karan.1970
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In my view, the future of Kashmir for a foreseeable future is exactly what its present is.
There is a small percentage of people who are screaming for separation from India hoping for a more prominant role/position in politics than what they can ever dream of while J&K stays as one of the states of India
Pakistan in large part, as a part of its over all direction of increasing control over the strategic Kashmir region is supporting the above in expectation that it would have a significantly higher influence in an independent Kashmir than India. This has an added high of trying and avenge 1971
India on its part is not interested in any discussion that changes ground realities in terms of territorial ownership. India while maintaing the claim on Azad(so called) Kashmir and GB areas, has offered to accept the LoC as IB which has not yet found any takers in Pakistan.
Pakistan based Non State actor groups continue to engage Indian armed forces in a guerilla war of attrition. Lately it seems that IA is gaining an upper hand but that is a fluid situation
All this while the general population of Kashmir who like any other comman man of India or Pakistan, is most interested in living a peaceful troublefree and economically stable life (whether in India, in Pakistan or in an independent country) is getting crushed between the rivaly of the 2 nations. He is targetted sometimes by the Pakistan based terrorists and sometimes by IA (accidently or by some rotten apples in the Army).
In reality neither India nor Pakistan is anyway near exhaustion in this war of attrition, except that most Indians today hope that the claims of Pakistan about India doing a tit-for-tat in NWFP and Balochistan are really true and India is paying Pakistan back in the same coin.
So unless an event of immense magnitude changes this stalemate or there comes a bigger crisis where the stalemate on Kashmir is broken by one of the sides as a quid pro quo to a concession on the said crisis, the Future of Kashmir does not seem any different than present. Except in a few years there will be a different set of people taking this arguement forward on this forum
There is a small percentage of people who are screaming for separation from India hoping for a more prominant role/position in politics than what they can ever dream of while J&K stays as one of the states of India
Pakistan in large part, as a part of its over all direction of increasing control over the strategic Kashmir region is supporting the above in expectation that it would have a significantly higher influence in an independent Kashmir than India. This has an added high of trying and avenge 1971
India on its part is not interested in any discussion that changes ground realities in terms of territorial ownership. India while maintaing the claim on Azad(so called) Kashmir and GB areas, has offered to accept the LoC as IB which has not yet found any takers in Pakistan.
Pakistan based Non State actor groups continue to engage Indian armed forces in a guerilla war of attrition. Lately it seems that IA is gaining an upper hand but that is a fluid situation
All this while the general population of Kashmir who like any other comman man of India or Pakistan, is most interested in living a peaceful troublefree and economically stable life (whether in India, in Pakistan or in an independent country) is getting crushed between the rivaly of the 2 nations. He is targetted sometimes by the Pakistan based terrorists and sometimes by IA (accidently or by some rotten apples in the Army).
In reality neither India nor Pakistan is anyway near exhaustion in this war of attrition, except that most Indians today hope that the claims of Pakistan about India doing a tit-for-tat in NWFP and Balochistan are really true and India is paying Pakistan back in the same coin.
So unless an event of immense magnitude changes this stalemate or there comes a bigger crisis where the stalemate on Kashmir is broken by one of the sides as a quid pro quo to a concession on the said crisis, the Future of Kashmir does not seem any different than present. Except in a few years there will be a different set of people taking this arguement forward on this forum