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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments PART 2

Tell jokes for everyone to hear. . .
It is said that the United States has assembled 100,000 soldiers in the name of NATO, and if Ukraine is defeated, it will immediately send troops. . .
However, I remember that the United States had to use 450,000 troops and eight aircraft carriers to fight Iraq. Today, facing Russia, which is a hundred times stronger than Iraq, and China is by its side, is there any chance of winning a conventional war?
One hundred thousand soldiers? It's another small act of bluffing, it's for the Zelensky and the actor to show off his courage!

:p::p:
 
Really, REALLY depends on your combine arms doctrine.

In this case, Russia are more infantry based formation and their doctrine for armour is basically using them as infantry support, tanks move as much as infantry moves. They do what we do back in WW1 (you probably have heard about it a thousand time but don't know what it means) What it basically happens was, Russia will move its troop into position first, then use the tanks to support the infantry, suppressing the target with the Infantry moving along, that's how they are fighting since WW2.

If this is the case, then yes, most of the time you won't see Tank on Tank battle because you will have to get past the screening infantry first, then you can hit the tank formation.

If Ukraine uses more or less a US version of combine arms warfare, the tanks move on and tag the infantry along, the entire formation traveling at Tank speed, and the tank would then be used to exploit and engage enemy weak point. Then you would expect tank on tank battle, and that's what we expect to see IF the Ukrianian follow the NATO playbook by the letter, whether or not they can or will is another issue.

Here is a very good video made by US Army University Press about Combine Arms Warfare


Both sides are well entrenched with plenty of mines in every imaginable point of advance. Add to this that both sides have near perfect recon of anything going on within 5km or so due to recon drones being so common…there is so many of them. So textbooks can be thrown out of the window if the enemy always knows you’re coming and calls down artillery with recon drones taking a role of forward firing observers.
 
Both sides are well entrenched with plenty of mines in every imaginable point of advance. Add to this that both sides have near perfect recon of anything going on within 5km or so due to recon drones being so common…there is so many of them. So textbooks can be thrown out of the window if the enemy always knows you’re coming and calls down artillery with recon drones taking a role of forward firing observers.
The thing is, Russian line is too thin. Which mean they can't hold everywhere at once. So it's always going to be a guessing game for the Russian.

The one that goes on attack have the luxury to choose which way they want to go, which mean the defender is always going to be passive, Russian ISTAR asset is not good enough to have the ability to mount real time early warning, so there are always gap you can exploit.

Not saying this is going to be easy, especially since Russia did drop the ball big time last year with Kupiansk (Well, that's too amateurish for the Russian to be exact) would Russia improved their ISTAR capability so what happened to Kupiansk last year would not happen? that's the 64,000 dollar question here.
 
Both sides are well entrenched with plenty of mines in every imaginable point of advance. Add to this that both sides have near perfect recon of anything going on within 5km or so due to recon drones being so common…there is so many of them. So textbooks can be thrown out of the window if the enemy always knows you’re coming and calls down artillery with recon drones taking a role of forward firing observers.

Mines is the biggest nemesis this war. There are literally millions of mines all over the place. On top of that, this war saw the introduction of smart jumping mines and mine launching rocket launchers. I wouldn't be surprised if mines cause the most casualties this war.

Not saying this is going to be easy, especially since Russia did drop the ball big time last year with Kupiansk (Well, that's too amateurish for the Russian to be exact) would Russia improved their ISTAR capability so what happened to Kupiansk last year would not happen? that's the 64,000 dollar question here.

Comparing Kharkov with Donba is apples and oranges. The amount of trenches, mines, fortifications in Kharkov and Donba is nowhere close.



 
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Ukraine counteroffensives are looming. Will be interesting to observe where Ukraine tanks will break through.

I doubt there is going to be one. For offensive you need 3 to 1 man power advantage. By next year Ukraine has 42 million total - 2 million Crimea - 5 million Donba - 1 million Taurida = 34 million people while Russia has 142 million mainland + 2 million Crimea + 5 million Donba + 1 million Taurida = 150 million people. Out numbered 1 to 4.4 and with insufficient military gear, an offensive would be suicidal.

I am a direct descendant of Sun Tzu. And I know all about war.




 
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According to Ukrainian sources , Russia is modifying foab bombs into guided bombs they have hundreds of these bombs .ukrainian will be barbequeed in spring :/
 

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