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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

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Russia are certainly fighting multiple fronts, biggest of it being propaganda and dis information.
Ukraine is nearly down, few more weeks or months but US ownership of conflict is certainly on a crumble.
20-30 years from now US will serve as a minnow in global order.
This is not about fighting multiple fronts, WW2 have 8 fronts, (Eastern Europe, Caucasus, North Africa, Western Europe, Mediterranean, South Pacific, China and Burma), while you do have 8 commander on these 8 theatres, but you still have 1 single person (more like an office) in charge, that person is Dwight Eisenhower.

You need a person who control the overall battlefield so you can distribute the resource and divert troop and supply to exploit any gain or alter the course if things did not go right. You have to have a unified office to take care of the logistic, deal with the politics, and basically work thru the 3 commanders (in Ukraine case), in this case, you have 2 bogged down front with no correction (I know because they are still bogged down) and 1 front that were more successful than the other, but still being tied down by the defender in Mariupol. Which mean there are no one in charge of all 3 battlefield.
 
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Leaving Mariopol would put Ukrainian forces in the east at risk of encirclement that is why it can be part of a general ceasefire deal that would make both sides gain something and accept. It would be a security guarantee for Ukraine to not be encircled and if ceasefire is broken especially western side will get populated with better weapon support like high altitude sam cover. Sams(hawk,patriot etc.) installed in west of Dniper can cover some area in estern parts that troops can take limited cover from air attacks and make counter attacks to east and south if they retreat west if ceasefire is broken by Russia. Russia would gain Mariopol and use the gained land in negotiations also during negotiations counter Ukraine attacks to its positions in south would stop and gearing up of Ukraine from western borders would stop.

Troop losses would be high in Mariopol capture but if Russia transfers volunteers to attack Mariopol most casualties would come from some 40k volunteers as an initial wave of attack. There would still be soldiers left to encircle the eastern Ukraine forces in the north but it would take time and economic conditions-supplies that Ru army is getting.
Russia will have mercenaries, not volunteers. :undecided:
 
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