jhungary
MILITARY PROFESSIONAL
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As I explained, it would not work, Ukrainian is not going to take Russia word for it and willy-nilly waltz into Kherson believing them to be gone, they would do the whole work to security the city. That including moving their own Artillery and HIMARS into range and keep those Russian Arty outside theirs.Wonder if they would fire massive barrage on Kherson City when Ukrainian troops go in? They already taking every valuable item and equipment including fire trucks and toilets. Guess the best thing for the Ukrainians to do is avoid going into the city and concentrate on hitting Russian artillery waiting on the other side of the river from east and south to push them afar from Kherson City. Could send in Ukrainian special forces in civilian disguise to connect with the partisans in the city at night or something.
It takes them 2 days to get to Kupiansk after Russian vacated that place and 1 day after Russian vacating Bucha. That already show they will proceed with caution if and when they try to retake Kherson.
Just like not doing massive attacks on Donetsk City. Even with all the Russian propaganda.
Well, it's their land, so I sort of understand why they want to play the long game, the trade off is, playing the long game means majority of those Russian troop are going to be able to escape and fight another day.
Thing is, Russian didn't even bother to do defensive fortification once they took a city, that's why the September offensive is so successful because I think (I cannot say for sure) the Russia think this wouldn't happened to them, and they do without digging trenches or set up defensive fortification.Be hard for Ukrainians to cross the river to flank and hit the Russian troops in new trenches. However, the Russians are pretty much in static defense and can be hit by artillery and missile strikes, etc. Keep the Russian forces busy instead of somewhere else.
And the one they did set up is soddy at best. laughable is the term I would use.
Analysts believe if only Russian spend some time improving their position during the Summer after they captured those land, it would not be easy for Ukrainian to make progress, but then they probably have learnt a lesson by now, they are doing some serious groundwork in the East behind Svatove near Starbolisk, on the other hand, how effective is that is remained to be seen.
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