, traversing the China-Russia border, is 940 km in length and 813 mm in diameter, with a capacity to transport 15 million tons of crude oil annually, according to China National Petroleum Corporation.

The Chinese section of the pipeline starts from the border city of Mohe in Heilongjiang, runs southward through the Inner Mongolia autonomous region and ends at Daqing in Heilongjiang.

The pipeline is expected to be put into operation at the beginning of 2018.

It will run parallel to an existing pipeline-the first China-Russia crude oil pipeline that was put into use in 2011, which can also transport 15 million tons of oil each year.

According to the CNPC Economics & Technology Research Institute, China imported 328 million tons of oil last year.

In 2015, Russia exported 41.04 million tons of crude oil to China, making China the country's largest oil importer, Russian media reported.

That means more than 12.5 percent of crude oil China imported last year was from Russia.

China and Russia signed a cooperation agreement on expanding bilateral trade in crude oil in 2013.

Following the agreement, CNPC signed a trade contract with Rosneft, Russia's largest oil producer, to expand the supply of oil for China.

Building a new pipeline is the main action under the contract.

Wow, a second oil pipeline in the making. This is for sure ensure that Russia remains the top crude provider. Now, onto 2018, natural gas from eastern Russia will start to flow, elevating Russia's share in natural gas market, as well.

China will have more presence in the strategic sea routes while its dependency on those routes for energy import declines (currently, it pretty much stabilized).

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Teaching Beijing to Play Hockey

Kunlun Red Star is the first Chinese team to play in Russia's Kontinental Hockey League.

By Matthew Bodner
Aug. 25 2016 — The Moscow Times


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“China is a great sports nation. It has enormous human resource potential, possesses all modern technologies, and ice hockey enjoys full state support, so why not?” Vladimir Krechin, Red Star general manager. HC Kunlun Red Star

After three straight preseason losses, Beijing’s Red Star won their first match in the Kontinental Hockey League (KHL). Barely six weeks old, they toppled Kazakhstan’s Barys Astana 3-1, prompting a team-to-team fight. Three days later, when the two teams met again, it was clear that a new KHL rivalry has been born.

It was the first game of Kazakhstan’s President’s Cup—a traditional curtain-raiser for the KHL season in late August. Tension between the teams was apparent within the first three minutes. Astana player Dmitry Rypsayev tried to single-handedly fight the entire Red Star roster, and saw some success.

Going into this Aug. 8 match with just 23 games of KHL play under his belt, Ryspayev had yet to score a single goal. But with 194 minutes spent in the penalty box during that time, the young Kazakh’s genius for on-ice violence was clear. Red Star didn’t have anyone on their roster to match that kind of pugilistic talent. The team’s Russian coach, Vladimir Yurzinov Jr., pulled his players from the ice.

It was a strategic decision: accept a forfeit and ensure the team is healthy enough to fight another day. This matchup was, after all, intended to be a friendly preseason game and trial run leading into the Aug. 22 start of the KHL season. For Red Star, these games were also intended to set the stage for their arrival in Beijing for their first home game on Sept. 5.

Fighting would give the new Chinese audience the wrong idea about hockey, the KHL reasoned. When the league decided to hand Ryspayev a lifetime ban on Aug. 18, it used precisely those reasons to justify it. While there is a place for fair fighting in hockey, said KHL President Dmitry Chernyshenko, there is no place for Ryspayev’s assault on the “newcomer.”

“We are constantly working to attract a new audience and broaden the game’s geographical reach,” Chernyshenko continued, “and Ryspayev’s behavior is not merely harmful in a sporting context, it also blackens the image of the league.”

Dmitry Ryspayev tried to fight most of the Red Star roster. TEHNO_News / YouTube

The Great Game
Kunlun Red Star, as the team is officially known, is China’s first team to join the Russian-dominated KHL. Behind the National Hockey League (NHL), the KHL is widely regarded as the second most competitive hockey league in the world. While there has been talk for over a year that Beijing was trying to assemble a KHL team, Red Star only joined the league on June 25.

The ceremony inducting Red Star into the KHL was picturesque. Russian President Vladimir Putin, in Beijing for a series of high-level state negotiations, sat next to his counterpart Xi Jinping. The two watched as KHL Vice President Roman Rotenberg and chairman of the KHL board Gennady Timchenko— both longtime Putin allies—signed a formal agreement with Red Star’s management.

Ostensibly a Chinese team—ownership remains murky—Red Star is coached and managed by seasoned Russians. The club has an explicit mission: to play a central role in developing Chinese hockey ahead of Beijing’s hosting of the 2022 Winter Olympics, says Red Star General Manager Vladimir Krechin.

Hockey is one of the contest’s most prestigious events, and Russia has been one of the world’s preeminent hockey powers for decades, with the Soviet national team famously dominant at international competition. In this way, teaching China hockey is one of the few areas of the Russia-China relationship where Moscow can confidently play the coveted role of senior partner.

