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Taiwan’s shrinking population forces government to woo overseas talent, retrain workers

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With Taiwan’s population set to decline this year for the first time, the government is rolling out a suite of measures to sustain productivity, ranging from importing foreign talent to retraining older workers and boosting childcare subsidies.

Like neighbouring South Korea and Japan, Taiwan is in need of skilled workers to bolster its shrinking workforce, which will confront “negative growth” by 2031, the government-funded Central News Agency has reported.

“The population trend is something that can’t be reversed,” said a senior official surnamed Chao from the National Development Council, a government planning agency. “There could be some areas where labour is insufficient.”

In the first half of 2020, Taiwan recorded 88,555 deaths and 79,760 births.

Total births this year are expected to plunge to 166,351, the lowest level since records began in 1980, according to the planning agency.

That level is expected to hold on average until 2043, when births will begin falling below 150,000 per year, the council said. For comparison, more than 413,000 babies were born in 1980, when big families were prized and childcare costs lower.

Last year, Taiwan recorded 176,296 deaths, up from about 69,000 in 1996, the first year the National Statistics agency published data.

None of this is good news for Taiwan’s workforce. The industries with the highest employee vacancies today are textiles, rubber and precision machinery, according to the National Statistics agency.

But the government is equally concerned with ensuring it has enough specialised talent to fill jobs in management, research and development, and technical jobs.

Under its Gold Card immigration programme, which began in 2018, Taiwan provides up to 2,000 visas annually of between one to three years to attract world-class professionals to the self-ruled island.

President Tsai Ing-wen presented the 1,000th Gold Card at a ceremony in September. Recipients have included YouTube co-founder Steve Chen and Mustafa Ozgur Baydarol, a Turkish tech specialist with 10 patents.

Applications for the visa are surging this year as foreigners seek refuge from lockdowns and health dangers caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, a source close to the programme said.

Taiwan has had one of the most successful responses to the virus, recording just 548 cases by Thursday since the outbreak began earlier this year.

“Over the last two years, we have seen growing numbers in international applicants, whether they are new graduates or experienced workers,” said a spokesperson for Taiwanese PC developer Acer, which employs 7,240 people. “So, we are definitely seeing more diversity in the talent pool in Taiwan.”

To further boost employment, legislators in November passed a law that offers government-sponsored training for people older than 45 if they are out of work or want to delay retirement.

The regulation also helps job matching and bars age discrimination by employers, which have been known to pressure older employees to quit or pass over older job applicants seeking to re-enter the workforce after absences to care for parents.

Some 80 per cent of workers above age 45 said they had experienced workplace discrimination and 84 per cent felt slighted when applying for jobs, according to a survey released in October 2019 by yes123, a jobseeker network.

Tony Phoo, senior economist at Standard Chartered Bank in Taipei, said importing talent and retraining people should help Taiwan’s competitiveness, and so would automation.

“Automation and digitisation seem to have a greater impact in not just maintaining, but also helping to boost overall productivity,” said Phoo.

Phoo said Taiwan’s falling birth rate “is not an issue to be ignored, especially given the shortage of labour”.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, which employees 49,000 people and is a bellwether for the global chip industry, was using “automation and digitalisation” to ensure optimal use of personnel, a company spokesperson said in a statement.

The company was also taking pre-emptive steps to ensure it had a sufficient pool of talent in the future, including by working with schools and governments, as well as recruiting from overseas.

To boost birth rates, the Taiwanese government will next year double its childcare subsidies from NT$2,500 (US$87) for households with children under the age of four, said Chao, from the National Development Council.

The government is also looking to increase the number of public kindergartens so parents can avoid more expensive private ones, Chao said.

Taiwanese parents without access to childcare are typically faced with the dilemma of giving up their careers or not having children at all, the public-private partnership Talent Circulation Alliance said in a 2020 white paper. Some fortunate couples can lean on their parents, who are often retirees, for childcare.

Internationally, cultivating talent and automation normally help productivity more than incentives targeting parents, Phoo said.

Like Taiwan, Japan and South Korea are grappling with low birth-rates and need skilled workers, especially to drive innovation in the tech space.

Japan, which recorded a record low birth rate in 2019, signed a deal with Pakistan last year that would allow migrants who pass a test and show they can speak Japanese to work in the country. It has similar deals with Cambodia, Nepal and Vietnam.

Meanwhile, it will take South Korea two decades to “engineer” a resumption of population growth, London-based forecasting and consulting firm Capital Economics said in a recent report.

“Boosting the number of babies would not make any difference to the near-term demographic outlook,” the report said.

Capital Economics recommended that South Korea, which logged its lowest-ever birth rate last year, consider allowing more immigration, raising the retirement age and encouraging more women to work.

