Wild speculation does not equate fair certainty. What piss pooor education were you given as a child. So MSM thats bought and paid for by nato says something happened, and this gives you " fair crertainty " ? Really? You gullibility is disappointing, yet predictable.
Remember this is the same news sources that completely forgot about the malaysian plane that the kiev military shot down when all the available evidence pointed to ukraine jets shootinv it down.
The media you listen to doesnt care about the truth. They only care about manipulating weak uneducated brains to believe what they want them to believe.
Congratulations for being another one of the herd.
Now unless you have real actual incontrovertible proof that you can reference, in real time. Id suggest you rethink the whole " fair certainty " bit. It simply sounds naive.