“I see Red Star as a club that will bring ice hockey in China to the next level,” Krechin says. “The partnership will involve much more than just building one professional club. There is a vast, long-term program covering everything: youth programs, coaching programs, international tournaments for different levels, and much more.”

The man tapped to spearhead this effort was Russian hockey coach Vladimir Yurzinov Jr., the son of a famous Soviet hockey player. His role is a critical one in Red Star’s political goodwill mission. By building a team that can play what he calls “attractive hockey,” Chinese fans can discover a sport they can get behind, and the sport’s infrastructure will fall into place.

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American hockey player Chad Rau, one of the team’s NHL veterans, plays the position of forward. He is one of the team’s experienced foreign players. HC Kunlun Red Star

Red Star Rising
“It is impossible at this moment to find Chinese players good enough to form an entire team,” Yurzinov says. KHL regulations stipulate that at least 10 players represent the host nation, or are otherwise Russian. The team is then free to pad out the remainder of the roster with experienced NHL players and veterans from the KHL.

According to one of the team’s Chinese recruits, 18-yearold Rudi Ying, the problem is mainly a difference in approach. “The basic mistake Chinese players make, he says, “is treating hockey like a skill sport, not a contact team sport.”

The difference became apparent to Ying 10 years ago, when his family moved to the United States and he entered the youth league system there.

They also lack what Ying called “game sense” and a sense of competitiveness. This stems from the typical Chinese season schedule. During the crucial stretch from ages 12 to 18, Chinese players will play no more than 20 games a season, while kids in the United States and Europe typically play anywhere from 60 to 80 games.

But in the decade since Ying left China to play in the United States, support for the game has steadily grown. China has fielded teams in the less prestigious Asia League Ice Hockey (ALIH), and has a decent elementary school training system. The problem is in training players through high school and into college. The idea is for Red Star to eventually form an academy to fill this gap.

Meanwhile, Yurzinov’s Chinese players, like Ying, must be the vanguard of a new generation of Chinese hockey talent. It is likely that Red Star players will in six years be called upon to form the backbone of a Chinese national team at the 2022 Beijing Olympics. “I see it as my duty to help the development of Chinese hockey,” Ying says, expecting to heed the call down the line.

“The only reason hockey is not popular in China is that people don’t know about it. I think once they see it, they will fall in love, and Red Star is really going to help with that,” he says. In the short term, this will be handled by Red Star’s foreign players. Even rookie Russians like Alexander Mikulovich say they have been encouraged to pass along their skills.

“The owner came in one day and said to us: ‘Guys, I know that the Chinese players are not as good as you, but just try to be nice to them. And, if possible, teach them some stuff,” Mikulovich says.

While this might sound patronizing to some, Ying said it was the key selling point that drew him from the traditional North American developmental leagues to the KHL. “I had a long conversation with my agent about how the guys on the team are going to take me under their wing. Some of them have close to 10 years experience on me, and they’ve been really helpful,” he says.

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Red Star coach Vladimir Yurzinov. HC Kunlun Red Star

While Yurzinov and his players are looking to bring their Chinese teammates up to their level, the coach needs to ensure he has a team that can win. If Red Star is unable to develop into a competitive organization, the entire project could fail. “No one expects heroics from a newborn team, but who wants to be a bunch of clowns on ice? Who wants to lose day after day?” he says.

And so, as Red Star prepares for its first game of the KHL season in Khabarovsk on Sept. 1, the coaching staff continues to play with its roster. The latest rumors circulating online are that Red Star is courting its own answer to KHL hit men like banned Astana player Ryspayev.

On Aug. 18, KHL sportswriter Aivis Kalniņš wrote on Twitter that the club made a contract offer to infamous Canadian enforcer Brian McGrattan. The former NHL player holds a dubious record in the lesser American Hockey League (AHL): most time spent in the penalty box during one season, standing at 551 minutes.

Next time Red Star has to fight, it will be ready.

@vostok
 
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Yet we should NEVER underestimate the cunning and skills of troublemakers...they might not fight the SCO or China or Russia openly but their proxies are equally vicious...

Just look to the South...india is running to US to become the junior partner in the global empire...while sitting in SCO, BRICS or AIIB.

Definitely, the disagreements persist. But, a practical, pragmatic alliance is possible despite the fact that there are serious disagreements on various issues.

The Turkey has serious beef with every NATO member, practically, but this does not prevent NATO from looming largely on Russia.

The US and France were at each other's throat during the Second Iraq War. Yet, NATO survives.

That's what makes institutions special. They provide solid structures. Your are either in or out. But, if you are in, you need to comply with the house rules that you sign to gain the access.

Currently, neither India nor Pakistan are full SCO members. They have to read through the protocols and rules, and pass them in their national assemblies. Then, they are granted full membership.

If India plays double or breaks rules, it will be kicked out more quickly than it was let in. That's so simple. No body is naïve or stupid; especially China and Russia. They, of course, are able to read through the mind of an Indian or anybody else, for that matter.

Yet, I still am of the opinion that India will be an asset in the SCO's expansion despite that bilateral disagreements with China remains.