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-...ing-population-forces-government-woo-overseas
 
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The nation must stop the decline in birthrate

Due to a falling marriage rate, or people waiting longer to get married, and a declining birthrate coupled with medical advances, increased living standards and longer life spans, Taiwan officially became an aged society in 2018.

Ministry of the Interior population statistics for the first eight months of this year show 116,389 deaths and 105,161 births, or a net population decrease of 11,128 — the first time a decline has been recorded.

Since Taiwan became an aged society, the annual average of childbirths has decreased by about 8,000 to 9,000 each year, while the number of people aged 65 or older has increased significantly, making Taiwan one of the world’s fastest-aging societies.

According to a National Development Council report on population projections through 2070, the decline began this year, two years ahead of what was expected.

Sixteen percent of the population is aged 65 or older and that is expected to increase to 20 percent by 2025.

If it does, Taiwan will officially have become a super-aged society one year ahead of projections.

An aged society with a negative population growth rate is likely to have important implications.

The demographic imbalance, due to a fall in the ratio of working-age population to old population, will have a huge impact on the economy and society, regardless of pension reforms and improved state finances.

For example, a low birthrate and longer lifespans will mean that spending from the Labor Insurance Fund will exceed revenue. It is estimated that the fund could go bankrupt by 2026.

The negative population growth rate and its effect on the labor force will result in a top-heavy, “inverted triangle” demographic.

The increasing number of older people, coupled with rapidly increasing demand for medical treatment and long-term care, will result in a shortage of medical resources and a lack of long-term carers, as well as shrinking government finances and tax revenue, and create a higher need for subsidies for poor and disadvantaged people.

On top of that, young people have to live with low salaries and are unable to afford property, which will contribute to their feeling of insecurity.

These factors will have a deleterious effect on Taiwan’s economy and society, to the extent that it is elevated to a national security problem.

The government needs to find an appropriate way to deal with the huge socio-economic impact that population decline will have on the nation.

For example, to address the effects of a rapidly aging society, the government needs to improve control of state finances to reduce the accumulation of debt.

On the problem of a declining labor force, it must explore ways to increase job opportunities for women, while allowing people to work until a higher age, which will increase the labor force participation rate.

The government must also investigate how to increase the use of smart applications and automation to supplement shortfalls in the labor force.

However, the most important challenge is to increase the birthrate, maintain the population and stabilize the nation’s demographic structure.

The government should establish a cross-departmental committee to propose concrete, viable policies to ensure the sustainable governance and security of the nation and its populace.

Lee Shen-yi is vice chairman of the Contemporary Taiwan Development Foundation.

 
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Here's what I don't get. Aren't Taiwanese this super happy vibrant free society? Aren't they the 'masters of their own fate'?

Why did they then choose to live in a high cost low salary society without child care? Why are 1 million of them choosing to vote in a different way - with their feet - to go to tyrannical mainland China?
 
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Here's what I don't get. Aren't Taiwanese this super happy vibrant free society? Aren't they the 'masters of their own fate'?

Why did they then choose to live in a high cost low salary society without child care? Why are 1 million of them choosing to vote in a different way - with their feet - to go to tyrannical mainland China?
Taiwanese already left mainland in droves compared to 10+ years ago. The assembly factories and employees went to Vietnam. Mainland does not really accept either Hong Kongers or Taiwanese in any capacity other than owners or employees of HK/TW owned companies.

Taiwanese have declining birth rates mainly because of DPP's promotion of homosexuality.

Taiwan is a bit like South Korea -- there are a few big companies and if you aren't a part of these big companies (or a civil servant or landed farmer) then you're probably just making ends meet. This includes all laborers in small / medium private sector firms. These people can't afford big families.
 
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Taiwanese already left mainland in droves compared to 10+ years ago. The assembly factories and employees went to Vietnam. Mainland does not really accept either Hong Kongers or Taiwanese in any capacity other than owners or employees of HK/TW owned companies.

Taiwanese have declining birth rates mainly because of DPP's promotion of homosexuality.

Taiwan is a bit like South Korea -- there are a few big companies and if you aren't a part of these big companies (or a civil servant or landed farmer) then you're probably just making ends meet. This includes all laborers in small / medium private sector firms. These people can't afford big families.


this is from 2016. 1 million Taiwanese vote with their feet and 90% gave up voting to live in tyrannical PRC.

there's so few homosexuals overall I don't think it matters. It is living in a cruel society that gives them only paper freedom and not real freedom that causes low birth rates. People mentally quit life and do the minimum needed to survive.
 
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China will also face this problem in about 10 years. By 2025, more than 1/4 of China's population will be over 65. We need to be realistic and proactive regarding this.

- Automate as much as possible
- Reduce cost of living (housing, education and healthcare)
- Encourage birth by lifting all birth control measures (Need to aim for 2.11 replacement rate)
- Selectively import foreign high skill workers (engineers, technicians, doctors etc) from Africa and Southeast Asia
 
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China will also face this problem in about 10 years. By 2025, more than 1/4 of China's population will be over 65. We need to be realistic and proactive regarding this.

