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Sorry Haters, Your China Hard Landing Has Been Postponed Again

Any idea when?

Won't hold you to it.

Cheers, Doc

3 to 5 years? OBOR is a factor actually. All those giant infra companies have nothing to build inside china. So the government is finding huge infra projects in the form of OBOR to keep them occupied for a few years. But since the government is doubling as creditor for those projects that increases the risk. I have recently come across videos where Pak is already finding it difficult to pay back CPEC. Everyone knows what's happening in SL. Other countries like Kenya etc. are following suit.
 
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3 to 5 years? OBOR is a factor actually. All those giant infra companies have nothing to build inside china. So the government is finding huge infra projects in the form of OBOR to keep them occupied for a few years. But since the government is doubling as creditor for those projects that increases the risk. I have recently come across videos where Pak is already finding it difficult to pay back CPEC.

Damn man.

I'm 46. If it hits when I'm 50, that means a good further 5 years washed out in terms of my retirement nest egg.

By the time market recovers, it'll be time to start shifting to debt.

Will just have to flog the Mrs. harder and for longer.

Cheers, Doc
 
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Damn man.

I'm 46. If it hits when I'm 50, that means a good further 5 years washed out in terms of my retirement nest egg.

By the time market recovers, it'll be time to start shifting to debt.

Will just have to flog the Mrs. harder and for longer.

Cheers, Doc

you can take your money out and buy a farm ;)
 
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China will collapsed predicted by Indian then I looked at China currency reserves bigger than the entire of Indian GDP. China currency reserves will always allow China the cushion of hard landing. China government directly owned all the central bank, China infrastructure development finance by easy credit issue by China central bank, used China oversupplies building materials to drive China urbanization for 100 of millions Chinese to migrate from farmland into the city. All the empty building can easily filled up by China government housing subsidizes.
 
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@padamchen - an unconventional advice if you can take some risk- invest in Chile. Filled with Lithium. By 2030 you would have made a killing.

I'm like many doctors man. Earned like a dog till well into my 30s. And near zero business or financial acumen.

My internship stipend from Govt. of Maharashtra was 750 rupees a month. And I was married with our first born on the way ...

Cheers, Doc
 
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Falun Gong or not, your GDP was boosted with easy credit for infra. To hide the slow down they just fueled more credit led construction. This is going to blow a hole th size of half the galaxy in the world economy. And the reason why this is so STUPID is because everyone knew china will have to manage a transition. Instead of biting the bullet and went on doing things to hide the slowdown. I can assure you...all those companies that built those 100s of ghost towns, they just won't be able to pay back the loans. You'll hide it for some time, but eventually it'll blow.
You should come visit those ghost cities. Check out a guy called Wade Shepard, he is the most objective guy and have been spending almost 5 years in China travelling to those Ghost cities by foot, talking to people.
 
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I'm like many doctors man. Earned like a dog till well into my 30s. And near zero business or financial acumen.

My internship stipend from Govt. of Maharashtra was 750 rupees a month. And I was married with our first born on the way ...

Cheers, Doc

It's ok dude. Honest money is cash you will never regret. Like my dad, he never took a penny. We were squarely middle class unlike an aunt of mine who had a corrupt husband and a big house therefore. Till date I have never felt a single thing needed to be changed. Perfectly fine with the way we grew up and fully proud of it. And fortunately in my career I make money without corruption. As long as you've found meaning in your career and it has been a 'high quality' part of your life you will never regret it.

You should come visit those ghost cities. Check out a guy called Wade Shepard, he is the most objective guy and have been spending almost 5 years in China travelling to those Ghost cities by foot, talking to people.

yeah for every one such person there are 10 who can point out ghost cities. You're better off accepting the truth than hiding it.
 
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It's ok dude. Honest money is cash you will never regret. Like my dad, he never took a penny. We were squarely middle class unlike an aunt of mine who had a corrupt husband and a big house therefore. Till date I have never felt a single thing needed to be changed. Perfectly fine with the way we grew up and fully proud of it. And fortunately in my career I make money without corruption. As long as you've found meaning in your career and it has been a 'high quality' part of your life you will never regret it.

I'm not complaining.