India-Russia relationship was merely a money earning business for Russia by selling weapons. They needed the money. Apart from that there is absolutely NOTHING to that relationship. That money earning business will slow since India has chosen to sleep with America and buy their weapons.

India has never supported Russia in any of its geopolitical rivalries with the US. Geopolitical support to Russia is the most important in its battle with America right now. India can offer next to nothing on that.

In fact, with India agreeing to being a complete vassal state of the US now, Russia is starting to realise it can no longer trust India. That's why Russia is getting closer to China.

Russian media has also turned anti-India recently. Before it was all praise for India. Russia is suspicious of India's agenda. The shift is happening and only you Indians don't realise it.

Well said.

India provides nothing to Russia that China does, in terms of material benefits and strategic depth.

After all, it was not India that signed a 400 billion USD natural gas deal with Russia.

Besides, India has not been vocal about Russia's self-defence policies of recent years while China has made serious and real commitments to assist Russia in times of direst need.

India is itself an industrial/technological midget, has no land connection with Russia, and can only serve as a weapons customer. The last item is the only meaningful tie that Russia probably is caring about.

But, just as Vietnam, India can easily find another patron; customers are always fickle.

What is needed is institutionalization.

And, apart from the Western alliance, the only viable institution maker in the world is China. And Russia is the number 1 guest and partner in every institution China creates.

Think of the OBOR-EEU integration. That by itself is larger than the past 50 years of India-Russia relations.

More sleepless nights for Moddi.

This is history in the making: Turkey-Iran-Pakistan-China-Russia

Those into eschatology know the significance.

I agree, except Turkey. Turkey is currently on the Western alliance and will most likely come at each other's throat with Russia soon as, as excited and roused up as they are, the Turkish state arms a foreign entity in Syia and violates Syrian sovereignty against the approval of the legitimate government.

No, Turkey and China-Russia are anti-thesis of each other in terms of political ideology, affiliation and world view.
 
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Yet another great concentrated thread by @ahojunk .

@TaiShang , You are welcome.
My hope is this "China & Far East" forum will serve to educate and broaden our knowledge of this increasingly important part of the world.

Thanks for posting this:-
Teaching Beijing to Play Hockey

Kunlun Red Star is the first Chinese team to play in Russia's Kontinental Hockey League.

By Matthew Bodner
Aug. 25 2016 — The Moscow Times
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It's good to see China and Russia's relationship goes beyond business.


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Russia-China Power of Siberia Gas Pipeline Project on Schedule
15:00 25.08.2016

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Russia’s Gazprom and China affirm full compliance with the schedule in the implementation of the Power of Siberia pipeline project via the eastern route, Gazprom said in a statement Thursday.

MOSCOW (Sputnik) – Gazprom CEO Alexei Miller hosted Chinese Ambassador to Russia Li Hui at the company’s headquarters in Moscow earlier in the day. "Key items on the agenda are deliveries of Russian pipeline gas to China. The sides confirmed their full compliance with the schedule of the gas supply project through the eastern route, and discussed the progress of negotiations on the western route delivery project," the company said.

Gazprom signed a 30-year framework agreement with the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) in 2014 for annual deliveries of 38 billion cubic meters of Russian gas through the eastern route pipeline, formally known as the Power of Siberia and expected to come on-stream in late 2019.

In May, Gazprom said that 71 miles of the pipeline's 3,000 kilometers to stretch across Russian territory were constructed in 2015. Another 250 miles are planned to be completed in 2016. The CNPC plans to build up to 50 kilometers on Chinese territory this year.

Read more: http://sputniknews.com/business/20160825/1044627628/power-of-siberia-gas.html
 
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Definitely, the disagreements persist. But, a practical, pragmatic alliance is possible despite the fact that there are serious disagreements on various issues.

The Turkey has serious beef with every NATO member, practically, but this does not prevent NATO from looming largely on Russia.

The US and France were at each other's throat during the Second Iraq War. Yet, NATO survives.

That's what makes institutions special. They provide solid structures. Your are either in or out. But, if you are in, you need to comply with the house rules that you sign to gain the access.

Currently, neither India nor Pakistan are full SCO members. They have to read through the protocols and rules, and pass them in their national assemblies. Then, they are granted full membership.

If India plays double or breaks rules, it will be kicked out more quickly than it was let in. That's so simple. No body is naïve or stupid; especially China and Russia. They, of course, are able to read through the mind of an Indian or anybody else, for that matter.

Yet, I still am of the opinion that India will be an asset in the SCO's expansion despite that bilateral disagreements with China remains.



Well said.

India provides nothing to Russia that China does, in terms of material benefits and strategic depth.

After all, it was not India that signed a 400 billion USD natural gas deal with Russia.

Besides, India has not been vocal about Russia's self-defence policies of recent years while China has made serious and real commitments to assist Russia in times of direst need.

India is itself an industrial/technological midget, has no land connection with Russia, and can only serve as a weapons customer. The last item is the only meaningful tie that Russia probably is caring about.

But, just as Vietnam, India can easily find another patron; customers are always fickle.

What is needed is institutionalization.