- Automate as much as possible
- Reduce cost of living (housing, education and healthcare)
- Encourage birth by lifting all birth control measures (Need to aim for 2.11 replacement rate)
- Selectively import foreign high skill workers (engineers, technicians, doctors etc) from Africa and Southeast Asia
African are big no no.
They will eventually blame the host racist.
S.E.A countries are big yes yes.
Thailand this year got 5th in Math olympiad. We got 5th in Math olympiad for already 2-3 years in a row.
Do you see any African country in top 15 rank in Math Olympiad?
 
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China will also face this problem in about 10 years. By 2025, more than 1/4 of China's population will be over 65. We need to be realistic and proactive regarding this.

- Automate as much as possible
- Reduce cost of living (housing, education and healthcare)
- Encourage birth by lifting all birth control measures (Need to aim for 2.11 replacement rate)
- Selectively import foreign high skill workers (engineers, technicians, doctors etc) from Africa and Southeast Asia

I doubt society will collapse if China just doesn't import any workers in, I think one thing is for sure, China must never give permanent residence to guestworkers like Germany did to Turks or Britain did to South Asians and West Indians.

Permanent residence should only be given to exceptional talent, China should build separate villages and towns for immigrants to stop any ethnic tensions and to preserve social cohesion, this will also be good for the immigrants as they will be free to practise their own culture (within reason) in these towns and villages.
 
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China will also face this problem in about 10 years. By 2025, more than 1/4 of China's population will be over 65. We need to be realistic and proactive regarding this.

- Automate as much as possible
- Reduce cost of living (housing, education and healthcare)
- Encourage birth by lifting all birth control measures (Need to aim for 2.11 replacement rate)
- Selectively import foreign high skill workers (engineers, technicians, doctors etc) from Africa and Southeast Asia
Import people, or find a way to manufacture them in factories.
 
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China will also face this problem in about 10 years. By 2025, more than 1/4 of China's population will be over 65. We need to be realistic and proactive regarding this.

- Reduce cost of living (housing, education and healthcare)
Cost of living will not be dropping no matter what you do, unless you are ready to go back to sixties.

People will still be moving to cities, and from small ones to bigger ones for decades to come, and probably at an accelerating rate regardless of whether they will have an economic incentive to do so or not.

"Old people dying out, freeing space in cities" meme does not do much good as:
  1. There are "old people dying out" in villages too, and there are more of them there than in cities.
  2. They were working on much lower paying jobs, which youngster don't take/
  3. They were not spending much too, so newcomers will be much bigger consumers then them too.
  4. Old people obviously don't use kindergartens, schools, universities, maternity hospitals.
 
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I doubt society will collapse if China just doesn't import any workers in, I think one thing is for sure, China must never give permanent residence to guestworkers like Germany did to Turks or Britain did to South Asians and West Indians.

Permanent residence should only be given to exceptional talent, China should build separate villages and towns for immigrants to stop any ethnic tensions and to preserve social cohesion, this will also be good for the immigrants as they will be free to practise their own culture (within reason) in these towns and villages.

Wow that's ridiculous. I'd say the opposite: just open China up for immigration from anyone that meets talent and language requirements like Canada does.

China is an ideological civilization-state, not an ethnic one. If white Tajiks and Russians can be Chinese, then whose to say others can't be.

In my opinion, China is actually more like the USA than many people think. Though you might not think I'd be the one to say it, it can be argued that Chinese are ideologically more Americanized than even some US allies like Japan and South Korea. It's just that Americans aren't used to other people using an American attitude towards them.
 
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Problem of East Asian infertility

1. High property price
2. Too much gender equality to the point man are de facto discriminated
3. Women too highly educated and watch too many hollywood movies, hence imagine up a unrealistic role model husband
4. too many 996 and job insecurity
5. too little work place harmony
6. No recognition from society for being a great mother
7. Wealth and income inequality too high in some places
8. abandonment of traditional values
 
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African are big no no.
They will eventually blame the host racist.
S.E.A countries are big yes yes.
Thailand this year got 5th in Math olympiad. We got 5th in Math olympiad for already 2-3 years in a row.
Do you see any African country in top 15 rank in Math Olympiad?
That doesn't mean there are not smart skilled Africans in the continent. You will be surprised how many Africans have actually contributed to some of our économies in the West.
Moreover last I checked Thailand is not a developed country either and can't think of anything Thailand actually produces or any contribution they have made to the world to be honest . So what's the point of taking first in math Olympiad? It's just a parameter, it doesn't mean that much.


So moral.of the story is that: there are smart people everywhere. However , not all them can shine to their full potential, usually due to the system they find themsleves in as well.
 
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