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Shaheen-3 missile to cover Indian second strike from Andaman: Lt General Khalid Kidwai

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Pakistan has developed the 2,750 km range Shaheen-3 missile to prevent India from gaining a second-strike nuclear capability from Andaman and Nicobar islands, said Lt General (retd) Khalid Kidwai, former head of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons division.
Addressing the Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference 2015 in Washington DC, Kidwai said one sided policies of the United States favouring India – like the NSG exemption for the nuclear deal – have been a destabilizing factor for South Asia. These US policies are unhelpful and unacceptable to Pakistan, he said.

Kidwai is currently advisor to Pakistan’s National Command Authority (NCA) and was the pioneer Director General of Pakistan’s Strategic Plans Division (SPD), which he headed for an unprecedented 15 years till December 2013 – with an unheard of 12 extensions after his retirement from the army. As the head of SPD, Kidwai is credited with conceiving, articulating and executing Pakistan’s nuclear policy and deterrence doctrines into a tangible and robust nuclear force structure.

Kidwai said that Pakistan’s nuclear program isn’t open-ended and it has been designed to deter India. In response to a question on the number of nuclear bombs that will be enough for Pakistan, he refused to divulge the exact numbers by suggesting that Pakistan follows the policy of nuclear ambiguity and revealing numbers would be against it. Kidwai added that Pakistan had already moved from minimum deterrence to full spectrum deterrence and the current numbers will be more or less fine for the next 10-15 years. As per the estimates of Arms Control Association, Pakistan currently has between 100 to 120 nuclear warheads as compared to India’s 90-110 warheads.

Kidwai said that nuclear buildup in South Asia “has made war as an instrument of policy almost unthinkable.” He also defended Pakistan’s quest for Nasr shoot-and-scoot missile system by arguing that introducing a variety of tactical nuclear weapons has deterred India’s conventional capability. He said that Pakistan had developed these weapons in response to India’s Cold Start strategy. As these tactical nuclear weapons are mounted on short distance missiles, their command and control is delegated to lower levels in the military. This delegation, with lesser checks and balances, raises concerns about the safety and security of the nuclear warheads.

Kidwai revealed that operation control of nuclear weapons is with the SPD and NCA although some day to day delegation has been made to the three defence services.
Kidwai questioned that when the Indian space program with ICBM potential doesn’t trouble anybody, why does the development of a Shaheen-3 missile by Pakistan bother everyone. “Why aren’t India’s nukes and missiles troublesome?,” he asked.
Kidwai also revealed that Pakistan’s sea-based second strike capability is a “work in progress” and will come into play in

the next few years. Ruling out nuclear submarines for Pakistan, he said “I won’t say nuclear submarines, but if broadly talking about a second-strike capability for which submarines are a platform, yes.”
India operates a nuclear submarine, INS Chakra and is currently testing another indigenously developed nuclear submarine, INS Arihant.
On Pakistan Army’s connections with extremist militant groups, Kidwai said that these issues are remnants of historical superpower games in South Asia. “To say that I should tell my colleagues not to get involved is too simplistic and naive, it is the historic reality which dictates this need,” Kidwai argued.


Shaheen-3 missile to cover Indian second strike from Andaman: Lt General Khalid Kidwai | The Indian Express | Page 2
 
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So we CAN expect a nuclear sub... :D
A nuclear sub doesn't really drive from nuclear weapons program. Nuclear sub derives its power from miniaturized nuclear reactor which is a product of nuclear technological evolution (not a result of weapons program).Generally speaking, designing weapons would be a much simpler program than designing the whole nuclear reactors -which create the input for weapons program i.e. enriched uranium or plutonium-. A second strike capability can also be achieved by adding nuke tipped SLBM/SLCMs to even conventional subs and thats what he exactly said
the next few years. Ruling out nuclear submarines for Pakistan, he said “I won’t say nuclear submarines, but if broadly talking about a second-strike capability for which submarines are a platform, yes.”

Well, a Nuclear Weapons Sub....not exactly a Nuclear Powered one......but that'll do for the enemy next door!
However, given that we only have Agosta's I am not 100% sure about this capability present with us.
At current Agosta only has 4 x 0.53 Meters topedo tubes. SM39 (Exocet) is the primary missile for these subs which has a diameter of 0.35M. The sub can also theoretically launch harpoon 0.34M but babur's diameter hardly fits (0.52M vs 0.53 Tube diameter). So may have been the case that US might be correct in suspecting that Pakistan has been able to modify harpoon for ground attack but nuke tipped harpoon is unheard of.
 
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However, given that we only have Agosta's I am not 100% sure about this capability present with us.
At current Agosta only has 4 x 0.53 Meters topedo tubes. SM39 (Exocet) is the primary missile for these subs which has a diameter of 0.35M. The sub can also theoretically launch harpoon 0.34M but babur's diameter hardly fits (0.52M vs 0.53 Tube diameter). So may have been the case that US might be correct in suspecting that Pakistan has been able to modify harpoon for ground attack but nuke tipped harpoon is unheard of.