And, apart from the Western alliance, the only viable institution maker in the world is China. And Russia is the number 1 guest and partner in every institution China creates.

Think of the OBOR-EEU integration. That by itself is larger than the past 50 years of India-Russia relations.



I agree, except Turkey. Turkey is currently on the Western alliance and will most likely come at each other's throat with Russia soon as, as excited and roused up as they are, the Turkish state arms a foreign entity in Syia and violates Syrian sovereignty against the approval of the legitimate government.

No, Turkey and China-Russia are anti-thesis of each other in terms of political ideology, affiliation and world view.

My brother, you analysis is yet again valid and rational. Wonderful!

A few points though...

1- Turkey in SCO, OBOR-EEU is better than out. Let us not forget its a pivotal state. The most important thing is that Turkey needs to find a frank and mutually benenifitial understanding with China. I think you know what I mean. Same with Russia. First test: Syria...here Turkey has to join a win-win solution with Sino-Russian perspective.

2- india has taken too unconstructive approach lately. It has been overestimating its reach and capabilities of late and is trying to provoke/contain/insult China rather openly. By joining a military alliance it has clearly joined the troublemakers camp.

In eurasian space Russia and China chose a win-win paradigm and worked towards integeration of OBOR-EEU. Where as india envisions itself as competitor of China in that space. Just read their think tanks papers let alone there 'free and dimmocratic' media..

China accomodated indian ego every step of the way... but its behaviour has been not constructive to say it politely.

3- There is troublemakers sponsored/created noise in SCS & ECS...india is threatening to suboage CPEC, trying to drill oil in Chinese waters, joining US led alliance with JP, AUS to contain China in the Chinese Seas..joining US in military alliance to Contain China in South, South West Asia, ME and AFrica..even the western media has trumped it this way. Scan the net and you will see it validated.


The scenario that is emerging is that Sino-Russian partnership is the core..where our Pak brothers form a bridge in South West Asia and ME..and eurasian space is decidely under this core.

I only percieve that india has fully joined the troublemakers camp and wish to pressure China on border and other strategic issues..since india doesnt have strength to do it alone it wishes to ride the US for its purposes.

China must as always show Virtue and manage the Sun Wukong with Wisdom and Patience.

But 500 years of humilty is the destiny of Sun Wukong.
 
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The 9th Meeting of China-Russia Joint Committee on Proper Use and Protection of Transboundary Waters Held in St. Petersburg
2016/08/05

From August 1 to 4, 2016, the 9th Meeting of China-Russia Joint Committee on Proper Use and Protection of Transboundary Waters was held in St. Petetsburg, Russia. Chairman on the Chinese side of the Joint Committee and Vice Foreign Minister Liu Zhenmin, Chairman on the Russian side of the Joint Committee and Acting Head of the Federal Water Resources Agency Nikanorov Vadim of Russia, and representatives from ministries of foreign affairs, environmental protection, water resources, border defense and others as well as relevant local governments in border regions of the two countries attended the meeting.

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The meeting reviewed and summarized the fruitful achievements of the Joint Committee since the 8th meeting, formulated and ratified the 2017 working plans of the Joint Committee and two working groups of water quality monitoring and protection and water resources management, and exchanged candid and in-depth views on topics of common interest, reaching important consensus.

W020160809316363001268.jpg

Speaking highly of the important role of the Joint Committee in advancing mutual understanding and trust between both countries in the field of transboundary waters and constantly deepening relevant practical cooperation, both sides stressed their willingness to join efforts so as to make greater contributions to safeguarding the common and long-term interests of both countries and enriching the connotation of China-Russia comprehensive strategic partnership of coordination.
 
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I agree, except Turkey. Turkey is currently on the Western alliance and will most likely come at each other's throat with Russia soon as, as excited and roused up as they are, the Turkish state arms a foreign entity in Syia and violates Syrian sovereignty against the approval of the legitimate government.

No, Turkey and China-Russia are anti-thesis of each other in terms of political ideology, affiliation and world view.

And therein lies the upcoming surprise. Stay tuned.

Indeed, from several aspects Russia (or China for that matter), is very different from most of the Muslim countries, however, as we've seen in the past numerous times, there have been alliances. And in the coming years, there's a school of thought in the Islamic world, which foresees the Islamic countries aligning themselves with Russia (and China), including Turkey. We, as students of Islamic eschatology are therefore, watching these recent development very closely.
 
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@hoangsa74

Is below your trademark ... ... ??

A Southern Vietnamese Backstabbing traitor who is selling out Vietnam
Long term Prosperity to the white anglo saxon scums.
Many people wonder if the said Southern Vietnamese parents are exhibiting the same
Treacherous and Backstabbing trait as well ??
 
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And therein lies the upcoming surprise. Stay tuned.

Indeed, from several aspects Russia (or China for that matter), is very different from most of the Muslim countries, however, as we've seen in the past numerous times, there have been alliances. And in the coming years, there's a school of thought in the Islamic world, which foresees the Islamic countries aligning themselves with Russia (and China), including Turkey. We, as students of Islamic eschatology are therefore, watching these recent development very closely.

