Russia is on the way to regaining its past glory
my analysis.. :
The US is forcing (together with the EU),
the new Russian Federation, *and* it's neighbor countries whom wisely and legitimately formed a new military-cooperation-union and economic union (EEU), into a new armsrace the cost of which will be added to the cost of battling muslim extremists.
please note : this is a theoretical-level observation of mine, i have absolutely no desire to start being bean-counter for any government. And i also have near zero desire to even comment on how defense money should be spent (like on what military research and military weapons-factories for instance).
I do believe however, that domestic infrastructure and domestic defensive gates should get at least as much attention and funding as a country's offensive capabilities devices/platforms.
'The West' will try to blame the heightened tensions in their mass-media as somehow Russia's Moscow government for starting an arms race.
I do need to add that i'm for weapons development (the UFO theories/phenomonen is the main cause for that in my heart and mind and soul), and weapons live-fire field testing, and how we need to maintain a large army (naval, land, air) for peace-time-crises such as disaster relief, anti-terror forces, wildfires, a small-asteroid striking earth, the list goes on and on and on...
even with the completely-legitimate annexation of the Crimea by Russia a few years ago (Russia has a big naval base in the Crimean and needs to be able to supply that Russian naval base by road),
Russia can not be called the initiating aggressor. That was CLEARLY AND WITHOUT DOUBT the U.S.A's "fault" by insisting year after year to place anti-ICBM in Poland and other countries on/near the western border of Russia.
What 'the West' refuses to acknoledge is that Poland was part of the Warschaw pact, and so especially Latvia and neighboring countries to Latvia, need to know that Russia needs them as a bufferzone against the now decades-long EU expansion-eastward plans. Being a military bufferzone is highly unpleasant when things heat up, to say the least. Syria, Bosnia, there are so many examples of 'tensions' going to 'civil-war' practically-over-night.
I just hope Russia plays it smarter than they did in the Vietnam and Afhanistan and Cold-War-1 wars. Russia lost in my opinion not only because of their 5-year communism-based economy planning, but also because they spent too much on large arsenals (tanks, planes, nuclear ICBMs).
in the cold war 2.0 that we now see emerge, there will be less points to score by 'taking over Vietnam' or 'taking over Syria'.. the decisive factor will be drone-swarms vs another-country's drone-swarms. how fast can you reprogram your drone fleets to be impervious to the drone swarms of your opponent? How fast can your machinegun factory produce an entirely different type of gun and the bullets for those new guns?..
blitzkrieg[1] wins. there is a fairly large and somewhat urgent need for new non-lethal and lethal and crowd-control (lethal and non-lethal) machines/devices/vehicles/carry-bots etc etc etc.
So what i'm advocating is building weapons factories that produce high quality equipment, but are nearly impossible to infiltrate to see what is being produced. (think of it as : aliens in spaceships should not know what we're producing and where we store it..)
And a lot of those designs trickle down in to the civilian markets too. 4-rotor-ed drones (for photography) are now on sale for as little as 150 euro or so...
[1] (the Ardennes, Hitler vs the Belgians, but also Desert Storm - Driving Saddam Hussain back into Iraq after he had invaded Kuwait for their oil)..
do i like war, or excessive defense spending? defintely not.
but a lot of new military hardware has been designed, and on the political level it's become acceptable to make cold war 2.0 'at least as cool as cold war 1'.
good luck, and don't get killed in skirmishes.
if you sense the opponent not to want to kill you badly, give them a warning shot or 2 or even 3, over their heads and into a tree right behind them, ok... please..?
live to think and fight another day,
and never point a gun to your boots or crotch (that last one is a metaphor for 'watch out not to friendly-fire-kill eachother ok, and dont slaughter-the-innocent either, ok'..
i Peacefan leaked this forum-thread and my comment in it, to :
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From:
Rene Veerman <rene.veerman.netherlands@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, Oct 8, 2016 at 11:20 AM
Subject: Cold War 2.0 has now (in my humble opinion) officially begun..
To: CIA <info@cia.gov>,
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d66@tweedekamer.nl, Donna Marrozos <redactie@3fm.nl>,
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Once again, i'm user peacefan at
defence.pk/forums
thread
https://defence.pk/threads/russia-to-re-launch-military-bases-in-cuba-and-vietnam.454235/
Russia to re-launch military bases in Cuba and Vietnam