Agosta's won't be used anyway, since the Harpoon/Exocet range is limited........and French won't allow Nuclear missile integration....we need lifecycle support for Agostas, so no need to shoot ourselves in the foot there.
It will probably be a AIP Diesel Electric Submarine from China, bigger in displacement and one which Pakistan can tailor to it's own needs.
 
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- Pakistan has developed the 2,750 km range Shaheen-3 missile to prevent India from gaining a second-strike nuclear capability from Andaman and Nicobar islands, said Lt General (retd) Khalid Kidwai, former head of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons division.

But the distance of Andaman & Nicobar Island form Pakistan is greater then 2750 KM range .... so is this the indirect confirmation of Shaheen-3 missile's greater range ... ??

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- Kidwai is currently advisor to Pakistan’s National Command Authority (NCA)

or in other words his thoughts are the reflection of Pakistan' Nuclear policy.

3
- Kidwai said that Pakistan’s nuclear program isn’t open-ended and it has been designed to deter India.

this is the repeated confirmation & assurance regarding India- centric approach of our Nuclear weapon program

4
- Kidwai added that Pakistan had already moved from minimum deterrence to full spectrum deterrence

I believe this is the first statement indicating about the change of Pakistan's nuclear policy from minimum to full spectrum deterrence which mean (or I may be wrong to interpret it in this way) now our focus will shift (or has shift) from ground base systems to sea based delivery system.

5
- The current numbers will be more or less fine for the next 10-15 years.

In short it means we have stopped developing more warheads/ bombs & current numbers are sufficient to deal (& to neutralize) with Indian threats

6
- Kidwai said that nuclear buildup in South Asia “has made war as an instrument of policy almost unthinkable.

Might be the biggest message of his address in Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference 2015 in Washington DC specially if we read this statement keeping the context of certain flash zone of South Asia in mind.

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- Kidwai revealed that operation control of nuclear weapons is with the SPD and NCA although some day to day delegation has been made to the three defence services.

this part is actually rejecting the unnecessary concerns of some quarters particularly regarding the use of tactical nuclear weapons as previously propagated about their unauthorized use.


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- Kidwai questioned that when the Indian space program with ICBM potential doesn’t trouble anybody, why does the development of a Shaheen-3 missile by Pakistan bother everyone. “Why aren’t India’s nukes and missiles troublesome?,” he asked.

this might be the buildup of case for long range delivery systems in future if Pakistan's national security interest dictates the need due to growing influence of India in Indian Ocean region.

In that case we may have to go beyond the some psychological barriers

9
- Kidwai also revealed that Pakistan’s sea-based second strike capability is a “work in progress” and will come into play in the next few years.

Ruling out nuclear submarines for Pakistan, he said “I won’t say nuclear submarines, but if broadly talking about a second-strike capability for which submarines are a platform, yes.

Shaheen-3 missile to cover Indian second strike from Andaman: Lt General Khalid Kidwai | The Indian Express | Page 2”
this is the explanatory part of point '4'
 
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But Pakistan is still Improving Warhead design and making more. The production hasn't stopped.
 
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But the distance of Andaman & Nicobar Island form Pakistan is greater then 2750 KM range .... so is this the indirect confirmation of Shaheen-3 missile's greater range ... ??

2

or in other words his thoughts are the reflection of Pakistan' Nuclear policy.

3

this is the repeated confirmation & assurance regarding India- centric approach of our Nuclear weapon program

4

I believe this is the first statement indicating about the change of Pakistan's nuclear policy from minimum to full spectrum deterrence which mean (or I may be wrong to interpret it in this way) now our focus will shift (or has shift) from ground base systems to sea based delivery system.

5

In short it means we have stopped developing more warheads/ bombs & current numbers are sufficient to deal (& to neutralize) with Indian threats

6

Might be the biggest message of his address in Carnegie International Nuclear Policy Conference 2015 in Washington DC specially if we read this statement keeping the context of certain flash zone of South Asia in mind.

7

this part is actually rejecting the unnecessary concerns of some quarters particularly regarding the use of tactical nuclear weapons as previously propagated about their unauthorized use.


8

this might be the buildup of case for long range delivery systems in future if Pakistan's national security interest dictates the need due to growing influence of India in Indian Ocean region.

In that case we may have to go beyond the some psychological barriers

9
this is the explanatory part of point '4'
We are building long range missiles and war heads
 
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congrates Pakistaan. What a great news for you guys.

Problem being even Pakistaan will be nuked as soon as radar spots pakistani loss. :D

On a serious note: Rest in peace to all the fish & aquatic organism Around Andaman.
 
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I read at janes and other defence magzines is Pakistan wants a fleet of 14 submarines if true than along with 6 Type 41 Submarines Pakistan should go for 3 Type 96 Nuclear Submarined
 
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