I am not sure about the future or eschatological extrapolations. I believe in causality and dialectic.

But, maybe, with a Heavenly strike of good fortune, Turkey returns to its revolutionary secular roots. Then, it would be a more workable partner.

Yet, under current situation, China does not see Turkey nothing more than an economic actor. We have absolute political mistrust in the current sectarian and religio-imperialist foreign policy ideology of Turkish government. That's an anti-thesis of China's very founding principles and vice versa.

That's perhaps why the now outlawed Islamic cleric, Gulen, once sanctioned and heavily sponsored by the current Turkish regime (up until 2013), has never been given space in China or Russia to function and flourish its dangerous religious ideology.

I believe Russia has similar view although, due to geographic proximity, it has somehow deeper relations with Turkey. But, as things are developing in Syria, if there is no deeper conspiracy between Russia and Turkey, the relations will go even further down then it was during the Russian fighter jet crisis.

@Economic superpower

1- Turkey in SCO, OBOR-EEU is better than out. Let us not forget its a pivotal state. The most important thing is that Turkey needs to find a frank and mutually benenifitial understanding with China. I think you know what I mean. Same with Russia. First test: Syria...here Turkey has to join a win-win solution with Sino-Russian perspective.

That's the ideal situation and I agree on this point although I suspect its practical functionality under current situation. But, I have no faith that the highlighted expectation would come through. Since the 1950s, Turkey has been part and parcel of the NATO-led opposition to anything that is represented by China and Russia. First and foremost, the socialist worldview. I do not see the current Turkish leadership, with its absolute grip on the state and ideology, will have any ideological congruence with China or Russia.

Heck, their National Parliament leader just called revolutionary Che a killer.

I read that he was the same person that was among those who attacked and killed several left revolutionaries in the 1950s when those revolutionaries were protesting against the visiting US naval ship in Istanbul. Same ideology, same linage, same tradition. Only stronger.

2- india has taken too unconstructive approach lately. It has been overestimating its reach and capabilities of late and is trying to provoke/contain/insult China rather openly. By joining a military alliance it has clearly joined the troublemakers camp.

I agree. That's why I believe, beyond the practical economic considerations, India is not a strategic partner. But China shares a long border with India, hence, the geographic reality cannot be denied. Hence, practical solutions need to be sought. Institutional learning under the SCO framework might work.

3- There is troublemakers sponsored/created noise in SCS & ECS...india is threatening to suboage CPEC, trying to drill oil in Chinese waters, joining US led alliance with JP, AUS to contain China in the Chinese Seas..joining US in military alliance to Contain China in South, South West Asia, ME and AFrica..even the western media has trumped it this way. Scan the net and you will see it validated.

That's all reality itself and, India is not doing anything visionary, obviously. It is copy and paste from the Philippines, Vietnam and Japan's playbook. That's unfortunate. Nonetheless, because these are all China's land and sea neighbors, China needs to economically engage them while geopolitically reinforces its indigenous defence capabilities. That's the only way to go. China can easily deny the existence, say, of Turkey on its geopolitical radar, but one cannot deny Japan. China needs to engage. Engagement, like you say often, through new discourses and frameworks like the OBOR or the SCO might give the optimum, although not desired, outcome.

The scenario that is emerging is that Sino-Russian partnership is the core..where our Pak brothers form a bridge in South West Asia and ME..and eurasian space is decidely under this core.

I agree. I would define China-Russia partnership as the core of the new Eurasian space. Central Asia, Pakistan and Iran function under this core. Currently, the direction of the Eurasian land bridge is Western Europe, not West Asia or the Middle East. By simply looking at the newly launched train and road network across China's west, we can see that the present focus is on Russia, Central Asia and Pakistan.
 
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I am not sure about the future or eschatological extrapolations. I believe in causality and dialectic.

But, maybe, with a Heavenly strike of good fortune, Turkey returns to its revolutionary secular roots. Then, it would be a more workable partner.

Yet, under current situation, China does not see Turkey nothing more than an economic actor. We have absolute political mistrust in the current sectarian and religio-imperialist foreign policy ideology of Turkish government. That's an anti-thesis of China's very founding principles and vice versa.

That's perhaps why the now outlawed Islamic cleric, Gulen, once sanctioned and heavily sponsored by the current Turkish regime (up until 2013), has never been given space in China or Russia to function and flourish its dangerous religious ideology.

I believe Russia has similar view although, due to geographic proximity, it has somehow deeper relations with Turkey. But, as things are developing in Syria, if there is no deeper conspiracy between Russia and Turkey, the relations will go even further down then it was during the Russian fighter jet crisis.

@Economic superpower



That's the ideal situation and I agree on this point although I suspect its practical functionality under current situation. But, I have no faith that the highlighted expectation would come through. Since the 1950s, Turkey has been part and parcel of the NATO-led opposition to anything that is represented by China and Russia. First and foremost, the socialist worldview. I do not see the current Turkish leadership, with its absolute grip on the state and ideology, will have any ideological congruence with China or Russia.

