Another breakup story...
Prediction of the USA's collapse in 2010
Panarin's prediction of the
USA's disintegration (
original map).
In the summer of 1998, based on
classified data about the state of the
U.S. economy and
society[17] supplied to him by fellow analysts at
FAPSI,
[2] Panarin forecast the probable disintegration of the
USA into six parts in 2010 (at the end of June – start of July 2010, as he specified on 10 December 2008),[
citation needed] following a civil war triggered by mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation. He forecast financial and demographic changes provoking a political crisis in which wealthier states will withhold funds from the
federal government, effectively
seceding from the Union, leading to social unrest, civil war, national division, and intervention of foreign powers.
[2] Panarin sees the task of the world elite as not letting the USA follow the
Yugoslavian model of disintegration; it is desirable that it follows the
Czechoslovakian model of disintegration so that everything goes calmly and peacefully.[
citation needed]
Explaining his theory in an interview with
Izvestia, Panarin stated that "The [US] dollar isn’t secured by anything. The country’s foreign debt has grown like an avalanche; this is a pyramid, which has to collapse...Dissatisfaction is growing, and it is only being held back at the moment by the elections, and the hope [that President-elect Barack Obama] “can work miracles. But when spring comes, it will be clear that there are no miracles.”
[18]
In an interview with the
Wall Street Journal in 2008, Panarin said:
"There's a 55-45% chance right now that disintegration will occur...One could rejoice in that process...But if we're talking reasonably, it's not the best scenario -- for Russia." Though Russia would become more powerful on the global stage, he says, its economy would suffer because it currently depends heavily on the dollar and on trade with the U.S."