Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

[vizier]

Selling defensive surface to air missiles to Russia which will be used to defend against atacms(or lrasm later on) will not be the same as selling tactical ballistic missiles that would directly kill Ukranian troops. So they cant make much noise about it if Iran sells something that can intercept atacms. Russia has BukM3 which has better known specifications to do this job and is used in Smo zones but if Iran has a similar system that can intercept such missiles they can sell those to Russia as well. In return if most missiles are intercepted by Russia then Russia wont do mass scale bombings in Kiev in return and do some proportional strike depending on the damage caused by atacms close to Smo zones. After 2 months time the negotiations will begin anyways when biden leaves office.

Worst case scenario is Usa allowing lrasm missiles that can reach Moscow to be used by Ukraine. Storm shadow, scalp and similar systems can theoretically reach Moscow with reduced payload and more fuel that is another scenario. These missiles are stealthy and difficult to intercept. Iran and China can sell shorad vehicles that can be stationed south of Moscow. These missiles combined with Russian missiles can make a dense air defense layer that lrasm cannot pass from south fired from Ukraine. That would deescalate the conflict. If most missiles are intercepted by Russia and no casualties in Ukrainian attacks then Russia wont do mass scale bombings in Kiev in return deescalating the conflict and do a proportional strike depending on the damage caused.

 

[AbdulQadir7]

Recent reports from Ukrainian intelligence indicate that Russian forces may be preparing to launch the RS-26 Rubezh missile from the Kapustin Yar launch site in Astrakhan, potentially targeting Kiev. Here are the key details regarding the RS-26 and its implications:

Key Features of the RS-26 Rubezh​

1. Range and Capabilities:
   • The RS-26 Rubezh has a range of up to 6,000 kilometers, making it capable of striking targets deep within Europe, including major cities like Kiev.
   • It employs a solid-fuel propulsion system, which enhances mobility and reduces launch preparation time.
2. Accuracy:
   • The missile boasts an accuracy of approximately 150 meters, allowing for precise targeting of military installations and strategic sites.
3. Warhead Specifications:
   • The RS-26 can carry a warhead weighing around 1.2 tons, which can be equipped with a nuclear payload or conventional explosives, depending on the mission requirements.
4. Deployment and Mobility:
   • As a road-mobile missile system, the RS-26 can be launched from various locations, making it harder to detect and target before launch. This mobility contributes to its survivability against preemptive strikes.

Strategic Implications​

• Increased Tensions: The potential launch of the RS-26 towards Kiev signifies an escalation in hostilities between Russia and Ukraine, particularly as both nations continue to engage in military operations amid ongoing conflict.
• Deterrence and Response: The capability to strike major urban centers with high precision raises concerns for Ukrainian defense strategies. It may prompt Ukraine to enhance its air defense systems or seek additional support from Western allies.
• Geopolitical Context: The use of advanced missile systems like the RS-26 highlights Russia's ongoing commitment to maintaining a robust strategic arsenal capable of projecting power across Europe. This development could influence NATO's response strategies and defense postures in Eastern Europe.

Conclusion​

The reports of a potential RS-26 launch towards Kiev underscore the heightened risks associated with the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. As both sides prepare for possible escalations, the international community continues to monitor developments closely, emphasizing the need for diplomatic efforts to mitigate tensions and prevent further military confrontations.

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On November 21, 2024, Russia launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) at Ukraine, marking the first time such a weapon has been used during the ongoing conflict. The missile was reportedly fired from the Astrakhan region and targeted the city of Dnipro, hitting critical infrastructure and enterprises in the area. This escalation comes in response to Ukraine's recent use of Western-supplied missiles to strike targets within Russian territory, including Storm Shadow missiles and US-produced long-range missiles

The Ukrainian military confirmed the missile strike and noted that it was part of a broader series of attacks that included various missile types, such as Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missiles and Kh-101 cruise missiles. Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted several of these incoming missiles during the assault

In light of these developments, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged citizens to remain calm and avoid panic amid fears of further Russian escalation. He emphasized the need for vigilance and support for the military as tensions rise following these significant military actions

Russia fires intercontinental missile at Ukraine https://p.dw.com/p/4nEBU?maca=en-Twitter-sharing

 

[vizier]

I dont think that Russia will use tactical nukes but there can be a false flag op as well before biden leaves office. After a dirty bomb explosion Usa can use this as an excuse to start cruise missile conventional bombing of Russian troops in Smo zones on behalf of Ukraine from Ukraine airspace. Zelensky can claim it is their doing to keep others away from direct conflict with Russia. That can result in Russia using strategic nukes on Ukraine or they can use emp detonation at upper atmosphere that would effect Romania, Poland and nearby countrys economies too.
Any tactical nuclear accusation should be throughly investigated to identify false flags.

 

[Novus ordu seclorum]

Moments before a Russian kamikaze drone intercepts
a NATO Mercenary unit operating in Kursk.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1858973146860450229

It flew inside the door like a bird.

 

[HaiderAfan]

so putler has been waiting 3 years to take out the ATACAMS?
Go home Putin, you’ve shown the world how weak Russia really is

Weak Russia results

On November 21, 2024, Russia reportedly launched an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) at Ukraine, marking the first instance of such weaponry being used in the ongoing conflict. The missile was fired from the Astrakhan region in southern Russia, targeting the city of Dniproduring a nighttime assault. This escalation follows Ukraine's recent use of long-range missiles supplied by the U.S. and UK to strike deep into Russian territory, prompting warnings from Moscow about potential retaliation.

Details of the Incident​

• Missile Launch: The Ukrainian Air Force confirmed the launch of an ICBM, asserting that it was aimed at crippling critical infrastructure in Dnipro. However, a Western official disputed this claim, suggesting that while a ballistic missile was indeed fired, it did not qualify as an ICBM. The exact type of missile used has not been clarified by either side.
• Other Attacks: Alongside the ICBM, Russia also launched several other missiles, including Kh-101 cruise missiles and a Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missile. Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted six of the Kh-101 missiles during this assault.
• Casualties and Damage: Initial reports indicated damage to a rehabilitation center for disabled individuals in Dnipro, but there were no immediate confirmations regarding casualties from the ICBM strike.

Context and Implications​

This incident is significant as it reflects a potential escalation in military tactics by Russia amidst an already intense conflict. The use of an ICBM—typically designed for nuclear payloads—raises concerns about the shifting dynamics of warfare in the region. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged citizens to remain calm and avoid panic as tensions escalate following this attack.The situation underscores the ongoing volatility in Ukraine and highlights the risks associated with the use of advanced military technology in modern warfare.

 

[Soldier35]

Ukrainian media published footage of a strike by Ukrainian Storm Shadow cruise missiles, made in England, on a building in the village of Maryino in the Kursk region of Russia. The strike was carried out on buildings on the territory of the estate of the princes Baryatinsky, it is unknown what is there. According to Ukrainian media, there is a communications bunker under the building. The second version of the media is that there were North Korean soldiers in the bunker. Judging by the video, there is no air defense in the area. Or the air defense is not equipped with radar to detect low-flying targets, this happens quite often. Why is this happening, the length of the front line is about 2000 km, the Russian army does not have enough air defense systems to cover all the facilities in Russia, since there are thousands of them. It is worth noting that no air defense can shoot down 100% of targets. Earlier, it was proposed to create an air defense belt around Ukraine, but it is unknown whether this was implemented. The video was filmed by a Ukrainian drone on November 20 and shortened. Judging by the video, about 10 missiles reached their target. At the end, the results of the missile strike are shown, but it is difficult to understand anything from them.