Heck, their National Parliament leader just called revolutionary Che a killer.

I read that he was the same person that was among those who attacked and killed several left revolutionaries in the 1950s when those revolutionaries were protesting against the visiting US naval ship in Istanbul. Same ideology, same linage, same tradition. Only stronger.



I agree. That's why I believe, beyond the practical economic considerations, India is not a strategic partner. But China shares a long border with India, hence, the geographic reality cannot be denied. Hence, practical solutions need to be sought. Institutional learning under the SCO framework might work.



That's all reality itself and, India is not doing anything visionary, obviously. It is copy and paste from the Philippines, Vietnam and Japan's playbook. That's unfortunate. Nonetheless, because these are all China's land and sea neighbors, China needs to economically engage them while geopolitically reinforces its indigenous defence capabilities. That's the only way to go. China can easily deny the existence, say, of Turkey on its geopolitical radar, but one cannot deny Japan. China needs to engage. Engagement, like you say often, through new discourses and frameworks like the OBOR or the SCO might give the optimum, although not desired, outcome.



I agree. I would define China-Russia partnership as the core of the new Eurasian space. Central Asia, Pakistan and Iran function under this core. Currently, the direction of the Eurasian land bridge is Western Europe, not West Asia or the Middle East. By simply looking at the newly launched train and road network across China's west, we can see that the present focus is on Russia, Central Asia and Pakistan.
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Yes, indeed. First the inner circle then the outer rings...the priority is rightfully, well thought through, to integerate EU, EEU and South West Asia through OBOR.


This is going well...on its foundations next phase shall be built. I am extremely delighted with deligence and foresight that the Chinese planners have shown.


The end game in the first phase remains..Germany.

With German industrialists just waiting for the right moment to embark upon their investment journey Eastwards. This is where growth is going to happend for the coming decades...and all roads lead for Germans from Moscow to BeiJing.

Regarding, engagements with the immediate neighbours...your view is correct again. Economic integeration and some begnign neglect of bad behviour is the right course. Pragmatic.

Turkey is a very long term prospect. A generational thing...on the Game of Go...slow does it.

Look brother, BRICS is rather dead. And there is only R&C left. So, we must treat it as such.

I do percieve a new framework to emerge in due time to replace it. But I will leave it at that. Anything on the matter will be speculative...which I don't prefer.

The operative dynamics, on the other hand, are very encouraging. Without overestimation or arrogance..China must continue the present course.

Sometimes, I do wish to be active part of it. But who knows...

You keep up the good work! Love your views and analyses.
 
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This is from Sputnik, a Russian viewpoint. An interesting read.
IMHO, this friendship/alliance is helped along by the policies of Obama.
I sometimes wonder if America and its think tanks seriously think through its policies and strategies.


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Towards an Alliance? Current State and Prospects of Russia-China Friendship
14:46 27.08.2016(updated 15:36 27.08.2016)

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Russia and China are close political allies. Beijing is actively investing in the Russian economy. In future, the two countries may also form a military alliance, an article by Russian experts read.

On September 2, the Eastern Economic Forum 2016 will kick off in Russia’s Vladivostok. The main topic on the agenda will be boosting economic cooperation between Russia and Asian countries.

The article was prepared for the forum by Vasily Kashin, senior research fellow at the Institute for Far Eastern Studies, and Anastasia Pyatachkova, research fellow at the Higher School of Economics. The authors highlighted the main areas of cooperation between Moscow and Beijing and provided a prognosis.

China and Russia are major economic partners, including a number of infrastructure and investment projects. However, Russian and Western analysts have repeatedly claimed that economic cooperation between Moscow and Beijing is slowing down.

The authors noted that the main problem in assessing the actual scope of this cooperation is the lack of reliable statistics. However, according to the article, economic cooperation between Russia and China is blooming.

Recently, Chinese economists assessed Chinese investments into the Russian economy at $32-33 billion, based on data about major Chinese projects in Russia.

"The sum says that China is already one of the biggest investors in Russia. […] In addition, China is Russia’s second-biggest trade partner, after the European Union, with a trade volume of $68 billion in 2015," Lenta.ru cited the article.

The crisis in Ukraine sparked debates on the possibility of a Russian-Chinese alliance. However, both countries have repeatedly denied the idea of a formal political and military alliance due to obvious reasons, the article read.

Such an alliance would justify the NATO expansion to the east as well as an increased US military presence in Asia.

"At the same time, a formal alliance would produce some benefits for both countries. First, it would provide security guarantees for Russia and China. Second, it would facilitate military and political coordination," the authors wrote.​

Russia and China have long been engaged in intense military cooperation, including major joint drills since 2005. The Chinese military is also actively involved in Russian military contests, like the tank biathlon and Aviadarts.

Russian-Chinese drills are focused on joint counterterrorism operations on land and actions against enemy submarines and aviation. In 2016, Russia and China held a joint missile defense exercise and joint maneuvers of the Russian National Guard and the Chinese People’s Police forces.

