Suez can easily be closed in many ways. Easiest way is to:
1) ask the eyptian dictator to close it.
2) Change the dictator running Egypt.
3) bomb it
4) ask Israel to take over.
Russia would never let any Chinese division roll across Russia.
“Ask the Egyptian dictator to close it.”
If it was anything the west learned (Germany, France, US mainly) it’s that Egypt has absolutely no problem buying X, Y and Z from Russia, hence basically providing further funds for its projects. They better reach such conclusion, only then would they start considering learning that imposing Israel’s QME on Egypt wasn’t a good choice...
Egypt refuses? Spend 3-4 days at least planning a Naval/Aerial Offensive or some sort of a “Normandy landing” remake and risk inner protests like during the Iraq interventions now with COVID spreading like lightening worldwide.
“Change the dictator running Egypt” what are you a fanboy? You can’t replace a dictator with anyone but considerably respected leaders, has no competition. If you however succeed, you’ll have a leader who will either support Tehran with Sunni power meaning even troublesome days in Iraq and Syria - or another Islamist who will function as a catalyst for violence in European countries with considerable Islamic organizations.
“bomb it”, you’re going to attempt bombing the Canal? What are you assisting the Suez Canal Authority in Canal expansions or something?
How about you make a naval fleet enter the Suez normally, then make the frigates (and possibly the carrier) get stuck sideways like Ever Given?
I’d like to hear your thoughts about that.
“Ask Israel to take over”
Whoever made this look oversimplified needs to increase his brain cells count.
Some people just drive me either crazy or back to my warfare sources, perhaps I’m the unrealistic one around.
@Gomig-21 you got something to add bud?
Anyways, I do believe China is far from the scene and any of the fore coming scenarios, China finds the EU countries a better friend than the US when it comes to trade and economy, the US posed restrictions yet not the EU.
The only exception is if France deeply supports India, in this case China will make sure that siding with Russia is clearly understood as a response to France and this would probably make the NATO fragile and disunited.