What's new

Russia: Assad's Prospects of Holding Power Fading

JUBA

BANNED
Joined
Aug 6, 2012
Messages
1,344
Reaction score
-15
Country
Saudi Arabia
Location
Saudi Arabia
MOSCOW — Russia said the chances of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad staying in power were growing "smaller and smaller," as fighting on Sunday in southwestern Damascus shut a main highway from the capital.
Assad has long counted Moscow as an ally and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev's remarks were the most vocal Russian statement yet that his days may now be numbered — although they come after predictions from France, an avowed enemy, and from neighboring Jordan that the Syrian president's downfall is not imminent.

"I think that with every day, every week and every month, the chances of his preservation are getting smaller and smaller," Medvedev said, according to the transcript of an interview in Russian with CNN that was released by his office.

"But I repeat again, this must be decided by the Syrian people. Not Russia, not the United States, nor any other country," said Medvedev, whose administration has criticized Western, Turkish, and Gulf Arab support for Syria's rebels.

"The task for the United States, the Europeans and regional powers . . . is to sit the parties down for negotiations, and not just demand that Assad go and then be executed like [Libyan leader Moammar] Gadhafi or be carried to court sessions on a stretcher like Hosni Mubarak," he said.

After Egypt's veteran president Hosni Mubarak was toppled, Russia withheld its veto on a U.N. Security Council resolution authorizing Western and Arab powers to provide military help to the rebels who overthrew Gadhafi in neighboring Libya.

Moscow has since accused the West of breaching sovereign rights and has vetoed U.N. action against Assad. Medvedev warned that removing Assad by force would mean "decades" of civil war.

Russia has been Assad's most important ally throughout the 22-month-old Syrian conflict, which began with peaceful street protests and evolved into an armed uprising against his rule.

Moscow has blocked three Security Council resolutions aimed at pushing him out or pressuring him to end the bloodshed which has killed more than 60,000 people. But Russia has also distanced itself from Assad by saying it is not trying to prop him up and will not offer him asylum.

The mainly Sunni Muslim rebels have seized territory in the north of the country, including several border crossings, and have challenged Assad's control over Syria's main cities.

But Assad's air power and army, whose senior ranks are dominated by his Alawite minority, have stemmed rebel advances.

France said on Thursday there was no sign Assad was about to be overthrown, reversing previous statements that he could not hold out long, and Jordan's King Abdullah said Assad would consolidate his grip for now.

"Anybody who is saying the regime of Bashar has got weeks to live really doesn't know the reality on the ground," Abdullah said in Davos on Friday. "They still have capability, so I give them a strong shot at least for the first half of 2013."




Russia Says Assad's Prospects Fading
 
. .
What if Russia starts landing commandos and millitary aid into Syria?


could happen. Who knows,

Russian ships are in Mediterranean.

However the likelihood is very low for many reasons.

The main reason is that Syria with its geography could easily become Afghanistan-2 if Russia lands commandos.


peace
 
.
What if Russia starts landing commandos and millitary aid into Syria?

At present- Russia will not make a mistake of sending own people to hostile situation.. They had Afghan experience from past..
 
.
The Russians are trying to shift into a neutral stance because they know the end is near. Assad should have left when he had the chance now he will be lucky if he doesn't get strung up on a pole in the streets of Damascus. The Russians utmost priority now is trying to make sure they do not lose their base when the next government comes into power.
 
.
The Russians are trying to shift into a neutral stance because they know the end is near. Assad should have left when he had the chance now he will be lucky if he doesn't get strung up on a pole in the streets of Damascus. The Russians utmost priority now is trying to make sure they do not lose their base when the next government comes into power.

The Russians will never let go of Syria. The haven't forgotten the handling of the Lybian affaire and Putin is not Medvedev...They will keep Assad until he finishes his term and then they will have a government that is suitable to the Russian interest...
 
.
The Russians will never let go of Syria. The haven't forgotten the handling of the Lybian affaire and Putin is not Medvedev...They will keep Assad until he finishes his term and then they will have a government that is suitable to the Russian interest...

He has been President for 13 years, when exactly is his "term" ending. :rolleyes: Do not tell me he was elected, we all know how those elections go.
 
.
He has been President for 13 years, when exactly is his "term" ending. :rolleyes: Do not tell me he was elected, we all know how those elections go.

Does that make a difference? the important, he is the de facto president. Elected , imposed,or what ever the route he used to be at the head of the Syrian state doesn't matters much. He is recognized as such, and the termination of his mandate is the corner stone of the Russian policy at this moment..
 
.
Does that make a difference? the important, he is the de facto president. Elected , imposed,or what ever the route he used to be at the head of the Syrian state doesn't matters much. He is recognized as such, and the termination of his mandate is the corner stone of the Russian policy at this moment..

It does make a difference, you are acting as if people will suddenly forget how long the Russians have supplied the dictator and how those very weapons are the lifeblood behind Assad standing for as long as he has. Hence the Russians realizing that his fall is inevitable are distancing themselves away from him in hope that the next government in charge does not hold any ill will towards the Russians. It really is that simple, the Russians will have no say in the next government unless they negotiate Assad leaving the country, if he gets strung up on a pole they will have lost their last ally in the middle east.
 
.
It does make a difference, you are acting as if people will suddenly forget how long the Russians have supplied the dictator and how those very weapons are the lifeblood behind Assad standing for as long as he has. Hence the Russians realizing that his fall is inevitable are distancing themselves away from him in hope that the next government in charge does not hold any ill will towards the Russians. It really is that simple, the Russians will have no say in the next government unless they negotiate Assad leaving the country, if he gets strung up on a pole they will have lost their last ally in the middle east.

The Syrians do not have a qualm with Russian presence and they welcome their help, as their ally for eons... You confuse the hords of the multinational djihadsits that swarmed over Syria as Syrians. They are not. The reality is that Russia under Putin is not going to wash her hand of the regime that easy and will find a way to put an end to the conflict that is showing some upper hand of the Syrian army...Within two weeks, its troops will be able to secure and close the border with Turkey and it will be the grand finale for the djihadists...
 
.
Back
Top Bottom