Moreover, there has been an intense exchange of visits by the presidents and prime ministers of Russia and China. During his presidency, Russian leader Vladimir Putin has paid 11 official visits to China.

Moscow and Beijing also coordinate positions on a number of international issues, including Iran, Syria, US missile defense, and development of joint initiatives, including on global strategic stability and information security.

Russia and China have communication channels between different ministries, security agencies, military and diplomatic officials.

"The level of coordination and military cooperation between Moscow and Beijing is more than just a partnership. The economic part of the cooperation is not that developed as the military part but it’s also developing. As a result, cooperation between Russia and China already resembles an alliance," the article read.​

The authors also noted that there are difficulties in Russian-Chinese ties, particularly in economic cooperation. For example, both the Russian and Chinese economies are dominated by bureaucratic state-owned corporations, slowing down many joint projects.

"Cooperation between Moscow and Beijing started in the mid-1990s and is now developing. The Ukrainian crisis and tensions in the South China Sea have slightly accelerated the cooperation. In the future, ties between Russia and China are likely to have clear strategic goals," the authors concluded.​

Read more: http://sputniknews.com/politics/20160827/1044691247/russia-china-cooperation.html
 
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Russia's Primorsky Territory, China's Jilin Region Plan Agriculture Cooperation
12:46 16.08.2016 (updated 12:47 16.08.2016)

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The authorities of Russia's far-eastern Primorsky Territory and the northeastern Chinese province of Jilin intend to develop cooperation in the agriculture sector, the territory's administration said Tuesday.

VLADIVOSTOK (Sputnik) — On Tuesday, the Chinese city of Changchun hosted a meeting of Russian and Chinese regional delegations.

"The sides agreed that agriculture was a promising field for cooperation. The sides are expected to discuss further details at the Russia-China forum for development of modern agriculture, which will start later in the day in the capital of Jilin province, Changchun," the administration said.​

In May, Russian Agriculture Minister Alexander Tkachev proposed the establishment of a Russia-China business council focused on the agricultural sector to enhance bilateral cooperation in this field.

According to Tkachev, this format will enable closer ties to be forged between Russian and Chinese agricultural companies as well as allowing the full list of joint investment projects in agriculture to be determined, taking into account the interests of all parties involved.

Read more: http://sputniknews.com/world/20160816/1044313634/russia-china-regions-agriculture.html
 
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Lawyers are lawyers, they also want their cut!

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Belt and Road Initiative needs more support from Chinese lawyers, experts say
By Jiang Jie (People's Daily Online) 10:18, August 29, 2016

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(Lawyer representatives and experts on Belt and Road initiative at the seminar. Photo/Courtesy of Beijing Lawyers Association)

Only 3,000 licensed lawyers out of the 270,000 in China maintain practices dealing with foreign issues and affairs. This number is far below what is needed to meet market demand given the development of the Belt and Road Initiative, according to industry experts.

The figure was released at a seminar held by lawyers associations from Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei province on Aug. 26. The topic of the seminar was the opportunities and challenges of foreign affairs-related law practices.

Of the 3,000 lawyers cited, only 300 can use English fluently in a professional capacity, and approximately 200 work in Beijing, said Zhang Wei, vice president of the Beijing Lawyers Association (BLA), to People’s Daily Online.

“This is far from enough, and this is only counting English-speaking lawyers, who can only cover some countries along the Belt and Road Initiative route. However, many more foreign language-speaking lawyers are needed for the total of 65 countries covered by the route,” Zhang noted, adding that the BLA has pledged to train 200 more lawyers within three years. Zhang also called for more financial support and preferential policies from the authorities to help promote the training.

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(Experts issue the report at the seminar. Photo/Courtesy of Beijing Lawyers Association)

In addition to language barriers, a report compiled by the BLA showed that many lawyers also lack knowledge of foreign legal and social systems, which is necessary to measure and prevent risks during overseas operations or investment.

Chinese companies are relatively weak in dealing with non-market factors overseas, such as international NGOs and labor unions, according to Ke Yinbin, a deputy director of the Center for China & Globalization. Ke said at the seminar that such factors are usually given inadequate attention and slow responses, which then worsens the situation. Instead, Ke suggested, lawyers should help companies to raise their awareness of such factors and thus be better prepared.

Echoing Ke, Ren Jianzhi, chairman of the Belt and Road Legal Research Council of the BLA, noted at the seminar that he personally has handled cases where Chinese companies are required to set up mosques within their perimeter in several Islamic countries.

“One should be able to conduct a case-by-case study to analyze the ‘pain points’ of a country or a company: what it lacks and what it needs – that’s where the market is,” said Zhao Lei, a professor from the Institute of International Strategic Studies of the Central Party School of the CPC. 

At the seminar, Zhao stressed that geography should not be the limitations for the Belt and Road initiative and more countries can be engaged to join the 65 countries covered by the route.

Currently, Chinese companies tend to hire local lawyers who are based in countries where they hope to do business - a practice that is not only relatively costly, but that also takes opportunities away from domestic lawyers, Zhao told reporters after the seminar.