Just wish the Chinese would get their stuff together instead of acting like squatters on others' land all over the place.

Cheers, Doc
 
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yeah for every one such person there are 10 who can point out ghost cities. You're better off accepting the truth than hiding it.
Nobody is hiding anything, come visit, there are no soldiers stopping you bro. Every time when I challenge any Indian to come, they just act stupid. One so called Ghost city in Zhengzhou is now the most populated area in Zhengzhou, it took 5 years for the city to boom as they build up the transportation netwrok.

People had been predicting a China collapse since 1990, after Tienanmen Square. Almost 26 years bro.
 
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China's GDP has been deliberately understated/underestimated for decades. It is now time to alter GDP calculation by adopting accounting approach that reflects the updated international guidelines.

Even a third rate country like India, in haste to inflate its GDP, has used the so-called SNA2008 for GDP reporting for years. :D


China's new GDP calculation system to better reflect new economy


Xinhua | Updated: 2017-07-20 09:34

BEIJING — By introducing a revised calculation system to measure its GDP, China is taking a step forward in meeting international standards and better reflecting the country's development in new economic sectors.

The revision, the first of its kind since 2002, will be adopted to reflect China's economic development "more truly and accurately," according to Xing Zhihong, a spokesperson with National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Changes to the calculation methods include framework adjustment, such as modifying population and labor calculation, as well as bringing the contribution of industries such as healthcare, tourism and new economy into the calculation, the NBS said in a statement.

The revision has also been made to adapt to "new situations and changes" in economic development and in line with the System of National Accounts 2008, an international standard for measuring a country's economic activity, it said.

The new model also introduced new definitions and revised existing classifications, according to the NBS.

For instance, the concept of intellectual property products is introduced under the category of non-financial assets, while financial derivatives and equities held by employees will be counted as financial assets.

The implementation of the new GDP calculation system, which has just obtained cabinet approval, is yet to be started, Xing said.

Therefore, the calculation of China's GDP for the first half of this year has not been affected, and stood at about 38.2 trillion yuan ($5.6 trillion), up 6.9 percent year-on-year.

The NBS will next work to carry out the new framework, but the full implementation will be a "gradual process" due to its sheer size, he said.

But part of the adjustment has already been made. In July 2016, the NBS announced that research and development expenditures that can economically benefit companies will no longer be calculated as intermediate consumption, but as fixed capital formation.

The move aimed at better reflecting the contribution of innovation to economic growth, which added 879.8 billion yuan to the 2015 GDP figure.

After the adjustment was announced, the NBS also released re-calculated GDP figures from 1952 through the first quarter of 2016.

Under the new mechanism, GDP in 2015 was revised upward by 1.3 percent due to continuous growth in research and development spending and the accumulation of research and development investment stock, while the year-to-year growth rate was barely changed at 6.9 percent.

China's innovation-driven new economic sectors are witnessing rapid development and playing an increasing role in the economy in recent years on back of government support.

In the first half of this year, the high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors led the country's industrial growth with year-on-year output increases of 13.1 percent and 11.5 percent, respectively, compared with a 6.9 percent rise in overall output.

Ning Jizhe, head of the NBS, has pledged to push forward statistical reform and improve data authenticity as China's economic development enters a "new normal" period with expanding new economic sectors.

A new regulation on the implementation of the revised Law of Statistics was issued last month to improve the authenticity and reliability of official data, which provided specifications on how to organize and carry out surveys as well as rules to ensure transparency of relevant data.

http://europe.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2017-07/20/content_30182178.htm
 
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Falun Gong or not,
The channel is at best cheap clickbait and at worst foreign government payrolled propaganda, for dumb and uneducated people and living off and prone to producing blatant lies, false information, deliberately missleading spins, constant blatant omissions, all to push unobjective, biased and hypocrite narratives and just pretends to be "journalism" while scavanging trough internet rumors and garbage from their homes in America for an excuse to feed more of it right back into this selfserving cycle. Their disingenious propaganda lies have been debunked too many times already. You are just disqalifying yourself as a troll for posting it and pretending it has any merrit.

So just be honest and say "Fake or not, I hate China and will use any garbage to discredit and bash them"
 
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