Ren told People’s Daily Online that Chinese lawyers hold more advantages than their foreign counterparts when it comes to familiarity with Chinese culture and decision-making procedures, but that only comprehensive expertise in an overseas environment can ensure the best chance of success abroad.

“Perspectives also need to change for Chinese lawyers. They should stop looking at State-owned companies only – these companies have limited markets – but also offer their services to the vast market of private companies that are eager to try their hand overseas,” Zhao noted.

Also presented at the seminar are Zhou Xiaoyan, head of Department of European Affairs at the Ministry of Commerce, Li Gongtian, deputy chief of Beijing Justice Bureau and Gao Zicheng, president of BLA.
 
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Russia’s Far East to boost agricultural ties with China
Jeff Pao Aug 8, 2016 6:02am

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Yury Trutnev says Russian Far East and China can collaborate in more agricultural projects. Photo: EJ Insight

Authorities in the Russian Far East region are expected to launch the first batch of projects under a newly established agricultural fund during the Eastern Economic Forum next month.

“We’ve set up an agricultural fund of US$10 billion with Chinese capital,” Deputy Prime Minister Yury Trutnev, who is also the presidential plenipotentiary envoy to the Far Eastern Federal District, said in a media briefing in Vladivostok.

“We will use the fund to implement some environmentally safe and clean food projects,” he said.

A signing ceremony will be held during the forum, which will take place in Vladivostok on Sept. 2 to 3.

Officials will also announce more details about the Sino-Russian partnership.

“China is one of the most active countries in the food production sector today,” Trutnev said. “The Chinese economy has also accumulated a substantial size to enable them to materialize such projects.”

Last December, China announced a deal allowing the importation of Russian agricultural products, including wheat, corn, rice, soybean and rapeseed.

In April, both countries signed a deal setting up an agricultural fund with China contributing 90 percent of the capital and the rest coming from Russia.

Russia holds a 51 percent stake in the fund while China owns the rest.

According to the Ministry for the Development of the Russian Far East, the fund will initially invest 32 billion rubles (US$480 million) in 17 agricultural enterprises in the region, local media reported last week.

Sinking oil prices and sanctions

Over the past two years, the Russian economy has been reeling from declining oil prices and sanctions imposed by the European Union and the United States after the Russian military intervention in Ukraine in 2014.

Average crude oil prices dropped 51.7 percent to US$41.85 last year from US$86.73 in 2014, according to the Illinois Oil and Gas Association.

Russian exports, consisting mainly of oil, gas and metal, fell 31.4 percent to US$341.47 billion during the period, with the downward momentum continuing in the first half of this year.

Following the sanctions that began in March 2014, net flows of foreign direct investment in Russia fell to negative US$59 million in the second half of that year, compared with positive US$11.45 billion in the same period of 2013. The weak trend remained in the first half of 2016.

The Russian ruble weakened to 66.43 against the US dollar at the end of last Friday from 33.98 in mid-2014.

Given the drastic currency depreciation, inflation in Russia hovered above 15 percent last year and eased to about 7 percent recently. Many local residents complain that they cannot afford to buy food and basic necessities.

Amid the weakening economy, Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted the first Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok last September with the goal of boosting exports to Asian countries and attracting foreign investments.

Putin also wants to develop the Far East region as a showroom of market economy for the rest of the country to follow.

“Whether we like it or not, sanctions and sinking oil prices have impacted our economy,” Trutnev said. “We will keep discussing with our partners about how to improve our effectiveness.”

He said apart from attracting investments, the second Eastern Economic Forum will also focus on how to strengthen interstate relations and nurture the younger generation of Russians in the region.

Recent economic data and market indicators are suggesting that the worst is over for the Russian economy, Sean Darby, chief global equity strategist at Jefferies LLC, said in a report last month.

“The authorities have kept a very disciplined monetary and fiscal policy to ensure that inflation has remained tempered while fears over a devaluation of the currency have proved groundless,” he said.

Eastern Economic Forum

In May, Trutnev visited Japan to promote the Eastern Economic Forum and related investment opportunities across different sectors including agriculture, energy, medicine and food processing in the region.

He also visited Hong Kong and Singapore to drum up investments, followed by a trip to Tianjin in June to attend the World Economic Forum.

“We are creating an environment that relies on investments. Our task is to create a good setting for investors to seek their opportunities,” he said.

“We met with some Hong Kong companies recently. They are showing up on the Russian markets,” he said.

Russia is now setting up an electronic trading platform for a stock market collaboration project between its Far East region and Hong Kong, he added.

Last year, Chinese Vice Premier Wang Yang, together with representatives from 75 Chinese companies, attended the first Eastern Economic Forum and signing several investment agreements worth 1.3 trillion rubles.

This year the forum will continue to take place at the Russky Island campus of Far Eastern Federal University, where the 2012 APEC summit was held.

More than 2,400 visitors from 40 countries are expected to participate.

This is the first of a three-part series that will serve as a curtain-raiser for the second Eastern Economic Forum summit.
 
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